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All Forum Posts by: Sebastien Hitier

Sebastien Hitier has started 13 posts and replied 178 times.

Post: Trying to help my girlfriend/ fiancee get the big picture

Sebastien HitierPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Hong Kong, Hong Kong Island
  • Posts 188
  • Votes 114

@Quinton Slay

House hacking is a decision you have to own. She does agree to give let you try, which is positive. Whether she is willing or able to help is another matter. Some spouses do not share the passion for hunting / sewing of their other half.

Concerning her finding a good deal, because she knows the area. Be aware that sites like neighborhoodscout.com and rentfaxpro.com allow to gauge the profitability of a given neighborhood from a cold, calculating stand point. There is a risk that she directs you to an area she has good feelings about. So if the purpose is house hacking, I would advise you to try those to identify suitable areas for you first, and then go through the list with her after you have done your homework.

Post: What's your 2007 crash story?

Sebastien HitierPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Hong Kong, Hong Kong Island
  • Posts 188
  • Votes 114

In Jan 2007, I came accross https://web.archive.org/web/20070216134932/http://... that explained about "mortgage reits" traded on stock exchange, in Jan 2007. They showed updated mortgage reits yield daily...

So I decided to start watching mreit, though I was not convinced yet, and the yield kept creeping up. In June, the website stopped being maintained daily. The next year, the website had disappeared.

Post: Texas investor selling ALL her rental properties

Sebastien HitierPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Hong Kong, Hong Kong Island
  • Posts 188
  • Votes 114

investors buy only when they anticipate favorable price move, but they may sell when they need the money or estate planning reasons.

Post: Why to avoid < 50 k properties

Sebastien HitierPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Hong Kong, Hong Kong Island
  • Posts 188
  • Votes 114
Originally posted by @David Song:

Sebastien Hitier

For investment, there are a lot of over 1 m SFR in Bay Area. But I bought most my properties from 09-13, at the price point about $400k or so.at that time, they actually cash flow well.

Right now, SFR on peninsula is very difficult to cash flow well. We moved to east bay, Hayward, Newark, San Jose from 13-15. Recently, we moved to Modesto and Tracy areas, to apartments and mobile home parks.

There are a lot of properties that cash flow in CA. But the point is that ultimately, REI is not only about cash flow. Appreciation or depreciation needs to be taken into consideration, when buying. Location first.

We actually have <50 k properties in Bay Area, not very long ago. I have looked at SFR in Oakland in 2010-2011, some are listed below replacement cost. However, the area of Oakland where these properties are all war zones. Fast forward to today, these also appreciated but to a much less extent than > 100 k properties in better parts of Oakland.

I hear you, it is also the case that decent SFH property did cashflow better in DFW and Atlanta back in 2009-2013... They just doubled in price so the gross yield is now halved.

I understand that you see value in  apartment and mobile home parks at present. What kind of retail price per unit and rent would you be looking for those deals to make sense?

Post: Why to avoid < 50 k properties

Sebastien HitierPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Hong Kong, Hong Kong Island
  • Posts 188
  • Votes 114

There are many valid points in this thread.

- rental build value of home is anywhere $90 to $150 per sqf, if house is selling below $90k, it means there are problems with the social and economic surroundings of the house.

- it will cost much less to maintain a house in a good area than in a war zone. Rents above $1000 per unit will absorb unforeseen expenses quicker. 

- the median household salary in US is around 60k, so if you plan to charge more than $1600 per month, the house is not affordable to most americans.

- the rental yields for lower priced home are currently much higher, so there is a lot of potential if you buy things you know how to manage. 

@David Song,  many people here talk midwest market, so getting some variety of view is good. You mention buying a $1m house in CA, are you actually renting those or waiting to get a retail buyer at higher price? I am just curious what kind of numbers you would consider are the typical deal that makes sense in your market in CA? 

Post: Experience with Turn Key Providers

Sebastien HitierPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Hong Kong, Hong Kong Island
  • Posts 188
  • Votes 114

Worked with turnkey in GA, FL, TX, MO, NC... you can PM me for more info.

Post: Newbie to seasoned: how would you start in today's market?

Sebastien HitierPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Hong Kong, Hong Kong Island
  • Posts 188
  • Votes 114

Zillow home value forecast at US level is +3.2%, so experts do not have a bubble bursting as median scenario on the horizon. Anyone predicts at more than 1 yr will need several scenarios.

 Buy where numbers make sense and houses are affordable for the people who live in them. Check zillow for momentum of the area.

Post: Newbie, ready to get going, sick of living in my car broke

Sebastien HitierPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Hong Kong, Hong Kong Island
  • Posts 188
  • Votes 114

i would advise anyone looking to invest in real estate to first save some money (getting a job is the standard way), they should see how their carreer and finances stabilise after 4 years so you know what you can afford to buy. 

Post: Reality Check: 20% discounts, 10% appreciation, 2% cash flow?

Sebastien HitierPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Hong Kong, Hong Kong Island
  • Posts 188
  • Votes 114

The way I see it, the numbers are aspirational: don't think it is a bargain unless u get 20%, don't wish an improvement pays for itself unless it can increase value by 10%, don't think it will cashflow unless you got that massive margin of safety.

If you apply the rules blindly, you'll get the problem house in D hood. I can see where this insistence on yield is leading.

Post: Airbnb Occupancy Rate?

Sebastien HitierPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Hong Kong, Hong Kong Island
  • Posts 188
  • Votes 114

You can try mashvisor, they give airbnb vs conventional rental profitability comparisons. Some vacation cities are better for airbnb, but others have so much vacancy it is preferrable to go conventional.