Quote from @Nicholas L.:
@Nick Volz
just curious - are you a HNWI looking to diversify?
no need to share numbers. but a syndication is not / should not be a beginning investor choice. as in, i have $25K. total. should I house hack, or invest in a syndication? those aren't equivalent options. again, it's a diversification strategy.
if that's you, great, carry on. just figured i would throw this out. and - a lot of syndications have actually been struggling lately. just browse the forums here on BP - there are some LONG threads about it.
hope this helps
I have a small syndication of 10M and am launching another in August. Giant ones struggle because they can't move quickly enough to adjust to the market. They get money but couldn't find deals that match the 8% they offered people, which was all based on lower interest rates and leverage. They never knew how to find a deal or do a value ad. They also have huge overheads and pay themselves from contributions. They need the money to live. Many people do them with less than 5 years of experience. Some of these funds are ridiculous. For example, a buddy of mine put 2M into a fund that offered 10% plus ownership—Turnkey Airbnb in Austin, TX, and the surrounding area. I would estimate that with their overhead and market drop, they are probably 40% underwater. They are not lendable because they use STR rent to create value, which banks won't recognize. I warned him he would loose his ***. He was greedy and chased money. He has not gotten a penny out of the fund for two years, and they send him updates with pretty pictures of places that they are renting, asking for more money. They have a good marketing team but can't produce.
But small funds, with experienced operators, can do well. Our last project was $2.7M, and our monthly rent is $27K. That is not amazing, but it creates a value of about 3.8M where I live. I will hit similar numbers on each project. Our clients will have pretty much all their money out in 2 years. We are unique and build from the ground up, all in-house, and I already own all the land to develop. However, there are solid funds that use fundamentals to create cash flow. I did this with my own money for 30 years before starting a fund.
If you can make good cash flow at 7% to 8% interest, you will kill it when rates come down. I am not saying they will come down. I think they will go up. But you will make money then because rents will increase if rates increase. No one will build; we will have a messed up supply and demand curve. This is a great time to buy. Keep it small; keep it all.
Yes, invest in a good fund with older folks and only those who put their money in. They are not that successful if they can't put in $500K. Also, talk to five people who put money into their funds and see what they say.