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All Forum Posts by: Forest Wu

Forest Wu has started 6 posts and replied 71 times.

Quote from @Account Closed:

No one wants to name names and understandably so. I think any list of bad sponsors needs to be broken down into two categories: 1) Inexperienced sponsors that got caught up in a rising interest rate environment, and 2) Bad sponsors that are either acting malicious and/or greedy.

There are many many many sponsors, particularly those on BP and raising capital on social media, that fall within the first category.

Category #1 - Inexperienced Sponsors:

Ashcroft, Opendoor, Elevate, Western Wealth, Tides, ZMR, GVA

Category #2 - Malicious/Greedy sponsors:

Appleway, Nitya, Rise48, any "fund of fund" sponsor that's come out of Rise 48, Grant Cardone, Affinity, Nightingdale, Rockstar Capital

This is just a short list but I think it's important to protect LPs. The wall street oasis community does a good job at calling out the terrible sponsors. https://www.wallstreetoasis.com/forum/real-estate/mf-syndica...

@Account Closed - Thanks so much for writing this! I think there are a lot of investors here on Biggerpockets who aren't willing to post their terrible experiences here which is unfortunate. I'm guessing it's the fear of backlash or just the shame that comes from embarassment at times. Your post helps increase transparency or at least helps investors think twice before investing
 

@Scott Trench, I hope we can continue encouraging others to share their tough experiences here rather than seek truth on other website forums. Many may have found their deals here in BP. We should celebrate wins but also reflect on losses as well.

Quote from @Scott Trench:

@Gino Barbaro 

As always, it will be a case by case basis. 

This thread is about GPs to avoid. Many LPs thanked their sponsors for good returns with millions of dollars in guaranteed fees, and tens of millions in carried interest. To those sponsors, LPs shouldn't say "thank you." They should say, "you're welcome." 

GPs solicited investors by promising huge returns and citing their track records. Some did this very publicly. Then those GPs "earned" fees just for buying the buildings... the same buildings that will now result in many cases in total wipeout for their investors. Some of them are now asking for more capital to bail out these buildings and have very real risk of losing that too.

LPs absolutely have a right to be mad, and a total or near total wipeout of invested capital in the last 3-5 years absolutely invalidates a decade of performance in many, but not all, cases, in my view, especially in the 2010s, when almost anyone with a pulse could make money in multifamily. 

However, what matters more to me than whether a fund or deal is wiped out, is how the sponsor handles it.

"Good" in the context of losing, to me, looks like this:

 Sponsor honestly appraises the situation, and provides a blunt assessment of where they made a bad bet, failed in due diligence, operated poorly, or were totally irresponsible with leverage and timing. Sponsor realistically and honestly susses out this from market challenges, which of course are real.

Sponsor tells investors that they are committed to operating their current business and stewarding investor capital. Sponsor recommits full-time attention to their jobwhich is to oversee the tens of millions, hundreds of millions, and/or billions of Assets they deploy

Sponsor is regularly seen on-site at every property in their portfolio, regardless of personal cost. 


They raised the big bucks, and things aren't going well. Are they going to be on vacation? Are they going to start up the next fun side project or fund? Or are they going to go to work and do everything they can to make their investors whole on their CURRENT deals?

I'm in a deal that's gone south as an LP. My sponsor is doing "Good" in the context of losing.

We all knew what we were getting into. We knew the bet. He executed it. It's his full-time job. It's all he does. He lives within an easy drive of every property in the portfolio. 

Doesn't change that I am getting flushed on the deal. But, I may/will invest with him again. He operated it well. Executed the plan, keeps the units occupied. Just supply and interest rates crushed us. I expect many investors will not be happy, but they also won't publicly roast him for fleecing them.

Other sponsors aren't doing "good" in the context of losing. They will get roasted. 

Some deserve it. 


 Great thoughts, Scott! I do think there are really good GPs just stuck in bad deals during these rough times - your anecdote makes a lot of sense. At the same time, there are just bad GPs who probably should have no business being GPs due to lack of accountability.

Quote from @Gino Barbaro:

@Forest Wu

I recorded a podcast with Ash Patel yesterday from Best Ever, and he made a great point. LPs have been enriched, just like Gps the past ten years. The market has corrected the past two years, and now everyone is complaining. I rarely heard anyone thanking GPs for their 20+ IRR for over a decade.

I just sold our third syndication two months ago with a 20+ IRR, averaging over 20 IRR for three syndications. Unfortunately, it is human nature to complain much more than it is to be grateful.

There are good deals out there and good sponsors. 

Gino


Agree - I think it goes both ways. However, I think it depends on the situation too. If a GP is claiming that they'll achieve a certain IRR, I do think it's fair to hold them accountable to that - especially if they claim it's conservative. If they exceed target metrics, then praise them. If they miss target metrics by a lot, then I think it's fair to complain.

And there's always atypical situations: good sponsors that got unlucky with bad properties and bad sponsors that got lucky with great properties.

If there are good deals with good sponsors that you've invested with in the past and will continue to invest with them today, I'm all ears. Let's make sure it's easier for them to raise capital.

Quote from @Scott Trench:

Goinvestclearly has some of these rankings. And, if you want to really see how LPs feel in a non public environment, there’s an “LP only” forum on Left Field Investors that discussed “red flag” sponsors that investors won’t work with again. 


 Thanks for letting me know! I checked out Goinvestclearly but the rankings seem pretty limited and it more or less seems like people just talk about how amazing their experiences are. This is fine but I have a hard time believing that all the syndications are great. I'll take a look at Left Field Investors though.

Quote from @Gino Barbaro:

@Forest Wu

There are companies out there that have GPs on their platform, and rank them. Check out --> go invest clearly.

Why don't we also put a list of good GPs, which there are a lot. And from my experience, I think investors who are investing passively bear some of the responsibility. When I invested in my first syndication over 20 years ago, the lead was terrible, but if I had known how to vet a sponsor, done underwriting, due diligence, I would have avoided the deal.

Gino


 Happy to have people talk about their good experiences as well! Let's have a list of good GPs - that makes sense. It's just unfortunately I've only heard bad experiences thus far and it doesn't seem like anything gets talked about in these forums.

That's a good point, @Chris Seveney. But I think sharing the experiences of close friends/colleagues/family is fair game too. In those cases, I think someone just needs to clarify that it isn't their first-hand experience.

@Monica C.

Out of curiosity, what has your experience been investing in syndications so far? I know that the landscape has changed quite a lot and I wonder if you have any perspective on how to find good syndications opportunities and which ones to avoid. Thanks a lot for any insights!

Hi! One of my last posts was asking about syndications/PE opportunities. Unfortunately, I've come across quite a few people who are really upset with how their syndication experience has been. Quite a few people have lost a lot of money. I think it'll be very helpful to increase transparency on those operators who have betrayed their investors trust or simply are poor performers. So let's do the following:

1/ List the GP / syndication that you've had a terrible experience with

2/ At a high level (and as much as you're comfortable sharing), provide a reason for why the GP / Syndication should be avoided from your experience (or an acquaintance's experience)

3/ Any lesson learned to help future investors

Let's help each other avoid future mistakes and bring hold GPs/operators accountable. 

Quote from @John McKee:

Don't forget mortgage notes.  Returns of 12% with a 3 year hold. Not a bad way to diversify and beats most asset classes on a cash on cash basis. No need to chase future yields when you get 12% out of the gate!


 Definitely! This is a really good one. I think I've heard that lending to flippers can get around 13-15%. I don't like the tax treatment though since it's treated as ordinary income.

Quote from @Lu Kang:
Quote from @Melanie P.:

@Lu Kang Thanks for sharing your opinion, which you go on to acknowledge is based on zero experience. Guess that sales rep caught you by the tail. :eyeroll: Please come back and let us know how your gambling with an investment tout turns out.


Thanks for the vote of confidence in my investments :) . 

Hoping to keep things cordial and keep away from the personal attacks but I estimated wrong. 


 Please don't take anything on this post personally :) 

I think there are a lot of opinions on this page and it's good to hear a variety of views - regardless of how strong one's views are.

I think we're all learning a lot here and that's what matters.

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