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All Forum Posts by: Collin Hays

Collin Hays has started 119 posts and replied 2501 times.

Post: Choosing markets and COC

Collin Hays
#2 Short-Term & Vacation Rental Discussions Contributor
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Gatlinburg, TN
  • Posts 2,537
  • Votes 3,538

I'm sure there are plenty of places where you can achieve a 20% annual return in the STR world. My world is the smoky mountains. I easily do that, but only because I accumulated properties from 2005-2013. For new buyers, I don't think a 20% annual return is achievable there, these days.

Post: Popular areas in the Smokey Mountains

Collin Hays
#2 Short-Term & Vacation Rental Discussions Contributor
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Gatlinburg, TN
  • Posts 2,537
  • Votes 3,538
Originally posted by @John Underwood:

I've heard you need to be within 15 minutes to Pigeon Forge or Downtown  Gatlinburg. 

I use the local Goat as my PF landmark to check driving time to a prospective property.

I'm actively looking for a 4 to 6 bedroom pool cabin in the area. 

 I have cabins that are 30 minutes from Gatlinburg that are cash machines.   Bought two small cabins in Cosby back in 2013 for $270K that are going to do around $76K this year...

Post: Popular areas in the Smokey Mountains

Collin Hays
#2 Short-Term & Vacation Rental Discussions Contributor
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Gatlinburg, TN
  • Posts 2,537
  • Votes 3,538

Gatlinburg is king.  Unlike Pigeon Forge, etc., Gatlinburg borders the Great Smoky Mountains National Park.  It has its own entrance to the National Park.  So Gatlinburg proper is the gold standard, but it is priced accordingly.  All of the others will say "but we are almost as good..."

Post: Favorite AirBnB tools

Collin Hays
#2 Short-Term & Vacation Rental Discussions Contributor
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Gatlinburg, TN
  • Posts 2,537
  • Votes 3,538

I haven’t found any of these “tools” to be even partially accurate.  They are “toys”.  Things to play with when you’re bored at work.

Post: Recommendations for interior designer/decorator near Gatlinburg?

Collin Hays
#2 Short-Term & Vacation Rental Discussions Contributor
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Gatlinburg, TN
  • Posts 2,537
  • Votes 3,538

I am going to take one of my cabins off market mid-January to do some rehab.  I would really like to hire a designer to handle it all.  I have worked with Lisa McCarter who did a fabulous job for me several years ago, but I am not sure she is still in the business.  Are there any other recommendations?

Post: Do you ever get hateful communications about your STRs?

Collin Hays
#2 Short-Term & Vacation Rental Discussions Contributor
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Gatlinburg, TN
  • Posts 2,537
  • Votes 3,538

I got a hateful email from an attorney threatening to sue me because his client apparently attempted to move my slate pool table and it collapsed onto her foot.  Note to self:  Don't move pool tables.

Post: Personal experiences in Gatlinburg, TN area

Collin Hays
#2 Short-Term & Vacation Rental Discussions Contributor
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Gatlinburg, TN
  • Posts 2,537
  • Votes 3,538
Originally posted by @Ryan Moyer:
Originally posted by @Collin Hays:

Cosby...now this is an interesting area. I bought a 2400 square foot log cabin with 250 feet of frontage on Cosby Creek - a blue ribbon trout stream - for $240K in 2005. The annual rents were around $16,000 per year. But the rents have steadily grown in Cosby and my cabin should easily exceed $50,000 this year. Cosby used to be the "value" area to buy because it is 30 minutes from Gatlinburg. It is more rural and less tourist-y. But Cosby has become a hot STR area. My $240K cabin is probably worth $650K today pretty easily. It would be worth $1 million in Gatlinburg on a river front.

 I think kind of what the OP is asking is how does that $50k this year compare to 2018 and 2019 before the pandemic?  Was the 2021 increase pretty inline with prior years or was it a big outlier jump?

If 2018 was $42k and 2019 was $45k and 2021 was $50k then that seems a lot more sustainable long-term than if 2018 was $23k and 2019 was $24k and 2021 was $50k+.

Makes sense.  I didn't read the question that way.  In other words, did the pandemic create pent-up demand and a temporary market imbalance that is subject to correction/normalization?  The answer would be "yes, almost certainly." 

However, in the Great Smoky Mountains area, the trend has been trending upward for decades, and while a one or two-year extra bump will normalize, the trend upward will continue.

Gatlinburg is the Vail of the southeast, and the big money is jumping into the game.  Look for decent cabins to cost $1 million or more someday soon. 

Post: Airbnb Management Fees

Collin Hays
#2 Short-Term & Vacation Rental Discussions Contributor
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Gatlinburg, TN
  • Posts 2,537
  • Votes 3,538

I own a PM and we generally charge 25 percent.  That's a lot less than self-managers are paying, almost always.  :O

Post: New to STR Investing - Smokey Mountains and Colorado

Collin Hays
#2 Short-Term & Vacation Rental Discussions Contributor
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Gatlinburg, TN
  • Posts 2,537
  • Votes 3,538
Originally posted by @Brandon M.:

@Collin H.

You’re correct, CO is booming and much higher costing than TN. I’m originally from CO, and have visited the areas I’m researching many times, so there’s a comfort level associated with that. That said, financially it’ll be challenging to pull off, at least for my first property.

 Sounds good.  So what does the annual yield on a Vail condo or home look like if you scored an average deal?  In other words, if you bought a place for $2 million cash, after all expenses - taxes, insurance, repairs, utilities - how much $$ per year would that $ 2 million property net you?

Post: Are Vacation Rentals ever cash flow positive?

Collin Hays
#2 Short-Term & Vacation Rental Discussions Contributor
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Gatlinburg, TN
  • Posts 2,537
  • Votes 3,538

Whether a property cash flows depends on a lot of factors.  Whether you are servicing a mortgage, etc.

I own 6 properties in eastern TN, with mortgages on all but two.  I have an annual positive cash flow of around $150K per year after debt service and all other expenses.  That does not include the tax deductions I take for depreciation.