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All Forum Posts by: Shannon Mogilinski

Shannon Mogilinski has started 4 posts and replied 45 times.

Post: What are you Insights for the Spring market?

Shannon Mogilinski
Posted
  • Investor
  • Chicago Suburbs
  • Posts 46
  • Votes 37

Ouch hadn’t heard that yet on multi fam for Cook , but then again every time we buy there, we always immediately dispute the tax bill so I guess not shocking!  Loved the thoughts thanks for insight!

Post: Fix n Flip 70% rule

Shannon Mogilinski
Posted
  • Investor
  • Chicago Suburbs
  • Posts 46
  • Votes 37
Quote from @Shayan Sameer:

Thanks, everyone, for all your feedback... 

I saw another property in the West Palm Area.  The property seems to be in good shape and will requirecosmetic rehab.  

5/3 house 2600 SQFT

We will need a new AC, Kitchen upgrade, bathroom upgrade, flooring, painting, andcarpet upstairs.  

ARV 690K

Selling Price 500k

Rehab 85k

After closing costs, points, hard money, lender fees... My profit seems to be $20-25k.  That's only if everything goes well.  

If I'm spending 500k... my profit should be higher?  Thoughts?  Seems like a too much work for 20-25k.  

Shayan, how long are you going to plan on holding it?  And is that ARV top of the market for resell or conservative?  If you want a chat I can tell you what I would consider if that is helpful.  It's tight but I'm trying to process the room you may have there....I believe we are connected so let me know!

Post: Fix n Flip 70% rule

Shannon Mogilinski
Posted
  • Investor
  • Chicago Suburbs
  • Posts 46
  • Votes 37

Looking at all the posts I think it is so interesting that many of us are not really using the 70% rule.  I don't think anyone has said 'oh yes we don't make a move without it'.  Lends creadance to the idea maybe in today's markets, it's dead.  For sure it is a huge safetly net if you can get it, but strictly applied, seems many of us would be out of business.

Post: What are you Insights for the Spring market?

Shannon Mogilinski
Posted
  • Investor
  • Chicago Suburbs
  • Posts 46
  • Votes 37

Thanks Gino very helpful!!!!  I'm great a flipping but looking to grow and experienced voices are the best!

Post: Fix n Flip 70% rule

Shannon Mogilinski
Posted
  • Investor
  • Chicago Suburbs
  • Posts 46
  • Votes 37

Hi Shayan--Totally agree with Chris Seveney...I use multiple metrics for a deal.  My last 10 deals have not met the 70% rule of thumb nor have they been off-market.  Surprise! I have been successful in all of them.  If your numbers are not working...go up;  Meaning, better properties w/higher ARVS in good neighborhoods/schools.  This is not the lowest-end property you can find in these areas either.  I have an example under my BPP profile of one we did a few months ago.  Level up and run some numbers--maybe a different market will reveal itself. Hope this helps!!

Post: What are you Insights for the Spring market?

Shannon Mogilinski
Posted
  • Investor
  • Chicago Suburbs
  • Posts 46
  • Votes 37
Quote from @Rick Albert:

This is a very broad question. 

From a residential sales perspective, I think it will go up by virtue of life events (family formation, etc.) but it will be a wash.

Those that locked in a high 5% to low 6% interest rate in 2022 will now be gearing up to move because they aren't locked into their rates like those in the sub 4%. The problem: Yes they will buy, but they will also sell, so it becomes a wash in terms of supply and demand. 

I'm still gearing up to buy more hold properties. That's just me though. But I will say I am and going to be extra conservative going forward. The cost of maintenance is gone up so high there is no margin. Just to trim a massive tree on one of my rentals is $4,750. That's 5 months of profit gone just because the insurance company wants it done.

Thanks, Rick for your perspective.  Yes, it is board as I wanted to see what is on the community's mind in their arenas.  I'm in Chicago burbs so we are expensive for work, but nothing like that for a tree. I will be interested to see if we get more first-time homebuyers off the sidelines in 2025 plus people are itching to downsize.  Here we still have a big housing shortage but then again you are in CA!  

Post: What are you Insights for the Spring market?

Shannon Mogilinski
Posted
  • Investor
  • Chicago Suburbs
  • Posts 46
  • Votes 37
Quote from @Gino Barbaro:

@Shannon Mogilinski

Are you referring to the residential market? Rates dropped 50 basis points and the 10 yr shot up. I don't see rates dropping, especially if they can't control inflation, which was supposed to be under control, but appears not. And who knows what is in store with the jobs market.

It also depends upon the election and what policies are implemented.

I am hoping prices continue to drop in multifamily, and we see a pick up in activity. Investors thought they could extend their debt, but that doesn't appear to be the case with what has happened to rates.

This cycle would have been a disaster if our banking system was in the same situation as 08. 

Gino


Hey Gino--follow-up question --just starting to look at multifamily ...are the problems I see referred to (pretty much everywhere) that the property valuations have fallen for multi or that a large number of loans are maturing?  I get its always a few things but I am interested in your take 

Post: What are you Insights for the Spring market?

Shannon Mogilinski
Posted
  • Investor
  • Chicago Suburbs
  • Posts 46
  • Votes 37

Hello Community--As we roll towards the end of 2024, I would love your insight on the coming Spring market.  Are you gearing up to buy hold or flip or both?  I am hopeful we will see another interest rate drop and have a hot Spring market.  Let me know your thoughts...

Post: One of our recent projects

Shannon Mogilinski
Posted
  • Investor
  • Chicago Suburbs
  • Posts 46
  • Votes 37
Quote from @Jonathan Klemm:

Hey @Shannon Mogilinski - I am actually from Elgin myself (down in Chicago now) so I know that Fox Valley Area pretty well....Geneva is a great area! Love to see MLS deals in that area!

Are you primarily doing flips in the Fox Valley area?

What are the terms that GreenState credit union offers with your holdings?

Last question, you are hiring an architect and submitting plans to the city in a renovation like this correct?

@Princess Subijano-Cannataro

Hi Jonathan--Thanks for your interest.  We flip in Kane, DuPage, Cook (outside Chicago), and McHenry. 

GreenState is great.  We work transaction-based deals with a commercial portfolio loan secured against our assets.  These are typical 75% LTV fixed 12 year terms based on the current libor rate +.  They also fund the rehab but I generally do not draw down since we move quickly and self-fund as well.  We have been between 6.75%-7.75%--obviously better than hard money and no points.  Plus they are just lovely to work with.

And yes a 15 year veteran in both residential and commercial construction, we pull permits.  I'm a broken record in my posts on the importance of permitting.  I'm sure you get that.

How do you work your deals? 






Post: One of our recent projects

Shannon Mogilinski
Posted
  • Investor
  • Chicago Suburbs
  • Posts 46
  • Votes 37
Quote from @Suhael Ahmed:

Hi Shannon - thank you for your insight on a successful investment. I live in the western suburbs of Chicago and just beginning my journey on rental properties through the Brrrr approach. I would appreciate it if you could help me set up a team towards investing in rental properties.

I will be self funding my initial investment but will use refinance to fund subsequent investments.

I will appreciate your guidance.

Suhael Ahmed

Hi Suhael--Sure happy to help where I can.  I will send you a connection request and we can go from there...