There are too many variables and too much reliance on 3rd party vendors and can assure you the spreadsheet projections you are looking at are going to underperform.

Airbnb reliance provides hosts with few options to build “value” in their business. 

This is expected to drop to @ 600k for 2026. they got wrecked on taxes for 2024 due to 100% reliance on W2 income.A few existing conditions:A paid for 900K-ish primary residence on a nice lake which has an adjacent undeveloped 100' lake lot that is flex zoned for SF, MF, or commercial (500k value).

I also wouldn't want to put full reliance on the STR or Airbnb profitability of it, so your advice on the LTR and even future selling is helpful tips and insight.

Easier to ScaleWith less reliance on deep-discount deals and cash buyers, I can scale novations faster than traditional wholesaling.Final ThoughtsI’m not saying wholesaling is dead, but novations have helped me close deals I would’ve lost before.

Look for evidence of SOPs for smart-home technology to curb utility use, bulk buying of supplies, or in-house maintenance teams that reduce reliance on expensive third-party contractors for common fixes.What types of properties do you manage?

Also, most of us really want out of reliance on Airbnb/VRBO and how they manage/treat hosts so working slowly toward that.

Out-of-state investing has its own risks: travel time, reliance on contractors/managers, and the need for cash reserves if something goes wrong.It’s natural to feel like you need to “start now” or you’ll miss out, but it’s worth weighing the pros and cons of buying a $125K property in an unfamiliar market versus leveraging your capital in an area you know and trust.You’ll see plenty of posts about Ohio or other markets being “the best” due to jobs, affordability, and population trends—and there is money to be made in many markets.

It helps prevent reliance on unverified or unsupported claims, which are often circulated by unlicensed individuals or through social media.Unfortunately, if a taxpayer falls victim to misinformation or fraudulent schemes promoted online, there can be serious financial and legal consequences.

.$2 Million Cash Term Unresolved:Both sides intended to settle this with other debt offsets but never finalized the arrangement; hence, there was no enforceable breach.Fraud Defense:AHP showed that Weinstein used nominee companies (Keydally/Pallida) and an uninformed Irish signatory (paid €6,000) to disguise ownership, inflating the sale price.However, the court found AHP failed to prove reasonable reliance or all elements of fraud because Newbery was also a sophisticated businessman who neglected due diligence.Final JudgmentThe court entered judgment for AHP Servicing, LLC and Jorge Newbery, rejecting all of Oak Harbor’s claims for breach of contract, conversion, and turnover of assets.