@Andrew Taylor I’ve been looking for awhile and can’t find much good information lol. I would love to know too!
You can reach out to a local broker to get an idea. Or you can pull up the Marcus & Millichap reports and find the cap rates for the corresponding class properties in Houston and add about 25 to 50 basis points.
@Andrew Taylor @Daniel J. , any luck in the last month or so on your search for prevailing cap rates in Conroe? This will be of limited help, I realize, but from a quick search on a Sunday night (when calling local brokers isn't an option), the best I could find so far is a live listing with a calculated cap rate of 7.15%
Would certainly be curious to hear what you ended up coming up with in your research...
Don't read into the propaganda of Conroe being the fastest growing City in the US. Conroe is not that great of an area. Some growth is in the new master planned communities but the Conroe City area is pretty.....ehhh... Not spectacular. I wouldn't touch anything with a 7 cap unless it was near the woodlands. Taxes are high around here too so watch out. Good luck.
I ended up subscribing to nationalcaprates.com. They had the Houston area at something like 8.98. Based on @Michael Le's comment above, I used 9.25-9.50 to value the property I was looking at.
@Andrew Taylor Can you share some of the info from Nationalcaprates? What makes the rates around 9.5%?
No idea how they come up with their numbers, Mitchell. I just selected something like Class C suburban multifamily in the Houston market and it showed 8.98 as the rate. Based on the suggestion from Michael above I added 25-50 basis points and used that for my calculations.
I think an 8.98 CAP rate in Houston is fantasy. My experience is that you'll get a 4-5 CAP rate in hot areas like Montrose and Midtown. In middle-of-the-road areas, you're looking at 5s to upper 6s.
You can get 8+ CAP rates in lower end areas.
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