All Forum Posts by: Rob Cee
Rob Cee has started 33 posts and replied 236 times.
Post: Emerging Markets for SFR purchases?

- Lebanon, NH
- Posts 258
- Votes 87
http://www.housingwire.com/articles/30564-these-ar...
Here is a interesting article & map on the best and worst areas for cash flow in U.S.
Post: Emerging Markets for SFR purchases?

- Lebanon, NH
- Posts 258
- Votes 87
For the people that are saying Memphis is an emerging market. What makes it an emerging market? The population only grew by 1% from 2010-2013, that is barely growing. Compare that to some other cities from 2010-2013 like Austin that grew by 9%, Charlotte 5.3%, Phoenix 5%, ATL 6.6%, Orlando 7%, Nashville 5%. What will make incomes go up in Memphis? What will create better job opps in Memphis for your tenants? What will make people want to move to Memphis? How will your asset be better off in Memphis 3-5 years from now? What are the drivers of growth there?
Post: Emerging Markets for SFR purchases?

- Lebanon, NH
- Posts 258
- Votes 87
I would take it with a grain of salt if someone who sells turnkey properties to out of state investors is claiming the area where they sell properties is a great emerging market. Get some opinions from disinterested 3rd parties. Find out what is happening in that city. Population growth? Job growth? Are incomes rising or falling? What will drive people to want to move there? Demographics changing? Are those super cheap properties in ghetto areas with chronic perpetual poverty? Was that house going for $20k still going for $20k 20 years ago (maybe there is a good REASON it is still only $20k!)?
If you sell in 3-5 years you are going to have transaction costs (Realtor commissions, closing costs, fix up costs, etc..). If the property doesn't go up at least 10% in value when you sell you will lose a lot of money just selling it for what you bought it for because of transaction costs. If you want to sell in 3-5 years you want to try and find an area that is under valued right now or a property that you can add value to.
Post: My first out-of-state turnkey was a bust (sort of)

- Lebanon, NH
- Posts 258
- Votes 87
Originally posted by @Brie Schmidt:
local investor who is not involved in my deal and pay them to attend the inspection on my behalf and give their opinion as a disinterested third party.
This is a really good point. I would add to this, find a "real" experienced, old pro local landlord in the area you want to buy that has been doing it a long, long time. Maybe you can find someone at that areas local investor club that meets monthly. And ask them if they would buy this deal as a rental. Do not ask advice from the turnkey salesmen, they are not a disinterested 3rd party. The key to Brie's comment is get a experienced disinterested 3rd party to give you their advice. It is you and you alone that has to live with this deal once the deed is transferred into your name.
Post: Anyone have success with out of area/out of state rentals over the long term?

- Lebanon, NH
- Posts 258
- Votes 87
Originally posted by @Kimberly T.:
Originally posted by @Rob Cee:
Thanks Kimberly for your story. Do you mind sharing the numbers for the 4-plex? Initial price, fix up costs, rents? Did you finance it? How much is the PM costs? Do you have much turnover or or difficulty with tenants? 8 units is a lot to be managing from a distance. What states/cities are you looking at next?
We make between 9% and 16% ROI on our AZ fourplexes, since we bought before/during the appreciation of real estate. It would be very tough to find those numbers out there now.
Fix up costs were in the 4 digits. That includes electrical upgrades (the buildings have aluminum wiring, so we hired an electrician to go through and do alumicon retrofits), installing drip irrigation/plants/rockscape, and buying coin-op laundry machines for the laundry rooms.
Yes, we financed with a 25% down payment.
Our PM charges us 6% of rents plus lease-up fees. We were one of his first multifamily owners he managed for, and likes the way we want our properties run (strong tenant screening, strict rent collection, etc.). He charges other multifamily owners more now since they often approve tenants who are headaches to deal with.
We had some initial trouble with a couple of the inherited tenants, but we expected that. The previous owner rented to anyone with a pulse and some cash, and when we did the walk-through during escrow, we could tell they'd be trouble. We haven't had much trouble with any of the tenants we've approved our PM to rent to except for one that we had to evict for not paying rent, and even she left the unit clean and empty.
We're looking at CO, NC, and GA right now, based on them generally being landlord friendly, having growing economies and populations, etc.
Thank you for sharing Kimberly!
Post: Anyone have success with out of area/out of state rentals over the long term?

- Lebanon, NH
- Posts 258
- Votes 87
Originally posted by @Ali Boone:
If I can remember all your questions (since they are on a different page now)...
I started buying long-distance 3 years ago, price points at the time were $55k-100k but those same properties now would be considered in the $80k-110k range. They are all extremely nice condition, some 2-stories, good neighborhoods, etc. Uh oh forgot your other questions already. Oh I financed them.
The mistakes you mention for local investors are true, but they can apply to long-distance investors as well. There are a ton of investors making a ton of mistakes every day. Where the properties are isn't the issue, it's how they buy (prices, cash flow, hoping for appreciation or not, quality of the property, market, etc.) and how they are managed (regardless of whether landlording yourself or PM, it has to be managed right).
As long as you know what to look for and what constitutes a good investment, wherever or however you are wanting to buy, you can mitigate risk.
Thank you for sharing Ali!
Post: Anyone have success with out of area/out of state rentals over the long term?

- Lebanon, NH
- Posts 258
- Votes 87
Originally posted by @Chris Clothier:
So what is the post really about? Is it about long-term success buying out of town? Or is it breaking down where success can be found and at what price points? Because this post bounces around with changing dynamics.
I have owned investments in Colorado, Texas, Tennessee and Florida over the long-term. Even the ones in Tennessee are owned passively with me relying solely on others start to finish although i am more active today with anything I buy in the state of Tennessee. I have found a few characteristics to be fairly consistent.
1. Low-priced properties, at this point anything purchased and renovated below 50k to have been break even at best and most over time have broken even with a few having posted as losing money. The turn-over rates are higher and I can buy properties next door to all of them for the same prices I paid in 2002 so appreciation has been non-existent. Funny thing is, same thing goes for properties I bought all in for 90k in south Florida. That was the low end of that particular market. So i think it has to do with the low end price point for that market as much as it does the actual cost of the property.
2. Colorado houses were absolute losers in the middle of the housing downturn, but now doing much better and have appreciated although they are not worth what we figured when we bought back in 2005 and 2006. Those properties were bought with traditional with traditional terms.
3. Texas properties continue to do well and I will absolutely not sell them. Good property management is very hard to come by in that market and property management makes all of the difference there. Bad property management gets shorter leases for fewer dollars and makes good properties perform average over there. These properties were bought with traditional financing and today are being bought with private financing and structured ina way to pay off in 7-10 years.
4. I bought Tennessee properties from 2002 all the way to current and still buy. I lived in Colorado from 2002-2007 so a lot of my portfolio was bought from out of town. It was during this time period buying out of state that I learned the most about buying. Now that I am back in Tennessee I am aware how easy it is to make mistakes. I see the price points in my city and there are hundreds of properties offered monthly that are dirt cheap and bought by investors both locally and out of town. Some succeed and some don't.
Buying cheap properties for the market you are investing in whether it is close to home or far from home will carry far more risk and require you to be a much, much more tough minded owner. You have to be willing to have a 'bad-***' property manager who is tough but fair on tenants or you have to be that yourself. Low-priced properties bring in tenants who cannot afford to pay higher rent rates. A tenant that can only afford a few hundred dollars in rent is probably earning 4-5 times the rent, which means they are struggling to make ends meet. They will have to make choices on which bills to pay and the easiest to not pay is rent since they have to have lights, heat, air, food and gas. Landlords and management companies that understand this are successful and earn the return they are looking for.
On my investments that I have had for longer than 7 years, I have sold some, lost some, made some money on some and I still have some. Last year was a good year, but has more to do with finally getting rid of the mistake properties I had purchased.
I have done best with properties that I put 20% down on. Properties I bought with no money down or interest only loans have done horrible even though those strategies were supposed to make me more money. It does not always work out that way. Putting money down on better properties that are much closer to median price points for a market have been the best performing properties.
Mistakes are made EVERY DAY by real estate investors no matter where they live or where they buy and usually it has a lot more to do with patience and understanding and less to do with market or length of time as an investor (although new investors tend to be be less patient). Property management is by far the most important factor in my opinion after price point and purchase method. Great management has helped and bad management has killed. And bad management seemed to be the constant factor on the cheap properties.
Lastly, as an investor, I am perfectly happy with 8-9% returns as long as that return is consistent and I can see where the management of that property is going to help make that a reality. I DO NOT invest in low-end properties ANYWHERE. I may in the future if I see it as an opportunity so I never say never, but right now there are too many great median priced investments that can return a solid consistent return all over the middle of the country for me to go low-end again.
One last point, IN MY OPINION, you do not lose money because you bought low end or out of town. You lose money because you cannot explain EXACTLY why you are buying the property you are buying. If you cannot explain how this is a good investment beyond someone else is doing everything for me, you do not need to be buying.
Thanks for the detailed post Chris. I always find it more helpful and I learn more from people who talk about the mistake properties they bought in where they lost money. Many people will only tell you about their winners but not their losers. I lost a ton of money on an out of state property I bought a long time ago more because it was the very first investment property I bought and I was dumb and inexperienced, not because it was out of state. I do think people should put a lot of thought into where and why they are buying out of state, and do a lot of due diligence. Best if you can find out of state owners that have owned there for 5-10 years where you want to buy and talk to them, not people who have just owned there for 1-2 years. New people are still in the honeymoon phase and 1-2 years into it and you won't get a real answer. That was the main reason for this thread, to find investors that have owned rentals out of state for the LONG TERM, preferably 7-10 years. And not just people who rented a house they moved out of. I'm talking investors buying rentals in cities they have never lived in. Also I was most interested in this thread to find out the experiences of LONG TERM out of state rental property owners of the older type properties under $70k 1-4's in the Midwest rust belt and Southern states. And if these have been viable cash flow income generators over the long term, or just pains in the butt with constant turnover.
Post: Anyone have success with out of area/out of state rentals over the long term?

- Lebanon, NH
- Posts 258
- Votes 87
Originally posted by @Kate Horrell:
@Micheal Waldrup , I just noticed you are in Virginia Beach. I don't see any reason to leave your backyard. Norfolk/Virginia Beach is one of the areas where I am comfortable buying. You will probably spend more than you would in a bargain area, but you can find some good deals on quality properties. And I have a brilliant PM there, let me know if you want his contact details.
This is a interesting decision for the out of state investor. Do you buy in rust belt Midwest areas or the Deep South where you can get the $30k-$80k type 2% rent ratio older 1-4 units that likely will have zero appreciation (unless it's forced though fix up) and are in "chronic poverty" type areas. Or do you take a little less cash flow and buy in a little better areas, places that have a chance of being up & coming, urban gentrification, and getting more price and rental appreciation in the future?
Post: Anyone have success with out of area/out of state rentals over the long term?

- Lebanon, NH
- Posts 258
- Votes 87
Originally posted by @Nazz Wang:
I am curious. What kind of questions should one ask a pm during interview to determine if the pm is a good one?
I would first get some references from them. I would ask some local investors on BP if they have heard of them. Check how long they have been in business. Check BBB. Ask them how they handle repair calls and if you can get multiple bids and use your own people. Make sure they do annual (if not bi-annual) property walk through (this is a great way to find out if tenants are smoking in the house or sneaking in pets). Ask them about their tenant screening process (evictions checks? criminal background checks?). Ask them about their eviction process, how they will represent you and how many they have done. Make sure they do a property walk though with tenants with written checklist of anything tenants see as pre-existing and take photos to document condition of property upon move in. That's a start.
Post: Anyone have success with out of area/out of state rentals over the long term?

- Lebanon, NH
- Posts 258
- Votes 87
Originally posted by @Kate Horrell:
We became landlords for the first time nearly 20 years ago when we moved away from our house for a job transfer. We went through four property managers in the first two years, and then luckily found a fabulous PM. That house has done fabulously over the years, completely because of our PM. This is one of two markets where I am considering expanding, but only because my PM tells me that he continues to be in the business forever.
We own properties in another area, as well. We lived there, and hope to return. We don't use a PM for those properties but I do have an absolutely amazing contractor who acts as our PM for everything except money. I have purchased one property there since I left, with my contractor handling all the "look and see" parts of the purchase. Again, I would not buy another property there if I didn't have him.
We've done well, but I have been very conservative in my purchases. I only buy houses in areas that I know very well and that have very little risk. We're talking superior location, Blue Ribbon schools, high rent and high occupancy areas. And they're expensive. We'd own a lot more properties if we bought in a lower-cost area, but I'm not comfortable with that.
I have considered experimenting with less expensive properties, but I wouldn't want to do it from a distance. I just don't know those markets intimately, and I think that is an important part of making good choices.
You can definitely make money on long-distance properties, but you have to have a good team, and somehow know the area very well (like having lived there previously, or being able to spend a good bit of time there.)
Hi Kate, thanks for responding. You are talking about something a little different though, renting out a house you previous lived in. This is very different then someone from say CA who has never lived in say Cleveland, buying cash flow rentals there. Do you mind sharing the city and state of your rentals? What was your purchase price point and what do you rent them for?