@Minna Reid
I'm not the brightest crayon in the box by any means, but I did pick up a minor in Econ from IUB, and I think about this stuff A LOT. I'm with all you guys but you have to think for yourselves.
My suggestions/thoughts for those that truly are scared even though nobody asked:
1. Pick up those homes under $200k. Not the $400k+. That'll hedge against your exposure IF something crashes tomorrow. In the great recession those borrowers that were extending themselves were the first to go.
2. The stock market is way more volatile at a way faster clip. So when stocks correct (like they almost did this week but managed to avoid correction territory) keep your head on a swivel. Real estate is so slow though it's hard to notice until you have that "hindsight is 20/20" feeling.
3. Think super simple here, like supply and demand simple. So we have pinched inventory for an extended period of time. Prices go up. Eventually they'll cap out like they have down south and out west. People only earn so much you know? So watch out for more inventory steadily rolling out onto the market, especially the markets you are most familiar with and from which you can draw conclusions for yourself. More inventory and options for buyers will depress the pressure on prices.
4. What we are literally in the middle of is a leveling off of prices. Probably through May. So until wage inflation starts up this summer with everything opening back up, prices will hover where they are, then fire back up most likely I think. Probably specific markets will fare better than others, like NYC exodus.
5. Inflation IS happening. Has been all 2020 even if the Fed didn't want to say so. More stimulus just passed, more liquid capital. What are you doing with yours? I'm dumping it into real estate, or stocks, some kind of investment because I don't want my cash a part of some vicious cycle of inflation.
6.Borrower's rates are increasing, so people on the fence about buying because prices are "too high" will probably resort to consumerism and that immediate gratification of something new by making their next home purchase finally, or maybe beginning their a new build. Borrowing power is a huge deal.
7. You'll be kicking yourself for nothing buying all the cheap debt you could get your hands on when interest rates are 6 and 8%. So buy now, knowing rent also is subject to inflation.
8. Leading me to biggest thing here. TVM. If you can wrap your head around debt, inflation, and TVM, you'll realize that all you need to do is jump in (hard part), and manage your assets wisely and critically, which is the easy part.
Idk why I'm stopping at 8 but I think that's enough for now? Again just my opinion not backing it with anything really except my perception and being able to calculate risk.