All Forum Posts by: Forest Wu
Forest Wu has started 6 posts and replied 71 times.
Post: How to find offmarket syndication opportunities with great GPs/operators?

- Posts 72
- Votes 43
Quote from @Carlos Ptriawan:
I was impressed by how Melanie accurately saying "Syndication is not for newbie". Been trying to say the same. The level of DD for syndication esp multifamily is overwhelming. But it's way easier for different asset class like industrial or warehouse, maybe because it's a niche sector.
ok I would answer OP question: CAZ is also good one.
Sometimes the best way to find best investment is to just follow the best 4 investors that you follow, let them do the DD for you LOL.
Out of curiosity, have you invested with CAZ? Just trying to understand how you determined that they're a good group to invest with
Post: How to find offmarket syndication opportunities with great GPs/operators?

- Posts 72
- Votes 43
Quote from @Carlos Ptriawan:
Quote from @Forest Wu:
Quote from @Lu Kang:
I recommend joining the private investor club. This was run by @Ian Ippolito. Free group of like minded investors who research and vet out private syndications.
I gained a wealth of knowledge around syndications, different options, and basically what to expect when you get into a deal.
Good call. Ian messaged me and I'll check out the private investor club when I have time. Have you invested in their syndications? If so, what has the experience been like for you? To keep things private, feel free to direct message me.
Here's the problem with investors club. I am in many list so I can share my private view.
Disclosure: I don't mention specific club here.
There's always drama as well in such and such club, you question is great but it is not easy to answer. The investment club usually is following the bias of the founder or the most active of such club, so you've been redirected that such and such investment is great, while after investing for such "great syndicator" they also failed when the market is going againts them.
Lot of investor trying to invest using SPV for example, but when market changes, they also get affected.
Also there's something like Avestor where you can re-invest on top of SPV ( kinda of ETF/mutual fund of syndicator)..but the holding are not that great either although you can customize which fund you want to invest.
So after thousand and thousand of email. Your question is remain still unanswered. There're only few good guys overthere I can say.
Sometimes, how to find great one is you can look also the performance from different asset class from very well known player, for example BlackROck decides only want to invest in specifc asset class only: warehouse. Now that's something.
Very interesting perspective - I'll keep it in mind!
Post: How to find offmarket syndication opportunities with great GPs/operators?

- Posts 72
- Votes 43
Quote from @Brian Adams:
@Carlos Ptriawan I am not sure what you mean.
Last deal I bought as a GP was a 1,000 unit deal and I know I am not a "worst possible operator".
I think he may have meant that regardless of how good a GP/operator is in reality, it didn't matter in 2023/24 when interest rates spiked and cap rates expanded. Lots of equity was lost across the board and now investors are upset.
Post: How to find offmarket syndication opportunities with great GPs/operators?

- Posts 72
- Votes 43
Quote from @Carlos Ptriawan:
Quote from @Forest Wu:
Quote from @Carlos Ptriawan:
Quote from @Forest Wu:
Quote from @Nicholas L.:
got it - makes sense.
it seems like, as an LP, you give up both liquidity and control. that's what makes it unappealing to me. if i buy a REIT or index fund i give up control but have high liquidity.
of course if you find the 'perfect' syndicator you get returns that will outpace the market. but that's the challenge, right?
Yep, that's the risk that you accept unfortunately - lack of liquidity and control. I've looked at REITs but there is limited upside and you really don't know what you're getting into sometimes. Finding the right syndication opportunity on the other hand could lead to more upside while still having a passive role. I don't want to be involved - that's the GPs job. My role is to make sure that I'm confident in the team and investment philosophy after the initial due diligence.
For some investors, they don't care about the liquidity, cashflow or control anymore. Instead, they just focus on growing wealth and deploy a few hundred thousand each year and every year with the right syndications and wait to see the returns in five to eight years. I do believe that if you pick the right conservative syndications, it's an easy way to diversify, maintain a low risk profile and come out slightly ahead of the market over time. However, I think even these returns will get eaten up as more investors jump in and good operators demand more upside for themselves.
something like MLG is conservative core based syndication.
For me conservative syndication just means they have integrated business including integrated property management and integrated in-house repair department.
i am running away from 3 4 guys running syndication that hire outside PM and repair maintenance guy.
So what does it means by conservative syndicators are not just about how the financial modelling aspect (eg: syndicator that took 10 year fixed loan is very different with syndicator with bridge loan 5 year 80%LTV floating debt) but also how about it operates its business.
I do not care about their philosophy as well, if they have the PM as their own internal team, I could be their friend.
Good points on the internal processes. However, I've seen internal PMs flops and external PMs excel. So I wouldn't count on this factor. It's a nice-to-have in my eyes.
I think what's more important is ensuring that there are proper incentives that reward those who are materially participating in the deal. Everybody will ask: "What's in it for me?"
Also something like "GP Fund" is interesting for me when you say "what is in it for me ?"
So I may invest to GP fund rather than a LP, as GP fund the reward/risk is higher.
Yeah, my intent is that the GPs need the right incentives and not just the incentive to do more deals. For instance, I've seen GPs invest $300K - sometimes representing less than 1-2% of the deal. If they get $300K in acquisition fees, then I don't really feel like the GPs have much skin in the game. That being said, at the end of the day, someone needs to sign on the loan - thus, GPs are taking liabilities even if they may not have much skin in the game. Signing a loan isn't something to take lightly.
Post: How to find offmarket syndication opportunities with great GPs/operators?

- Posts 72
- Votes 43
Quote from @Melanie P.:
Quote from @Forest Wu:
Oh most definitely - that's why my original question was trying to understand how investors find offmarket deals. However, this post has the unintended consequence of potentially attracting some some GPs/operators running syndications that have underperformed and thus allows them free marketing to try and raise capital from new investors. I'm sure there are also those posting here who are very successful too.
So I'll turn things to you - do you have any recommendations on how to find syndications opportunities with great operators/GPs? Or do you prefer another approach to investing in real estate?
I prefer to get a title to real estate when I invest in it. Having control over the investment, being able to sell anytime I want. Doesn't mean you need operate it. There are plenty of Class A properties that will return nice rent and appreciation that you can place with a property manager. We've seen average appreciation over 30 years of investing of 20% per year. Plus the rental income - which while it typically starts out around 5-10% per year by year 10 you're seeing 30%+++ annual return on original basis.
Or if you must give your money to someone else. How about a stock, bond or other publicly traded security? This gives you greater than the potential upside you believe is out there in syndications and you own a slice of the company, have access to all of the information publicly traded companies are required to disclose and can sell your stock at any time you wish should you need access to your capital.
The GPs that are around here seeking investors from the BP community are the worst possible operators. They are seeking the most uninformed, beginner investor client possible to hand money over to them. Because anyone with sense and experience, wouldn't.
If you're an accredited investor preparing to send six figures out to something you haven't bothered to fully understand, you can afford to run it by a fee only CFP (financial planner) to get some professional advice that fits your specific situation.
What appeals to you so much about investing with an investment promoter? You do realize getting 11% return is not that great for the huge risks involved. Or you can hope for later returns, tie your money up for who knows how long and maybe you'll get back twice your capital. Wow. Double in five years. Worth the risk? Worth having the capital literally gone and out of your control? Here's a great article from The Atlantic written in 1962 about Real Estate Syndications. You'll note none of these companies are still in business.
https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/1962/04/the-rea...
Thanks for the explanation - I really appreciate the perspective. I'm going to direct message you. Would that be okay?
Post: How to find offmarket syndication opportunities with great GPs/operators?

- Posts 72
- Votes 43
Quote from @Melanie P.:
@Forest Wu Getting referrals to investment promoters from an online forum is a sure way to lose money.
Please take time to read the Syndications thread here with the never-ending horror stories of paused distributions, capital calls, loss of principal, inability to redeem and so on.
There's a recommendation above for investor groups that are "LP only," but sometimes get special deals on certain investments. If no GPs allowed who is offering the "special deal?"
The syndication market exploded during a very unique time period that ended about 2 years ago. Anyone could raise money, buy a multifamily complex, hold it and sell it for some profit. With interest rates as they are and will be these times have past.
If you want to waste your money getting financial advice from someone you've never met to send money to some syndicator that you must rely only on what they tell you to invest, go for it. The syndicators model is to use distinct entities for every transaction so they do not necessarily have to disclose losing transactions. Moreover, the "projections" that turned you off of past deals you'd reviewed are entirely invented... they can be made to say whatever will get you comfortable enough to send the money.
Oh most definitely - that's why my original question was trying to understand how investors find offmarket deals. However, this post has the unintended consequence of potentially attracting some some GPs/operators running syndications that have underperformed and thus allows them free marketing to try and raise capital from new investors. I'm sure there are also those posting here who are very successful too.
So I'll turn things to you - do you have any recommendations on how to find syndications opportunities with great operators/GPs? Or do you prefer another approach to investing in real estate?
Post: How to find offmarket syndication opportunities with great GPs/operators?

- Posts 72
- Votes 43
Quote from @Lu Kang:
I recommend joining the private investor club. This was run by @Ian Ippolito. Free group of like minded investors who research and vet out private syndications.
I gained a wealth of knowledge around syndications, different options, and basically what to expect when you get into a deal.
Good call. Ian messaged me and I'll check out the private investor club when I have time. Have you invested in their syndications? If so, what has the experience been like for you? To keep things private, feel free to direct message me.
Post: How to find offmarket syndication opportunities with great GPs/operators?

- Posts 72
- Votes 43
Quote from @Carlos Ptriawan:
Quote from @Forest Wu:
Quote from @Nicholas L.:
got it - makes sense.
it seems like, as an LP, you give up both liquidity and control. that's what makes it unappealing to me. if i buy a REIT or index fund i give up control but have high liquidity.
of course if you find the 'perfect' syndicator you get returns that will outpace the market. but that's the challenge, right?
Yep, that's the risk that you accept unfortunately - lack of liquidity and control. I've looked at REITs but there is limited upside and you really don't know what you're getting into sometimes. Finding the right syndication opportunity on the other hand could lead to more upside while still having a passive role. I don't want to be involved - that's the GPs job. My role is to make sure that I'm confident in the team and investment philosophy after the initial due diligence.
For some investors, they don't care about the liquidity, cashflow or control anymore. Instead, they just focus on growing wealth and deploy a few hundred thousand each year and every year with the right syndications and wait to see the returns in five to eight years. I do believe that if you pick the right conservative syndications, it's an easy way to diversify, maintain a low risk profile and come out slightly ahead of the market over time. However, I think even these returns will get eaten up as more investors jump in and good operators demand more upside for themselves.
something like MLG is conservative core based syndication.
For me conservative syndication just means they have integrated business including integrated property management and integrated in-house repair department.
i am running away from 3 4 guys running syndication that hire outside PM and repair maintenance guy.
So what does it means by conservative syndicators are not just about how the financial modelling aspect (eg: syndicator that took 10 year fixed loan is very different with syndicator with bridge loan 5 year 80%LTV floating debt) but also how about it operates its business.
I do not care about their philosophy as well, if they have the PM as their own internal team, I could be their friend.
Good points on the internal processes. However, I've seen internal PMs flops and external PMs excel. So I wouldn't count on this factor. It's a nice-to-have in my eyes.
I think what's more important is ensuring that there are proper incentives that reward those who are materially participating in the deal. Everybody will ask: "What's in it for me?"
Post: How to find offmarket syndication opportunities with great GPs/operators?

- Posts 72
- Votes 43
Quote from @Carlos Ptriawan:
Quote from @Forest Wu:
Hi BP family, would anyone have recommendations on the best way to find offmarket syndication opportunities with GPs/operators that have great track records? I'm avoiding deals provided through platforms like FundRise, RealtyMogul, CrowdStreet, etc since often times those deals are the worst in terms of performance.
Put differently, I'm assuming some of the best GPs/Operators don't bother marketing and already have a reliable group of investors to turn to. Any idea how to be a part of those specific groups?
unless you understand the actual DSCR, lender finance , there is no such thing as Great GP.
Great GP that works in 2018 ultimately many failed in 2023
There's difference between actual marketing pitch, and actual apartment condition in practice.
Just read yesterday SS facity was running with 0.25 dscr lol , it is not unheard of that GP that offer 1.8 dscr in practice it has 0.9 dscr with 85% occupancy.
so what i am saying is try to understand the metrics first before saying holy moly this GP can't lose you any money.
Oh definitely. I never assume that a GP can't lose my money. In fact, you should invest in each deal as if you don't care that $200K goes to $0 in the worst case scenario. Otherwise, you shouldn't be investing in these deals in the first place.
I've seen solid GPs/Operators (+$3B in AUM) suffer in 2022/23 simply because they believed that interest rates would stay low and that rents would increase. Hindsight is 20/20 as we recognize now that these were terrible assumptions. Some of these same GPs/Operators loss 30-40% of their net worth in less than two years depending on how aggressive they were in investing and how much cap rates expanded.
But great GPs often have certain characteristics:
1. Experience - they have weathered multiple business cycles and have pretty much seen it all, and they don't flinch in the face of adversity
2. Flexibility - they understand that putting together a deal means evaluating all potential exit options (even if it means not exiting at all)
3. Relationship expert - they've built a network of people who they can rely on even when facing the toughest of challenges (e.g., government policy issues, insurance claims, legal hurdles etc.)
4. Trustworthy - they understand that bad news doesn't get better with time. They also would rather manage expectations - aim small, miss small.
Post: How to find offmarket syndication opportunities with great GPs/operators?

- Posts 72
- Votes 43
Quote from @Arn Cenedella:
I’m a multifamily syndicator and could toot by own horn but won’t. 😀
Check into Left Field Investors.
This is a great group of LPs who share their experiences with GPS across the country. The cost to join is nominal but well worth it.
You might also check out the Best Conference in Salt Lake City starts April 10.
LFI has a one day full day LP presentation the day before the Conference on Tuesday April 9.
This would be a great place to start your search.
Good luck.
One word of advice is you come across a deal where the GP is promoting 8% cash on cash 20% IRR, I'd be very skeptical given the current debt market.
Do you have any upcoming opportunities, Arn? If so, I'd love to take a look.