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All Forum Posts by: Palmer Thomas

Palmer Thomas has started 7 posts and replied 52 times.

It sounds like Tenant A is costing you money by both paying under market rent and running off other tenants.  Even though she is a friend, I'd get rid of her and get new tenants.

Due to my DTI ratio, I had a hard time finding a conventional lender to give me a mortgage on my primary residence after paying cash for the house. A friend of mine is going to be the lender and act as the bank on my mortgage. We're putting a 5 year balloon on the note in case he wanted his money out then.

I was wondering, if he was to want his money out sooner than that, would it be possible for him to sell the mortgage and if so, what percentage of the principle could he expect to get considering the mortgage was in good standing?

Quote from @Russ Eisenberg:

@Palmer Thomas - What did you end up doing?  I am thinking about doing the same thing as I would like to use the downstairs unit when I am in town.  The house is about 5 hours from my primary.

-Russ


I haven't done anything with the house yet since all the tenants have currently renewed their leases.  I'm still leaning towards turning one of the units into short-term when I get the chance.  If you end up switching one of your units then let me know how it works out.
The main issue is that with people, unlike mutual funds, past performance IS a predictor of future performance.

Having a bad credit score doesn't mean that person isn't going to pay their rent, but it makes it more likely that they're not going to pay.
Having an eviction doesn't mean I'm going to have to evict the person in the future, it just means it's more likely.

The same is true with a criminal conviction.  If someone has shown that they're willing to assault, murder, steal, etc., in the past, then I'd rather myself nor my other tenants to be subjected to that person in case they do it again.
Quote from @Jake Cohen:
Quote from @Palmer Thomas:
Quote from @Jake Cohen:

@Palmer Thomas Steamboat is very seasonal. Most properties operate under 50% occupancy for the year. I find I run about 50% occupancy in low season (April, May, October, November) And we run about 90% the rest of the year. Our occupancy numbers are much higher than larger properties. I do not have a direct contact for a comparable property in the area but have done research through airdna, rankbreeze, etc and feel my revenue would be similar if I owned a single family of the same size. The difference was the purchase price. I was able to buy this multi family property that needed work for $645,000 in 2018. I put about $300,000 in repairs and upgrades into the property. A 7 bed/ 4 bath home would have been about $1.5 million to purchase at that time. Would a 7/4 single family cost the same? If so I would buy the single family. If not, the multi family may be a better deal and offer more cash flow for your purchase price.


 I think a good purchase price is going to be my only hope for this one.  The family is planning on listing for a little over $1.5 million.  If it was a single family house I don't think they'd have any trouble getting that.  Since it's already split up, I think it's only going to get interest from investors like myself and I don't think it makes investment sense at that price.  I need to go ahead and talk with the sellers to be first in line if they get crickets at their asking price.

I would run away even if the higher rental estimates are true at 1.5 million. For rental numbers somewhere between $75,000 and $135,000, don’t get pulled in just because they lower the price. Personally, I wouldn’t even take the time to run detailed numbers until it was less than $750,000. Good luck. 

 I think I would be fine at $900k.  Not that I'm sure it would cash flow at that price.  It's just that I would be ok if I had to put some money into the house every year as it's an area that I'd really like to own something.  I would think of it more as buying a vacation house for myself that's subsidized by the renters rather than a pure investment that has to cash flow.

Quote from @Jake Cohen:

@Palmer Thomas Steamboat is very seasonal. Most properties operate under 50% occupancy for the year. I find I run about 50% occupancy in low season (April, May, October, November) And we run about 90% the rest of the year. Our occupancy numbers are much higher than larger properties. I do not have a direct contact for a comparable property in the area but have done research through airdna, rankbreeze, etc and feel my revenue would be similar if I owned a single family of the same size. The difference was the purchase price. I was able to buy this multi family property that needed work for $645,000 in 2018. I put about $300,000 in repairs and upgrades into the property. A 7 bed/ 4 bath home would have been about $1.5 million to purchase at that time. Would a 7/4 single family cost the same? If so I would buy the single family. If not, the multi family may be a better deal and offer more cash flow for your purchase price.


 I think a good purchase price is going to be my only hope for this one.  The family is planning on listing for a little over $1.5 million.  If it was a single family house I don't think they'd have any trouble getting that.  Since it's already split up, I think it's only going to get interest from investors like myself and I don't think it makes investment sense at that price.  I need to go ahead and talk with the sellers to be first in line if they get crickets at their asking price.

Quote from @Samantha McGriff:

Hey Thomas! A lot of variables go into trying to figure out potential revenue. I would love to help you look into this a b Which area of Myrtle Beach is the property in (North Myrtle, Cherry Grove, Surfside)? Does it have any amenities? How far from the beach is it? 


 Pawleys

No major amenities

100 yards from the beach

Quote from @Jake Cohen:

@Palmer Thomas I own a 7/4 triplex in Steamboat springs, CO that has the same breakdown of rooms. I have 4 listings, 7/4 whole property, 3/2 alone, and 2- 2/1s separately. It has been a great investment for us. We do approx. $100,000 on the 3/2. $55,000 on 1 2/1 and $65,000 on the other 2/1. The whole property doesn’t rent that much as the units don’t have connected inside access. We run about 78% occupancy even in a seasonal area. I hate the up down setup but it is a solid performer for us.

We bought a side by side duplex in Fort Morgan, Al last year that is 5/3.5 per side and also rent the whole property or the units separately. It is also a great earner for us but we see the whole property rent more for holidays and during the summer high season. The smaller units rent more during the off season and shoulder months. Happy to answer any questions you have.


 Thanks.

Do you have any idea how your house's income compares to a whole house 7/4 in the area?  Also, how seasonal is Steamboat Springs?  I'm guessing it's largely ski driven guests?  If you had to guess at a split between on and off season occupancy what would you guess for regular houses compared to your?

Quote from @Michael Baum:

Ok @Palmer Thomas, what do the comps say? Those are currently running STRs as far as I know. Do the units in service provide similar numbers? Are the 1/2 what your estimate is?

Don't just trust the estimate, look at the comps in the area for historic data.

Also, a new STR will have a lean first year as you are new. It will take some time to build up the 5 star reviews.

A really nice place on the beach, setup well and run well will do well. A mediocre place 2 doors down will do mediocre numbers.


 That was the problem I was having with the comps.  The smaller units in the area, mostly condos, seem to do well in the off season.  I just don't know how well that translates over to a large house split into smaller units.  I do know that the large houses in the area that aren't split up do pretty bad.  My parents own a 7/7 in the area and it gets almost no action in the winter.

Quote from @Michael Baum:

Hey @Palmer Thomas, so look at historic numbers from 2022. Not what they are doing right now in the down season.

I rarely say check out an algorithm, but I have been using Awing.com's Estimator tool. It will give you a rough idea of occupancy and nightly rates.

Seeing as I don't have the exact address I just put in N Kings Hwy in Myrtle Beach and numbers are all over the place. So plug in the actual address and see what it says.

It just pull historical data from the area, but you can put in different numbers like bedrooms etc to get a rough idea of what to expect.

https://awning.com/airbnb-esti...

EDIT - See link above. Also they call it the AirBNB estimator so it might just pull data from AirBNB and not VRBO which is a HUGE hole IMHO if that is true. You find more mature guest groups (not old, but seeing as VRBO has been around for so much longer they have been using that tool longer) which usually means extended families visiting. The triplex could be a bonus as you could separate extended families and multi family up a bit for more privacy.


 I appreciate that, Michael.

When I put in the address as a 2/1 it gave me an estimate of $50k annual income.  If that were the case then I should be able to triple that since there are three units, but that seems WAYYYY too high.  That was the problem I was having with the estimator tool here on BP.  It was giving me numbers much higher than a local property manager.