Hey, Benjamin—sounds like you’ve put a lot of thought into this! I'm from Leesburg. 🙂 So many great comments here. Love it! I tried to read them all. Here are my 2 cents (and probably some alternative options/strategies you might consider)...hope this helps. (though excuse my long response 🙂)
1. STR Potential
With $40K in annual revenue, reaching $1,000/month in cash flow will require some adjustments. Focus on enhancing the guest experience, and check Lynchburg's STR regulations for potential costs.
2. LTR or Mid-Term Rental
If STR doesn't work out, consider mid-term rentals targeting professionals, which could offer higher rents and more stability than long-term leases.
3. Future Appreciation
Lynchburg’s market has seen about 5% appreciation recently (4.3% Sep 2024), meaning your property could gain around $110K in value over 5 years, helping to cover renovation costs. Keep an eye on local developments that could boost property values.
4. DIY Basement Buildout
Finishing the basement for around $25K could improve your STR competitiveness and increase rental rates. Be sure to check permit and code requirements.
5. Tax Considerations
STR income is taxed higher than LTR, but deductible expenses (e.g., repairs, furnishings) can offset this. Consider talking to a tax advisor.
6. Sell vs. Hold
Selling when you leave simplifies things, but holding can provide long-term gains. Refinancing could help improve cash flow later.
Additional (Potential) Scenarios To Consider:
1. Hybrid Rental Strategy
Rent as an STR during peak seasons, then switch to mid-term rentals during slower months to increase income and reduce vacancy risks.
2. Rent-by-the-Room
With 5 bedrooms, renting by the room could provide higher cash flow, especially if marketed to students or young professionals. Lynchburg has been ranked as "College Town" and has several hospitals. Could help you get closer to the 40k target atleast.
3. House Hack
Finish the basement as a separate unit (if zoning allows) to rent out while you live there. Once you move, you can rent the entire property.
4. Sell After Renovating
Renovate and sell the property before you leave to potentially make a lump sum profit, especially if market conditions are likely to improve.
5. Lease to a Property Management Company
Partner with a management company that handles the STR or corporate rental for a predictable income with minimal hassle. Gives you more time to scale up.
6. Equity Partner Buyout
Consider an equity partner to help fund renovations in exchange for a share of the profits, reducing your risk and investment.
STR seems like a solid option, but these alternative strategies give you flexibility depending on how things play out.
There's an upcoming in-person event in Landsdowne, if you're up for it, I'd love to shake hands! Either way, would love to connect here and there!
Test and go! Always be ready to make pivots. 💪
Best of luck, brother!
-Johnny