Originally posted by @Tony Kim:
In your example, you use an index return of 7% less 1% in fees. Is 6% a realistic return that one can expect with one of these policies?
Since you are using 3.5% when taking out a loan, I'm assuming you're using today's yield-starved environment to determine the interest rate. But in this same environment, will our policy really earn 7%? What are the returns based on... because that's an extremely generous yield.
Does borrowing against your policy generally allow for these types of very low-interest loans? Also, I noticed you were using an IO loan? Or were you just cutting out the principal portion of the cash-flow?
Since the initial few years, costs can be around 15%, does that mean our cash value after two years into the policy would be around $17,000 if our annual premiums are $10,000?
I suppose my main skepticism with this is just how easy it is to earn that arbitrage. 6% is very high, and a 3.5% loan isn't easy to come by. And with that arbitrage, is it worth the time it takes to build up your policy's cash value in order to get this started? I personally believe this would be great for someone who isn't active in investing and would just like to have a set-it and forget it cash value policy which he/she can tap into when needing a no-cost loan for something like a new car or home improvement project, but perhaps I'm missing something.
Current reasonable yield in a WL is in the 3~5% range. An average yield on a IUL would be in the 5~7% with some years at 0 and some at 10%+.
Policy loans are dependent on the carrier, and you can find fixed loan in the 5~8% range, indexed loan in the 4~6% range. Policy loan repayments are flexible usually, and you can pay back nothing, interest only, or principal and interest as you wish and when you wish. Most of the carriers have also a neutral arbitrage loan options where the rate of the loan is the same as the return.
Third party loans, secured by the cash value, are currently around 2.75 to 4% depending on the lender and amount of the loan. Most of these loans are interest only.
So with a third party loan, positive rate arbitrage is the average norm, but some years it could be negative (especially with the IUL volatility).
Regarding the initial cash value in the first years, it depends on the way your policy is set up. You can have a policy that will give you around 75%~85% of all the premium you paid available as cash and surrender value from year one with an additional rider. Or you can have policies that will show the same cash value, but the surrender value will be much lower in the first few years, limiting your ability to borrow from it until the surrender value catch up. Depending on how you expect to use your policy, an experienced agent can tell you which option would be best for your situation.
In your example of a $10,000 yearly premium, here is an example of a typical IUL illustration for the first 10 years for a non-smoking 35 year old female in good health. In this first example there is no rider to enhance the surrender value early.
|
Premium
|
Cash value
|
Surrender value
|
Death Benefit
|
1
|
$10,000
|
$8,492
|
$0
|
$559,533
|
2
|
$10,000
|
$17,529
|
$6,349
|
$568,570
|
3
|
$10,000
|
$27,178
|
$16,097
|
$578,219
|
4
|
$10,000
|
$37,499
|
$26,516
|
$588,540
|
5
|
$10,000
|
$48,537
|
$37,654
|
$599,578
|
6
|
$10,000
|
$60,344
|
$49,571
|
$611,385
|
7
|
$10,000
|
$72,972
|
$62,310
|
$624,013
|
8
|
$10,000
|
$86,479
|
$77,591
|
$637,520
|
9
|
$10,000
|
$100,926
|
$93,818
|
$651,967
|
10
|
$10,000
|
$116,806
|
$111,478
|
$667,847
|
And the same policy with a rider to get access to the full cash value early, but as you see there is cost for it as now it takes 9 years instead of 6 to absorb the fee.
|
Premium
|
Cash Value
|
Surrender value
|
Death Benefit
|
1
|
$10,000
|
$7,685
|
$7,685
|
$558,726
|
2
|
$10,000
|
$15,860
|
$15,860
|
$566,901
|
3
|
$10,000
|
$24,586
|
$24,586
|
$575,627
|
4
|
$10,000
|
$33,919
|
$33,919
|
$584,960
|
5
|
$10,000
|
$43,902
|
$43,902
|
$594,943
|
6
|
$10,000
|
$54,580
|
$54,580
|
$605,621
|
7
|
$10,000
|
$66,001
|
$66,001
|
$617,042
|
8
|
$10,000
|
$78,216
|
$78,216
|
$629,257
|
9
|
$10,000
|
$91,281
|
$91,281
|
$642,322
|
10
|
$10,000
|
$105,684
|
$105,684
|
$656,725
|