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All Forum Posts by: Sergei Gremeniuk

Sergei Gremeniuk has started 1 posts and replied 17 times.

Hi gang, I’m 46 and started building my RE portfolio about a year ago. My goal is to have 10 properties fully paid for by the time I retire around 65 (or hopefully sooner). We currently have 3 townhomes (One on 240m 6.5% and Two on 360m 7% & 7.5% mortgages). My wife and I both have good jobs that we plan to keep as we’re able to have savings that we re-invest in future downpayments.

Seeing how little of principal is paid off in the beginning of the loan cycle, my urge so far has been to throw what I have as extra payments chipping away at that mountain, but I’ve been also thinking lately if that’s a wise practice.

First, I am planning to refinance the portfolio when the rates go down (whenever and if that occurs), so I'll probably not be realizing much of the principal reduction value as opposed to if I kept the loan for the full term.

Second, seeing how RE appreciates, rents go up, and in general $$$ loses value, I am starting to question if I should just pay my mortgages as agreed and instead direct most of my savings towards more acquisitions today. My thinking is if a house that I buy today for $260k will be worth $500k in 20 years and I only have ~ $108k left on the original $190k mortgage, it will be a fairly easy payoff in those future dollars. On the flip side, if I throw in just $100/month more, the whole mortgage will be paid off in 25 years or will have $62k outstanding after 240 months. 

Naturally, everybody has their own plan, risk tolerance and strategy, but what is your general attitude towards paying down debt faster and why?

Why not disconnect electricity to the whole house including the guesthouse, shut off water and whatever you can and go on a month-long vacation? Is sheriff going to come knock down the door to turn it back on?  Playing nice won't get this guy anywhere, he needs to start playing smart. 

Post: CPA, STR deductions and losses.

Sergei GremeniukPosted
  • Bloomington, MN
  • Posts 17
  • Votes 13

Exactly what Aaron said. Your STR is treated as a business and hence grouped with your other active income. LTR are passive and their income/loss is kept separate.

Post: STR that looks really good on AirDNA

Sergei GremeniukPosted
  • Bloomington, MN
  • Posts 17
  • Votes 13
Quote from @Sarah Kensinger:
Quote from @Sarah Kensinger:
Quote from @Carlos Ptriawan:
Quote from @Sarah Kensinger:
Quote from @Carlos Ptriawan:
Quote from @Sarah Kensinger:
Quote from @Carlos Ptriawan:
Quote from @Sarah Kensinger:
Quote from @Carlos Ptriawan:
Quote from @Sarah Kensinger:
Quote from @Carlos Ptriawan:
Quote from @Murray Reginald:

Hi BP,

I am looking at a couple beach house properties that looks really good on AirDNA however, AirDNA gave me the following analysis:

Beach House Property:

Annual Revenue - 121.6K

Occupancy Rate   - 88%

Cap Rate - 29.51%


I have another house I see that has the following analysis:


Two Story House Near Beach:

Annual Revenue - 121.6K

Occupancy Rate - 88%

Cap Rate - 29.51%



I've ran some comps on the beach house however, I don't see any 3:1s to compare I only see 4:2s and 2:1s, I'm trying to figure how accurate are these numbers and is there anything else I can do to confirm this will be a good investment since the Beach House has never been on AirBnB/VRBO im wondering how accurate is this information and how did AirDNA come up with those numbers.  


AirDNA is far from accurate. Come on, 30 cap rate doesn't exist even in LTR space. The most reliable way of finding the marketability of STR is checking their future-30-90 days online booking, that's what I found so far.

So, I assume you know STR since your here on this forum. STR cash flow 2-3 times more than an LTR, which is one of the reasons many of us just do short-term over long-term. So, no you won't find a LTR with a 30% cap rate, you can't charge that much a month. But with a STR the monthly income can double or triple if the owner has done proper research of location, market, etc. and the property is managed correctly. We won't' look at a property that is below 20% cap rate and we are part of a large group that does the same practice, it's partly why all of us can do so well. If you have patience and know how to look, there is usually a diamond in the rough.

 If you buy in 2011 then you would get 20 cap rate Lol but not when you purchase in 2023

We're buying this year as well as many in our mastermind....those deals are still very much around!

There is no STR market in 2023 that has two digit cap rate, it is just impossible in math


 Ok when we purchase ours, I'll add it to the review and feedback forum and maybe send some of our mastermind friends to do the same. ;p 


 you can say whatever you want, unless the accounting is cooked or it's in rural area where booking is only few times a year/not sustainable. Double digit Cap rate market in most urban city is simply not available/not possible. Airdna even has writing on this: https://www.airdna.co/blog/you... 

I've been researching STR, the only way you could do double digit cap rate only if:
1. you use the purchase price in 2010 
2. it's somewhere rural that your purchase price is close to zero and rent it for three hundred bucks a month LOL

Good Honest PM like ArrivedHomes for example, is showing with STR, the positive addition of cap rate compare to LTR is only yielding additional 1 percent, so if LTR market is 3%, actual cap rate for STR is 4%. 

Also if one is reading Here PM STR "audited financial report", their actual profit loss statement is negative for all their 2022 properties, even in rural properties it is negative single digit cap rate (bought for 1.5 mil and rent for $400/night with 40% vacancy).

I'm not sure what to say but we almost bought a FL condo that required a bit of "lipstick" work that had 20% cap rate, just directed a client to a home in Ohio that had close to 27% cap rate, and as I look for other properties we may personally purchase I come across 20% fairly often. $200,000-$300,000 price range and once all utilities, taxes, insurance, supplies, furnishings, etc are accounted for, you're looking at a 20+ COC return. That's how we are able to have successful STR without dealing with "the Airbnb bust", over saturated, low bookings, and everything else you hear. We watch, wait and run numbers like crazy to find that "perfect" numbers property. I would highly suggest checking out Bill Faeth and Michael Sjogren since they regularly teach this and have used this strategy for years.

 You could just share the address and how do you account for 20% cap rate in Florida condo :) 

This calculation is coming from Evolve, this is few years ago number and after I calculated everything, the number looks to be accurate. The FL condo actual cap rate is only 4%: https://evolve.com/blog/homeow...

Evolve?!? That just explained everything.
2 bed/ 2 bath. Sandestin FL March of 2023

If anyone else is interested I can break the numbers for your property just like the above photo.

Why are you not including $526 in HOA in your total expenses? Assuming that's an error, your cashflow would go down from $1,465 to $940. You also self-manage.  Haircut another 20% off the top for 3rd party property management and you'll be left with $100 in your pocket every month. Not exactly a winner, is it?

Post: 100+ Properties Ask Me Anything

Sergei GremeniukPosted
  • Bloomington, MN
  • Posts 17
  • Votes 13

What property profile, price, amenity point do you see working best? Is it basic but nice homes that compete with hotels or all out ultra-luxurious properties, or something in-between? 

What markets are you in?

Economy crashing and my renters losing jobs and/or being unable to afford rent. 

Everything else is primarily in my power and can be factored in my deal analysis, including future tax/insurance increases, but if my rent rates soften without my ability to refinance into lower rates then I get squeezed, that's my biggest worry. 

I would reach out in a non-threatening way and ask him to pay. Something similar happened on one of my properties (minus I opened the bill and it did not go into collections), so I just reached out saying that I got a bill and reminded the tenant that he needed to establish accounts in his own name. It was clear that he missed the step and did not argue, so he just reimbursed me on his next month payment. 

For cleaners, walk into a hotel around noon when they turn-over rooms and start handing out your business cards. 

Quote from @Zach Edelman:

Why don't you list it and see what happens? Can always remove it from the market and refinance if you're not getting the results you want. 


 That. List it, have a proven record of cash flow and then sell in a year based off those numbers. Otherwise what you're telling the next buyer is you don't believe in the market. 

STRs were the flavor of the month over the last few years, so naturally they attract new players. Smart ones look at the total picture, make forward-looking assumptions and plan for worst case scenarios. From what I read, the STR race lately has been predominantly towards the best-looking, amenity rich asset that commands higher ADR. While it caters to a certain segment of the more affluent population, the majority still wants to just a place to stay that does not break the bank.

I am going to go on a limb here and say that the operators who cater to the later category are the ones who are doing just fine.  You don't need to re-invent the wheel, just keep it simple, clean, be a good responsive host, provide value in whatever form you think your guest demands.