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Updated about 3 hours ago on . Most recent reply

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Chris Seveney
  • Investor
  • Virginia
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The Ticking Time Bomb of Underwater Fix and Flip Projects

Chris Seveney
  • Investor
  • Virginia
ModeratorPosted

Title: The Hidden Dangers of Underwater Fix & Flip Projects: The Erosive Power of Time

There's an escalating situation within the fix & flip domain that we feel needs to be brought to people's attention - underwater projects.

Underwater projects occur when the outstanding loan value surpasses the current market value of the property. This can be due to various factors like unforeseen repair costs, unexpected market downturns, or inaccurately assessed ARVs (After Repair Value).

A misconception observed among many borrowers is the belief that time is their ally in these circumstances. However, time could be your biggest adversary. Default interest and additional holding costs don't take a break - they relentlessly accumulate, pushing the project further into the red.

To illustrate the severity, let's consider a case study. A $300,000 loan was acquired with an 18% default interest. Fast forward a year later, due to time and accumulated interest, the loan balance has now soared to over $350,000 - almost a 20% increase. The borrower, still clinging to the hope of salvaging the project, fails to acknowledge the harsh reality: their profit and equity have evaporated.

The implications can be far-reaching, especially if personal guarantees are involved. The financial fallout can bleed into personal assets and ruin credit.

So, how can one navigate through such a predicament? Our experience suggests that selling sooner is often more advantageous. But borrowers want to fight and in most cases they are fighting a losing battle that they are cutting off their nose to spite their face. 

  • Chris Seveney
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7e investments
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Marcus Auerbach
#2 Goals, Business Plans & Entities Contributor
  • Investor and Real Estate Agent
  • Milwaukee - Mequon, WI
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Marcus Auerbach
#2 Goals, Business Plans & Entities Contributor
  • Investor and Real Estate Agent
  • Milwaukee - Mequon, WI
Replied

Speed matters in all things business. As a seller, days on market is your enemy: the longer a home is listed, the lower the perceived value. That's on top of holding cost.

If someone flips a home and does not understand these two basic principal, they should not be in business in the first place. And probably will be out very soon anyway.

I know a MF investor with 5,000 units who shows up on day one with 30 contractors and trucks full of cabinets, countertops, carpet and supplies - they have the first apartments turned over in 48 hours after closing. Meanwhile the parking lot get's paved and the landscaping crew is going to town on the exterior. All of the planning happened while they were under contract. Also talk about a commitment to close when you order 30 kitchens a month before you close. That is speed to market!

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On Point Realty Group - Keller Williams
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