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All Forum Posts by: Joe Villeneuve

Joe Villeneuve has started 0 posts and replied 12941 times.

Post: Is investing based on appreciation a recipe for disaster?

Joe Villeneuve
#5 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Plymouth, MI
  • Posts 13,486
  • Votes 19,553
Quote from @Russell Brazil:
Quote from @Joe Villeneuve:

Investing in your own market, just because you know it, is also a bad idea if that knowledge tells you it's not a good market to invest in.  A good market has both CF and appreciation history.  If it lacks BOTH, don't invest there.


 So your contention that low cap rate markets shouldnt be invested in? Only high cap rate markets?

As you know, there's more to investing than Cap Rate.  Deals, markets, are good or bad based on math.  Math is more than the right side of the equal sign.  The best math is found on the left side where the REI places themselves where their involvement is positive numbers.  What I mean is this.  Deals are made up of two things, the cost to the REI (their cash), and how someone or something else pays for the rest (the terms).

Post: Is investing based on appreciation a recipe for disaster?

Joe Villeneuve
#5 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Plymouth, MI
  • Posts 13,486
  • Votes 19,553

Investing in your own market, just because you know it, is also a bad idea if that knowledge tells you it's not a good market to invest in.  A good market has both CF and appreciation history.  If it lacks BOTH, don't invest there.

Post: Insulation For Housing

Joe Villeneuve
#5 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Plymouth, MI
  • Posts 13,486
  • Votes 19,553
Quote from @Kevin Sobilo:
Quote from @Aaron Zimmerman:

Thank you very much for commenting.

Kevin- to answer your questions:

1. I pay for a portion of the costs for heating and cooling.
2. For the windows, I’ve replaced the majority of the windows with double pane. Doors have probably not been replaced in a while.

3. There is a dormered attic, so I believe the answer to your questions are yes. Thank you for the tip. I will think about that.


It isn't just replacing windows and doors its how they are installed. A lazy installed may not spray foam around the door or window or into any voids accessible adjacent to the window when installing. Also with a door, simply replacing or adding a door sweep at the bottom can limit air infiltration.

If you are only paying a portion of the heating costs, keep in mind how much longer it will take for any updates to pay you back as opposed to a situation where you paid the entirety of those costs. 

These items are just as important as insulating,...probably more important.  Infiltration (air leaks) will lose more heat than bad insulation. You touched on the tip of the iceberg as to the locations for infiltration.

Post: Is investing based on appreciation a recipe for disaster?

Joe Villeneuve
#5 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Plymouth, MI
  • Posts 13,486
  • Votes 19,553
Quote from @Dan H.:

I care about total return and have barely a concern about the source of the return but try to minimize the return from cash flow due to the tax consequences.  Equity extracted is taxed deferred until sale and can be extended further via a 1031.  At death, the property gets a new base value and all gain is gone from a tax perspective.  Seems crazy, but that is the current rules.

To answer @Joe Villeneuve question “How long will it take before the accumulated appreciation, outgain the accumulated negative CF?” is day 1.  My worst appreciating property has appreciated ~$2700/month over its hold.  My best has appreciated ~$10k/month over its hold. Neither of them ever had projected negative cash flow close to these amounts using conservative expense numbers.

Some act like cash flow is guaranteed, but at the Great Recession there was many markets that had large decreases to revenue (lower rent and/or higher vacancy rates).  cash flow can decrease.

I recommend everyone start in their local market whether that is a cash flow market or appreciation market.  You can succeed in both markets if you make smart decisions and perform the work necessary.

Good luck

Two things:
1 - Rents usually go up, if the property is bought correctly, when there is a recession due to fewer owners and more renters.
2 - Property values go down, in large amounts, when there is that same recession.  Since equity is what is lost when property values go down,...

Post: Is investing based on appreciation a recipe for disaster?

Joe Villeneuve
#5 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Plymouth, MI
  • Posts 13,486
  • Votes 19,553
Quote from @John Mason:

Negative cash flow of about 200 is okay per month. My property is in prime location and will appreciate

Prime location, and will appreciate, based on what?  How long will it take before the accumulated appreciation, outgain the accumulated negative CF?

Post: Is investing based on appreciation a recipe for disaster?

Joe Villeneuve
#5 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Plymouth, MI
  • Posts 13,486
  • Votes 19,553
Quote from @John Mason:

I invest mainly on appreciation. Also as the tenant helps pay the mortgage down after a few years you can use heloc etc and buy more properties to scale or sell it off

So not only is it OK to have negative CF, but when you do (if you do) gain some equity from appreciation, you think it's also POK to spend it on another negative CF property, while increasing the negative CF from the HOLOC payment on the original Property?

Post: Residential Real Estate Location Metrics Evaluation Spreadsheet

Joe Villeneuve
#5 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Plymouth, MI
  • Posts 13,486
  • Votes 19,553
Quote from @Kim Harlow-Williams:

Does anyone have or know of a location to find a spreadsheet with the metrics I should use in evaluations U.S. locations to invest in?  Or what metrics should I put on my spreadsheet to help evaluate whether or not a city or state is a good location to invest in?  Thank you.

There are a number of factors involved here.  All of them financial, with dollar signs in front.  None with % signs behind.  You're talking about Market Analysis.  This is 10000 times more important than Property Analysis.  When you buy a property, you are not just buying a property, you're buying a piece of a market.

Post: Insulation For Housing

Joe Villeneuve
#5 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Plymouth, MI
  • Posts 13,486
  • Votes 19,553

As an Architect, I have specialized in cost effective energy efficiency.  I was the featured speaker with a local group (actually nationally presented) on building energy efficient homes.  My presentations were geared towards new construction, but there are ways to improve existing homes as well.

The main keys are to understand how energy (heat/cold) moves through houses and how to eliminate the weak links in heat loss/gain.  It involves a lot more than just improving insulation.  How this works is way to much for this format.  If interested, contact me direct, and I can point you in the right direction...cost effectively.

Post: Top Ten Questions Asked On Bp That Have No Chance Of A Beneficial Answer

Joe Villeneuve
#5 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Plymouth, MI
  • Posts 13,486
  • Votes 19,553
Quote from @Bob Stevens:
Quote from @Joe Villeneuve:
Quote from @Bob Stevens:
Quote from @Don Konipol:

TOP TEN QUESTIONS ASKED ON BP THAT HAVE NO CHANCE OF A BENEFICIAL ANSWER

10. Where is the best place to invest?

9. Where do I find a buyer’s list?

8. Does anyone have a real estate contract I can use for wholesaling in American Samoa?

7. I’m looking to partner with someone who has money, experience and expertise and a property to flip. I’m willing to go 50 - 50.

6. I’m new to real estate investing. Where do I begin?

5. I’m going to virtually wholesale properties in Montana from my home in Florida. Anyone know where I can borrow earnest money?

4. I’ve put together a 365 page business plan for my real estate investment company. Can you critique it?

3. I've started a real estate investment company, and have my LLC. Where can I borrow unsecured capital in the name of my LLC with no personal liability?

2. I have no money left, my property is worth less than I owe, and need $70,000 of rehab left. Anyone know of a contractor that will work with me?

1. If I start with no money and no experience, how long should it take me to have enough income to replace my salary and retire?

LOVE IT!!! 
The best was this morning, "Tenant left without cleaning out the fridge, it now smells, how do I get rid of it " YES this was a post !!1 
The refrigerator or the smell?

 Sorry I was not clear, the ITEMS /FOOD left in the fridge.

I knew that, I just figured the question was so ridiculous, I demanded an answer that matched it.

Post: Top Ten Questions Asked On Bp That Have No Chance Of A Beneficial Answer

Joe Villeneuve
#5 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Plymouth, MI
  • Posts 13,486
  • Votes 19,553
Quote from @Evan Polaski:

If only the people asking these would SEARCH the forums first to either:
A) Find this post and know to not ask
B) Find any of the multitudes of posts that attempt to give an answer to those questions.

And I love any of the ones around LLCs, bank accounts, what should I name my LLC, should I register in WY, etc...

Lastly, while I get the point of #4, I have to say, if these were a real question, I would be less apt to ignore it, since presumably some amount of work as gone into understanding real estate enough to put together a business plan AND there is something tangible to provide commentary on.

This is because this generation is the "immediate gratification" generation.  They are the ones that got straight A's in school because the go straight A's on all their tests.  They got all the answers right, but have no idea how they got there.