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All Forum Posts by: Austin Wolff

Austin Wolff has started 15 posts and replied 99 times.

Post: What is the Most Useful Graduate Degree for Real Estate Investors

Austin Wolff
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 101
  • Votes 132

MBAs are worthless. You learn business by doing business. However, I do see merit in getting a degree in Finance.

Post: House Hack in LA/NYC or Buy Out-of-State First? 🤔🏡

Austin Wolff
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 101
  • Votes 132

If you can afford to house-hack where you'd like to live, I'd 100% recommend that first.

Post: Why Should the Fed Cut Rates at All?

Austin Wolff
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 101
  • Votes 132

Just stumbled across this, this is incredible! Thank you for the research.

Post: How many markets to focus on at once?

Austin Wolff
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 101
  • Votes 132
Quote from @Rene Hosman:

@Austin Wolff recently went through this process of identifying markets to purchase in and he goes over his thought process in this episode on the Rookie podcast about how he used the MarketFinder here on BiggerPockets to find markets that met his criteria 

Podcast: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/rookie-473

MarketFinder: https://www.biggerpockets.com/markets

I specifically only focused on 2 markets (Indianapolis and Fayetteville, AR) before I found a deal using the BP "deal finder." I only did this because my criteria was so specific that it ruled out at least 95% of on-market properties in each city.

Post: Is the 1% rule dead in Arizona?

Austin Wolff
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 101
  • Votes 132

The national median rent-price ratio is about 0.35%. Most quality markets worth investing in for the long-term are seeing 0.50% or below. In my opinion, the 1% rule was a good rule of thumb during the 2010's. But I no longer think it serves the majority of investors in this new market cycle we're in.

Post: Why do people Buy Property in California

Austin Wolff
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 101
  • Votes 132
Quote from @Scott Trench:
Quote from @Ryan Kelly:

@Scott Trench nailed it. Many of my investors who buy in Austin are specifically from the Bay Area. Why? One word - equity. They are willing to trade one high-equity property in a tenant-friendly market like San Francisco for a more landlord-friendly growth market like Austin. Plus, they are watching their co-workers one at a time move this way and they want to "jump on the train" and join them by owning property here. Austin did get over-supplied following the pandemic and may take a year or two to get back to stabilization. The good news is we remain a fast-growing market with opportunities if you are a true long-term investor.

That's interesting that many of your clients are doing that! I think I'm actually arguing exactly opposite to your point, and think that these investors would be better off staying in SFO. 

 Austin's policies, which allow for large-scale development, are bad for landlords, because they encourage so much new construction, which inhibits rent and price growth. This is good for tenants and first time home buyers, and, good for the city as a whole. But, it is bad for landlords, long-term. I know that @Austin Wolff will push back and cite that construction is, in fact, correlated with long-term prices and rent growth, because it reflects underlying demand dynamics, but I'd bet against those in the case of Austin, TX over the next 5 years. I'd bet on Austin over 30 years, but again, not necessarily relative to SFO. 

I'd be willing to place a nice little bet that, from current prices and rents, SFO experience higher compound annual price growth and higher compounding annual rent growth, than Austin TX, over the next 5 years.

Could be wrong, but it's always a bet when we forecast more than about 12 months out, right? 


 I agree. The underlying dynamics are great for Austin, TX in the long-term (I'm absolutely bullish over a 30-year period). The next five years though? There's quite a bit going against investors (oversupply being the biggest challenge). I'm also not a fan of its high property taxes and rising insurance costs to begin with. It will definitely be interesting to see how the next five years play out! 

Perhaps I should dive deeper and compare the two markets in an upcoming blog post.

Post: Why do people Buy Property in California

Austin Wolff
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 101
  • Votes 132

Almost feels like a "rage bait" post. 30M+ people live in CA, and many international investors (big money) still invest in CA for a reason. Many solid reasons have already been stated in this forum; ignore at your own will.

Post: We Need Higher Density & Smaller Homes - Thoughts?

Austin Wolff
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 101
  • Votes 132
Quote from @Devin James:

Affordability is one of the biggest challenges in today’s housing market.

I believe smaller, more dense units are part of the solution:

1) Buyers can only afford smaller homes in today’s economy.

2) Denser units maximize the land available, increasing housing supply to help offset demand and ultimately bring costs down overall.

It’s not just about building more, it’s also about building smarter.

What are your thoughts?


 This is exactly what the builders of my first property have done in Fayetteville, AR. They're definitely ahead of the curve, but Northwest Arkansas has very little red-tape when it comes to building. I've actually enjoyed living in this high-density neighborhood -- more privacy than an apartment or townhome, more social and walkable than a suburb. 

Post: What would you do with 20k?

Austin Wolff
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 101
  • Votes 132
Quote from @Jaron Walling:

@Elizabeth Leb Every dollar of that $20k needs a purpose. Take the advice from @Nathan Gesner and @Bud Gaffney and learn as much as possible BEFORE buying RE. I started out researching my market by cycling the city and getting in shape. It was a win-win. I had $25k cash. It took 6 months of market research (you won't reinvent the wheel), 2 months to build spreadsheets (analysis paralyze), 6-7 house tours (leverage a local RE agent), and 30 days to close with a conventional loan. 

Believe in yourself. Everyone in the forums is cheering for you. 

PS; I house-hacked with my brother for 2 years. 


 I like this answer so much.

Post: Best market to house hack in?

Austin Wolff
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 101
  • Votes 132

Hey Kegan, I published on article on BiggerPockets specifically to answer this question for people like you (and selfishly for myself):

The 10 Best Markets for Your First House Hack

None of the states you mentioned are on this list, however. After picking up my life in Los Angeles and moving to Fayetteville, AR for a house-hack, I do have a word of wisdom: make sure you like the place you're going to live if you're moving across the country to start your real estate investing journey. House-hacking will be uncomfortable, and that discomfort is multiplied when you live in an unfamiliar place. In my opinion, if you really like one state more than another, try to make the house-hacking work there. If the numbers don't seem to make sense, consider a cheaper (but still growing market) or just keep saving until you can do out-of-state investing.