@J Scott
I see now, what you guys are doing, and based on your goals it make perfect sense, to be in that area! You will not get great cash flow with rentals in AA, HO county properties for at least the first couple of years!
As far as property values in our area, in my view we are way different here from Las Vegas. Vegas heavily relies on discretionary income from the general population where as here we have a very aggressive growth of our local economy that comes to us from all different direction. Years ago the big players had decided that this area has to grow and this is what we had experienced here for decades, now. We have a steady population gain of about 1.1% per year, most obvious reason for this is Jobs. This trend has started in the 80s and has really picked up in the 90s, continues today and is also projected by the US census, to be continued for the next 30 years. As the economy sank elsewhere our area has benefited.
For example the Base Realigned and Closure Act closed down several Military bases elsewhere in Virginia and in the southern states, and DOD had re-assigned DOD jobs to Ft Meade. Roughly 8-10,000 white collar jobs, and all of them are technology related.(number is conservative and not including the supporting jobs that comes with this much population growth)
Casino has opened two years ago with about 2-3000 jobs. Verizon is just moving here from Connecticut to Hanover MD about 1500 jobs.(Just had a tenant applicant moving here from CT with that company) This is again not including the local commercial development with about another 6000 positions already opened in past few years, also the hospital capacity has doubled here and in Ho County as well in past few years.
Just an interesting fact, and you might see similar situation in Baltimore Co. as well if you start renting your properties. This year 3/4 of our tenant applicants just came from out of state! That along would not be so unusual having large number of military population come and go, but these new folks are all civilians! Never been so many before! On the way it is sad because it shows you that some parts of the country is not doing well at all, but is great for this area.
Have you heard of Tyson's Corner center near Whashington DC? Friend of ours live there telling me that when they moved there in early 90s Town Homes there were $70ks and now they are $8-900K. I think based on the demographic data end the economic indicators for the area, the Anne Arundel Mills Mall area including the Ellicott City, Sykes-ville, Columbia, etc. Jessup,Hanover, Severn, Odenton etc. is experiencing something similar on the long run, does this effect the neighboring counties? You bet! But according to data from MRIS some counties HO,AA benefit more than others.
Since I am writing you from Annapolis let me finish with some "local language": You have your "anchor pulled and your compass set" so "Happy Sailling" or Happy Investing ! :)