@Akshay Jay
First of all, I am not a fan of negative cash flow. But I have to assume that you believe that you can carry the losses for the next ten years based on your other income. If so, ten years from now should be safe enough to at least break even if there is a market downturn after you buy the property. Or not. I’ll say it again: I am not a fan of negative cash flow *investing*.
Now, there may be a genuine tax play where you own a bunch of gainful rentals and could use another property that wins on depreciation that you *know* will at least appreciate in value, especially if you are doing a 1031 exchange and can’t find anything better. Based on what you said about yourself, that is not your situation. But you must have done the math since you are ok with the likely “slightly negative” cashflow.
You say nothing of the state of this 1991 construction, so I’ll presume it does not have deferred maintenance. I also presume that you will self-manage it, and are mentally prepared for that.
To answer your questions:
1. I have not looked at Oakley in close to 20 years, but know that it has grown, and will likely continue to grow. Some perspective from the last housing crash:
Sometime in 2010, I was considering buying condos in Vallejo, Antioch, and Hayward. Some 1Bd/1Ba were going for as little as $15k/$30k in Vallejo and Antioch, but for $50k in Hayward. Craigslist was a popular website back then. It showed a whooole bunch of “first month free rent” ads in Vallejo and Antioch. Hayward had none of that. I did not look at Oakley or at SFRs... That’s the past, and may never happen again. But you should consider this for your math. Of course, had I bought everything under the sun back in 2010, I would have come out a much richer person in ten years. But if I had bought in 2006…
Like Antioch, parts of Oakley have an additional property tax called Mello-Roos - make sure you check and calculate for it. Make sure that you calculate the property tax based on your purchase price, and not on what the current owner is paying.
Is this SFR within an HOA? Make sure it is well funded - in an economic downturn, some members may stop paying their dues, causing the HOA to increase the dues on the other members if some special community needs should arise in an already stretched budget. (Foreclosures - with lower property values - may also follow.)
2. As someone who got rid of his last Bay Area/CA rental earlier this year in favor of OOS - and do not intend to look back unless there is a crash - I can’t answer this question.
3. Some parts of Oakley are in areas of elevated flood risk - make sure to check on this. Consider that if it is already in such an area, but flood insurance is not yet required, FEMA may yet elevate the level of risk with time, so that it may be a requirement in the future. Politics/economy may also play a role in this, as Congress has had to reauthorize flood insurance subsidies annually. Consider the cost of that insurance and the hit to the property value. Consider that general property insurance prices are likely to continue to rise due to certain natural disasters, especially if CA fires continue to be costly.
Your agent should be able to guide you on most of the above. Make sure you are using an agent.