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All Forum Posts by: Christian Hutchinson

Christian Hutchinson has started 45 posts and replied 346 times.

Post: Detroit the Come Back Kid

Christian HutchinsonPosted
  • Investor
  • Detroit, MI
  • Posts 360
  • Votes 354

I want to know what insurance company is insuring a property in Detroit for $720/yr? I would expect $1800/yr and thats on the cheap side.

Thats cheaper than many suburbs for similar sized homes, unless you literally are only insuring your cash into the project and that still seems low.

The property taxes also seem VERY low(esp non-Homestead). I would expect closer to $1700 or $1800.

Post: Is it safe to invest in Detroit???

Christian HutchinsonPosted
  • Investor
  • Detroit, MI
  • Posts 360
  • Votes 354
Originally posted by @Maria Luna:

@Christian Hutchinson

Hello Christian,

I agree with you. As PM you should always be checking on your properties to make sure things are running smood. I have two properties I manage my self here in Washington and I always drive by. Now, if I invest in Detroit I’m going to use a PM, and will see how that goes. I appreciate you sharing with us the things that have worked out for you to keep your properties safe. I might do what you are doing, and install cameras.

 No PM is going to care about your money like you do.

If your investment goes sideways in Detroit you are out of $25K-$100K. Thats a high incentive to be diligent.  For a PM if a property goes sideways it cost them $75-$150/mo so in a year they lose $1000 in a year on a bad property.  No one will care about your money like you do, especially in this market.

Post: Is it safe to invest in Detroit???

Christian HutchinsonPosted
  • Investor
  • Detroit, MI
  • Posts 360
  • Votes 354
Originally posted by @Michael Kalis:

I grew up in Plymouth, a suburb just west of Detroit.  I now have flipped hundreds of homes and happen to run a property management company that has over 3,000 rentals and 85 W-2 team members, many live in the city.  My little sister lived in Detroit for a long time.  I am a HUGE supporter of the revitalization efforts, but I have to share the real scoop.  I have nothing to gain to tell you to what I am going to say, so please take as my advice from the bottom of my heart to help you become successful.  Here are the details of Detroit proper and my HUGE recommendation to take a look at the VERY investable suburbs that also offer great yields and FAR less issues.  We have homes in St. Louis, Baltimore and the South Side of Chicago... but Detroit is different from them all.  

1)  Remodeled nice homes (that you will be all in around $40K to $50K) will have hundreds of people that want to rent for $800/mo to $900/mo.  This surprises most and this is where is seems great.  But it is actually not good.  As a manager, it is incredibly difficult to handle what will amount to 100 to 200 hundred calls in a couple days for a property while 90% will end in an unqualified tenant.   

2)  The police do not respond in Detroit.  Period.  Full Stop.  Let that sink in for a minute.  Your property manager is NOT the police.  Your appliances will be stolen in broad daylight.  Your tenant will want to break a lease because a neighbor was murdered (this happened to us 3 months ago).  Your tenant will have belongings stolen and it will break your heart because the police won't even show up.  As a manager, we will buy back the copper pipes from the people that stole them, because that is how it is.  Appliances, HVAC and copper are traded in alleys.  People will walk straight into your home and take everything and the police WILL NOT EVEN RESPOND TO THE CALL.  

3)  You will get a tenant and you will get them fast.  With our system, less then 2 weeks.  But set aside $5K a year to replace stolen items.  Some say 50% of rent is a reasonable reserve for repairs, in Detroit, it is probably closer to 70%.  

4)  Section 8 - Many like section 8.  the Detroit Housing Authority is special.  They simply don't respond.  Everyone is eventually made right over time, but I have had 2 to 4 months pass prior to getting the first payment.  They catch it up, but this wreaks havoc with cash flow if you have 10 units.   

5)  Water Authority - They refuse to turn water into anyone's name unless you show up in person (or have a lot of docs to let us do it).  Trust me, this is not a great place to go.  Chalk up a day of standing in line.  The amount of properties with outstanding water bills is shocking.  

6)  Taxes are Rediculous - Over 50% of ALL properties in Detroit are currently behind on taxes.  Think about that!  This is not the great recession, this is the great boom!  Detroit is 75 mills for investors making it the highest tax rate of any city in Michigan.  That works out to nearly 4% of the value of a home.  So a $50K home may be $2K a year in tax.  Imagine if you actually purchase a nice $200K home.... yep... could reach tax of over $8K/yr!  Wowza!!!  This, of course, leads to corruption and the non-payment issue and then the annual tax auctions where you can buy these lovely gems for $500.   But remember, there are hundreds of thousands of homes behind on taxes.  The numbers are off the charts.  

7)  Income tax - The city punishes those that liive in the city with a 1.25% income tax.  They then hit you with an additional $1.25% if you work there too.  This is a 2.5% tax that makes sure anyone with income will more often chose the subburbs.  (more on that in a second)

8)  87% of Detroit transactions closed cash in 2017.  For our California friends, this was not because of the huge level of assets in the city.  These deals are all of the out of state investors that purchase homes only to see all the issues above and bail out a  year or two later and pass on to the next out of state investor.  

9)  Schools- The schools are rated a 1.  A 1!   The only blessing is that Michigan has schools of choice to help kids that stuck here and they can use vouchers in Michigan to goto charter schools.  Outside of that, the public schools system is completely unproductive by any measure and ripe with corpution and fraud as many members of the school system have been sent to jail for issues with rigging bidding with vendors.  

10)  Crime - 43 murders per 100,000 in 2017.  This means that you 1/2,500 shot of being murdered in the city.  If you figure that everyone might know a couple hondred people, it is highly likely you or someone you know is murdered every year.  That is INSAIN.  

----------------------------------------------------------------

What I would HIGHLY recommend.

Consider the suburbs of Detroit!   The step up to cites that include Redford, Livonia, Warren, Ferndale and Westland are a completely different game from Detroit.  

At the time of this writing, homes can still be purchased in the $75K to $125K range in all of those areas and get well 10% to 12% CAP rates. Prices are rising so that won't last forever, but it is there.

Big difference - 

1) The police respond and are active in enforcing laws to protect your tenants and homes

2)  The schools are much better

3)  The crime is MUCH lower  

4)  You will be happier with your property manager

5)  The homes will actually sell to end buyers, not just out of state investors.

6)  People pay taxes and water bills in every city other then Detroit nearly all of the time

Can you make a HUGE return in Detroit!  HELL YEAH!!!  I have clients that do.  But if you are a newbie, if you have not bought over 100 homes in your career, if you are using a decent percent of your wealth to invest, PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE do not choose this city as your tuition bill.  So many have paid the price prior, please learn from them.

From a Property Manager in Detroit that Loves the City but cares about investors mental stability.

What he is saying as a professional investor is very true.  People over and over attempt to overlay the typical PM Game on the Detroit Market is fails every time.

If you want to do Detroit it has to be personal.  It can't be numbers on a spreadsheet. It means going by properties a couple times a month when occupied and daily when empty.  It means the neighbors have your number, it means when you have rehab happening, your contractor has a "sitter" for the house.

I make my Detroit properties work because I am by them non-stop, I have cameras (the wires are inside of steel casing so they are more difficult to cut) I can monitor the premises from my phone or laptop.

Detroit is not a buy it and forget it town.  I forget about the places I own in the suburbs except for when I get a water bill I have to pay.

Post: Help me analyze this deal !

Christian HutchinsonPosted
  • Investor
  • Detroit, MI
  • Posts 360
  • Votes 354

I personally wouldn't invest here I'm 7.2 bias...I shy away from SFH in Detroit, I prefer 2-4 units.

That said, this is a solid model for Detroit, good purchase price, reasonable amount of cash to rent for a home and fair for housing amount in terms of rent. Decent enough neighborhood with nice amount of commercial activity. ARV feels high by about $7-10K, but that wouldn't stop me on a deal in Detroit anyway.

I would worry about tenant placement this late in the year, or even going into Jan and Feb.  Its Sept 5, 2 weeks to close 5 weeks of rehab if you get going right away. November 1 move-in?

I think its not a bad deal, feels like the calendar is a little off. If there was a way to drum of leads now do it.  Also, it feels like based on Zillow there are lots of unfilled rentals in the area. Some of the ads are garbage, so actually post ads with photos, just dont put appliances in until you have someone moved in, schedule delivery on the same day they move in.

https://www.zillow.com/homes/for_rent/Detroit-MI-48227/79082_rid/42.413191,-83.177534,42.380548,-83.232465_rect/13_zm/

I would furnish the house. Then start calling around to HR Departments of large companies and try to angle for a relocation deal. Companies are always scrambling for housing, in nice school districts at reasonable costs.

I had a $1800/mo place that I was going to turn into a corporate for $3000 furnished. But luckily the house sold.

Post: Detroit Investing - What Neighborhoods are You Investing In?

Christian HutchinsonPosted
  • Investor
  • Detroit, MI
  • Posts 360
  • Votes 354

Either of those zip codes could work.  I guess my question is how cheap are you getting in? I know some people don't get this, but I rather spend $55K on a property than $25K.

$25K you have an investor or a owner just trying to get some money and run.  At $55K the property might be in an okay area and the current owner lacks funds to complete the work.

Post: It's Feeling a Lot Like 2007

Christian HutchinsonPosted
  • Investor
  • Detroit, MI
  • Posts 360
  • Votes 354
Originally posted by @Joseph M.:

@Account Closed , Where are the Chinese and Russian investors taking their money to? I know China has been putting pressure on some of the big companies like Wanda to sell their U.S properties  , but I don't think it's affecting the smaller/individual investors as much at least now. 

U.S still seems like the most stable place investment wise or at least one of the most stable. 

What would the investment play in Greece be for a U.S investor? Investing in real estate there? Stocks of greek companies?

Its all inter-connected.  I work for a large company and we have a Consulting company as essentially a partner.  For years our company used the consulting company to source foreign talent in India.  This Consulting house has a large scale practice off-shore.   The people in India, who spoke English well, and could fit the company culture basically would prove themselves in 6-12 months on  H1-B1 or a J-1 Visa contract.  Some of the people coming over from India said they took a job at this Consulting firm 3-4 years prior to their arrival because they knew if they performed well they get a shot coming to the USA (or Canada). These people come hungry too work like crazy, they have to make minimum $72K due to regulations.  They make a name for themselves then get a full-time position, and a H1-B1.  Then they work 3-5 years, get the coveted Green Card. That money they send back to their home Country gets pooled and who knows what else, then comes back into the USA as a real estate purchase. Thats when floodgates open for a family/extended family/close friends.  They open a business, more are allowed entry into the USA through various Visa provisions. Its a legal.

The high-tech or high-skilled workforce knows and understands buying property in the USA gets their foot in the door. Then they have the investor visa, which allows importing more people. Or just open a business Gas Stations, Convenience Stores, small hotels/motels require 24/7 staffing they all require 5-10 people to run the whole thing, close family/friends all can live in close quarters working the business.  The workers go to college in their off-time often.


But small-time foreign investors they are the most affected.  These people are not "rich" they are the often Middle-class/upper middle class they are liquidating family properties to make a bet in North America.  That bet is made on the back of they can get a family member into the country and stay. It all starts there.  

Super-rich foreigners and funds will continue to invest because they have the means and ability to come and go or check on an investment using services.  A close family friend of my wife bought a $2M home in the Toronto Area. Well some people nearby was saying some rich Asian guy bought the house and its empty.  Well it was empty because no one lived in it.  But my Father-in-Law would cut the grass and shovel the snow, then his Nephew lives not far away who would check on it who had a key. After about 2-3 years his Son and Daughter-in-law moved in straight from China and she was pregnant (had 3 kids since being in Canada). So I don't know Canadian immigration laws but I imagine they won't be going anywhere soon. These investments are really a series of transactions/actions being made in order to get into the Country. If its one-thing I've learned from my Wife's family and family friends they know how to play the long game.

Post: It's Feeling a Lot Like 2007

Christian HutchinsonPosted
  • Investor
  • Detroit, MI
  • Posts 360
  • Votes 354

I always like to watch Median Household Incomes vs Median Sales Price...I'm seeing lots of places with Median HH income at like $77K and the homes are sold at $400K.  If your mortgage balance is more than 3 times your annual income unless you just have tons of cash, this is a financial disaster in the making.

Another thing I feel like I'm seeing because Construction is back fired up again I'm seeing lots of frivolous purchases.  Seeing lots of new RVs around town, $90K loaded pickup trucks, when I need to get a massage its a 3 day wait, versus same day 3-4 years ago. By some of my rentals I see lots of new TV boxes, xBoxes, etc packages on garbage day. IDK, if the Median HH Income for your Census tract is $47K I would think if you make extra money you should pay down debt, save, or invest.

I get guys in their mid-20 to early 30s bragging basically they can afford a $1500/mo apartment because they make $32/hr.  When you do some digging they are on a 1099.

I get consumer spending drives our economy...But I forever have this statement burned into my brain.  When my oldest son was born I told people in my unit in the USAF that the money made while we were deployed I was setting up a college fund for my son. I did this versus buying a new motorcycle, buying firearms we were selling (I don't know how that was legal), or special order a car (cause nothing is better than doing 7 months in the desert and coming home to a Chrysler 300 or a Camaro). The response over and over again was "Why he may not even go to college, and thats like 18 years away he is like 5 months old".

With attitudes like this so rampant in our Country, I feel another debt crisis is always just one or two economic shocks away.

Rule of thumb, if you see a wholesaler trying to push a property in Detroit here, it's probably not a good neighborhood. Look one to two neighborhoods over in all directions. You will find your deal.

Anything in the suburbs under 100k is a solid buy with due diligence. Just always hedge your purchase and rent expectations.

Post: Money Partner Deal any suggestions?

Christian HutchinsonPosted
  • Investor
  • Detroit, MI
  • Posts 360
  • Votes 354

I found a small apartment building.  I can afford the purchase but the building requires full rehab (can't afford to spend the money and not have something coming in for 8 months).  I ran into a contractor who has the capital to complete the rehab. He suggested he partners on the deal. I secure the property and does the rehab, and he is paid on the back-end once its occupied and refinanced.

How does a deal like this work? Does he go on Title? whats his premium for awaiting payment, etc.

Whats the best way to attack something like this?