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All Forum Posts by: Robert Ellis

Robert Ellis has started 340 posts and replied 3216 times.

Post: Can a Large-Scale Equity Fund Focused Exclusively on Miami FL Real Estate Succeed?

Robert Ellis
Posted
  • Developer
  • Columbus, OH
  • Posts 3,623
  • Votes 1,732

I've recently been exploring the potential of structuring a real estate equity fund entirely focused on Miami's unique and rapidly evolving market. After moving to Miami and evaluating over 500 land sites, I've gathered substantial data and market insight to inform this approach. Here are some compelling market factors I've gathered:

  • Record-Setting Valuations: Recent deals such as the Brickell waterfront site ($520M for just 1.7 acres) and major sellouts like Aston Martin Residences (exceeding $1 billion) show exceptionally strong investor demand.
  • Aggressive Lending Activity: Construction loans of record scale ($668M for Waldorf Astoria, $527M for St. Regis Residences) underscore institutional confidence in Miami’s premium locations.
  • Zoning Advantages: Florida’s new "Live Local Act" dramatically increases density and height allowances, enabling smaller parcels (like Bazbaz's Wynwood site) to achieve previously impossible valuations and scale.
  • Strategic Fund Structure: I'm considering a 506(c) Series LLC structure to isolate risk, provide flexibility, and allow continuous capital raising similar to successful models (e.g., BREIT).

Given these strong market validations, I'm curious about your perspectives:

  • Is focusing exclusively on Miami strategically smart or excessively concentrated?
  • What potential challenges or risks might a fund face by not diversifying geographically? Should we consider diversifying into other Florida cities such as Fort Lauderdale, Tampa, Orlando, Jacksonville, or Naples to mitigate risk and broaden market exposure?
  • For those with institutional experience—how would LPs and GPs typically respond to a large, single-market fund approach?

I’d greatly appreciate your insights or personal experiences. The more holes you can poke, the better!

Post: TRIPLEX just completed construction in Rotonda West, FL (near Englewood) for sale!

Robert Ellis
Posted
  • Developer
  • Columbus, OH
  • Posts 3,623
  • Votes 1,732
Quote from @Barbara L Hamerton:

This ALMOST FINISHED NEW CONSTRUCTION WATERFRONT TRIPLEX is getting close to being CO'd!!!!! LUCRATIVE OPPORTUNITY to INVEST in Rotonda West, FL! This triplex consists of three units, two of them featuring a 3 bedroom, 2 bath, 1 car garage with 1351 sq of space. The third unit offers a LARGER 1794 sq ft layout with a TWO CAR GARAGE, and an additional OFFICE/BONUS room and the same 3 bed, 2 bath configuration with full water views from the rear porch!! Each unit features PREMIUM AMENITIES such as IMPACT WINDOWS, recessed lighting, ceiling fans, LVT plank flooring, QUARTZ countertops, SS appliances, shaker ivory kitchen/vanity cabinets, soft close drawers, full height kitchen tile backsplash, energy efficient LED lighting, brushed nickel fixtures, epoxy garage flooring and so much more! Feature sheet available!!! The floorplans also include split bedrooms, a GREAT ROOM/DINING ROOM combo, foyer, INSIDE LAUNDRY and walk in closets in primary bedroom. SEE UPDATED PHOTOS!

Situated on the Rotonda River freshwater canal, residents can engage in fishing or explore the 23 miles of canals by kayak, small boat or canoe. This community also boasts FIVE GOLF COURSES with 99 holes, scenic walking and biking trails, a stunning 165 acre park, playground, tranquil lakes, lush gardens and a new community center! Nearby pristine GULF BEACHES like Englewood and Boca Grande are a short drive away. This region is also renowned for top-notch fishing with plenty of marinas, fishing piers and boating facilities nearby! For leisurely pursuits, historic downtown Punta Gorda or Dearborn Street in Englewood have quaint shops, charming eateries and farmer's markets to enjoy! The newly opened Sunseeker Resort is another destination worth exploring offering live entertainment, sparkling pools and numerous dining options! Close proximity to regional and local airports!  Offered at $1150,000.00



 pictures? 

Post: New to investing

Robert Ellis
Posted
  • Developer
  • Columbus, OH
  • Posts 3,623
  • Votes 1,732
Quote from @Allen Zhu:


Im  new to investing in Columbus and noticing a lot of the homes were built in the early 1900s. My biggest concern is structural and foundation issues—should I be worried? Are foundation problems pretty common here, and what should I be looking out for when walking through these older properties? Any advice from people investing in the area would be appreciated!


 that's exactly why you should build not buy. anyone saying a home that's 100 years old is "ok" and doesn't have deferred maintenance can walk me and an inspector through in columbus and I'll show you the issues. I'd recommend building single or multifamily in our city not buying. the best statistic I have about existing inventory versus new construction is we saw the most closings ever in 2021 at 38372 closings. that was the best year ever in the capital markets, real estate, etc. when interest rates went up how did that affect new construction and existing? the total amount of closings in 2022 was 33485 and in 2023 was 28750. Literally a 30% reduction in sales volume in our market. But new construction deliveries have increased for 6 straight years and did not see any affect by interest rates. in 2021 they were 2169, in 2022 2312, and in 2023 they were 2436 housing unit closed deliveries. New construction has incredible demand in our market and accounted for 1 in 17 closings in 2021 and in 2023 was 1 in 11 closings in our market. people like you prefer new and so does the general market. don't be afraid to look at it as a strategy. I'd skip the old houses. I used to renovate old houses now we build. We are probably the only market in ohio that can support that and anyone saying existing is better would be hard pressed to prove it. Even the largest single family home buyers who are publicly traded recently contracted with Pulte, one of the largest builders to build 7500 houses and their average age home is no more than 30 years. they don't own one home in our market the rents aren't high enough. here's the article:

https://www.probuilder.com/business-management/build-to-rent...

Post: Why Aren’t More Investors Building Instead of Buying?

Robert Ellis
Posted
  • Developer
  • Columbus, OH
  • Posts 3,623
  • Votes 1,732
Quote from @Mike H.:

I've been investing for 15 years and I've seen both sides of it. I agree with you 100% though that right now new construction is one of the few ways to consistently invest and be able to do it as a BRRR method so you can rinse and repeat and continue to grow without eating through your capital.

I was buying rehab to rent deals here in illinois for about 15 years (about a year or two after the 08 crash).  I was able to be all in at 70% or better on almost every one of my deals and had built up a portfolio of 83 sfh's worth between 160 to 200k before covid.  After covid hit i sold about half the houses and the rest are now worth between 160k to 300k. 

But since just before covid, the deals stopped.  Just completely dried up. I looked at new construction here but the numbers by me just didn't make sense.  A 3bed, 1,500 sq ft home was selling for about 260k to 280k but the build costs plus the lots (assuming I gc'd the thing myself) were running about 220k to 230k.    By the time you added financing/loan costs and realtor fees, the numbers just didn't make sense. 

However about 3 or so years ago I ran into eastern tennessee and tried a couple of builders that were building somewhat wholesale.  It was a bit of a struggle to manage but the numbers came out ok.  Two years ago, I was able to get my ex brother in law to move out there and now i can build for cost on my holds (some we build to hold and we hold separately and some we build to sell and we split the profits of the ones we sell).

But for the ones we build, I can be all in at 70% LTV or better and they'll cash flow as STRs (gatlinburg/sevierville are heavy str areas) right from the get go. So in some sense, its literally like printing money. Its still not easy. But I haven't been able to find anything else right now thats coming even remotely close to what I'm able to do right now.

I'm sure there are other areas and product types doing as well if not better.  But I can't find them. And i've tried a bunch - was flipping land nationally until a year ago when that model really dried up; and even did some mobile home rehabs in florida where I did ok but then desantis got stupid with immigration and literally ALL the contractors left the state - the ones there illegally had to move but they were living with other family members so all of them moved together and there was noone left to do any work down there. 


 did you ever look at infill in your market? infill in our market sells for $275-$400 per square foot and I'm sure you'd see similar trends if you are in a big metro. build costs are $190 a square with our profit and we only build in 4 zip codes in Columbus Ohio for that exact reason so we place capital in the best areas and it's mainly the areas where those have historically received the build exits we are talking about. it's really only in the last 4 years the numbers have gotten there. 

Post: Networking & Mastermind Recommendations for Multifamily Investors in DC,Miami,Houston

Robert Ellis
Posted
  • Developer
  • Columbus, OH
  • Posts 3,623
  • Votes 1,732
Quote from @Wale Lawal:
Quote from @Dominic Petoral:

I’m looking to expand my network and knowledge in the multifamily investing space, particularly in the Washington, D.C. area. Does anyone have recommendations for local networking groups, meetups, or masterminds where active and aspiring multifamily investors gather?

I’m especially interested in groups focused on syndication, capital raising, and deal structuring—where investors collaborate, share insights, and potentially partner on deals. Whether it’s a recurring meetup, a paid mastermind, or an exclusive investor network, I’d love to hear about any high-quality groups that have been beneficial to you.

Additionally, I'm open to connecting with investors in Miami, NYC, and Houston who are looking to learn, collaborate, and grow in the multifamily space. I'd also love to connect with experienced investors who are actively willing to collaborate with beginner investors but who already have knowledge of the commercial real estate (CRE) industry. If you're an investor open to helping newer players in the field or know of groups that foster this kind of mentorship and partnership, I'd love to hear about them.

Looking forward to connecting—appreciate any insights!

Thanks,

Dominic

 @Dominic Petoral

I am an Active  Real Estate Broker and Multifamily Investor in the Houston Area who has worked with over 400 New Investors since 2020. 

I am currently building some duplexes in the Houston area. I can share some of my experiences and connections with you. 

I am also looking for a win-win collaboration if our expectations align.

I host monthly meetups and you can see the details here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/forums/521/topics/1235526-houston-real-estate-investors-home-builders-and-developer-networking-event

Send me a direct message, and we will go from there.

Goodluck


 I always heard Houstons zoning was a disaster. have you found that? there was a huge lawsuit in the past it's nice to hear someone doing projects there. Here's the article I'm referencing:

https://houstonlanding.org/no-zoning-in-houston-provides-fle...

Austin texas passed the 3 houses on one lot legislation a year ago and we lost out on a group building like 20 triplexes out of San Francisco. 

https://www.texastribune.org/2023/12/07/austin-zoning-single...

why not develop in Austin? I'm guessing land prices? 

Post: 50+ acre land tracts transacted price in your market for national builders

Robert Ellis
Posted
  • Developer
  • Columbus, OH
  • Posts 3,623
  • Votes 1,732
Quote from @Kreg Thornley:

Here are the AI results I got for Atlanta:

Metro Atlanta Table: Estimated Land Transactions (50+ Acres, 45-Mile Radius)

| Zip Code | Transactions Last 3 Years | Price Per Acre (Average) |

| 30213 | 12 | $55,000.00 |

| 30253 | 11 | $60,000.00 |

| 30281 | 10 | $58,000.00 |

| 30263 | 9 | $35,000.00 |

| 30214 | 8 | $40,000.00 |

| 30135 | 8 | $45,000.00 |

| 30116 | 7 | $32,000.00 |

| 30215 | 7 | $42,000.00 |

| 30236 | 6 | $50,000.00 |

| 30228 | 6 | $48,000.00 |

| 30127 | 5 | $38,000.00 |

| 30180 | 5 | $30,000.00 |

Zip Codes and Locations:

30213 (South Fulton): A growth hotspot near I-85, popular for residential development.

30253, 30281 (McDonough, Stockbridge - Henry County): Major areas for spec home subdivisions, with high demand.

30263 (Newnan - Coweta County): Farther out (35-40 miles), more affordable land.

30214 (Fayetteville - Fayette County): Growing but slightly pricier due to established communities.

30135 (Douglasville - Douglas County): West of Atlanta, seeing steady large-tract sales.

30116 (Carrollton - Carroll County): Outer ring (40-45 miles), lower prices.

30215 (Fayette County): Similar to 30214, with moderate growth.

30236, 30228 (Jonesboro, Hampton - Clayton/Henry Counties): Southside growth areas.

30127 (Powder Springs - Cobb County): Northwest, moderate activity.

30180 (Villa Rica - Carroll County): Outer edge, affordable for large tracts.


 that's amazing, more than likely going to be pretty far, in what area is this generally growing or is in all directions? 

Post: Spec home build lending

Robert Ellis
Posted
  • Developer
  • Columbus, OH
  • Posts 3,623
  • Votes 1,732
Quote from @Mike H.:

That does seem a bit tight for construction costs as we have priced out typical residential a few times. Even with beating up labor, the materials are the materials and thats what seems to push the build costs up.  

As far as margins, it looks like its 180k to 200k plus 22k for the land so 200k to 220k project.  Figure 20k for financing and loan costs. 6k or so for realtor fees.  You're looking at 225k to 245k all in.  If it sells for 310k and you make 60k to 80k, I know I'd be happy with that all day long.

As for the other mention that other lenders could do it for less cash into the deal, it doesn't look that bad.  You're getting 140k which leaves you needing 60k to 80k out of pocket.  Hard to scale.  But once you do a couple, then maybe they will give you a better LTC (closer to 90%).  If they don't, there are other lenders that will and it may be worth paying the higher interest rate that they'll charge so you don't have to tie up that much capital.

But that really only matters if you want to scale.  If you're just going to build one or even two at a time, why not stick with that? That rate is really good. And closing costs aren't terrible. 

Interestingly enough, we're a builder in eastern tn (gatlinburg, sevierville).  Up til now we've only been building rental cabins.  But I have been running the numbers on owner occupied residential out there and those are remotely some of the numbers I'm seeing. 

We've got a 3/2, 1,300 sq ft model that we priced everything out for at about 170k to 180 for the build.  Figure 30k to 40k for the lot. And then an estimated sales price of about 320k to 340k.  Its not the same margins we're getting on the cabins.  But I think they're easier to build so they'll go up quicker and even if we can make 50k or more, then why not do 5 or 6 of those a year? 

And if the market for buyers were to dry up, we could always eat those as rentals.  We'd refinance and pull all our money out. On a 210k loan, we'd be paying around 1400/mo. taxes would be 100/mo or less (taxes are so ridiculously cheap in tenn its silly).  Insurance 150/mo. And theyd rent for about 2200.  I don't like long term rentals any more. But it would always be an option if something really bad happened. 



 we just did this in our market we are doing infill and it was 40k for the lot and 40-60k profit at a 450k sale price but infill homes are selling in columbus new construction for an average of 600k so we said let's look at the zones where those are in and the land is more it's 60-90k but you make 80-120k. same thing. better location a little more for land but much higher returns and less new builds. I think there is something to say about what you are pointing out above. 

Post: Flips in Miami

Robert Ellis
Posted
  • Developer
  • Columbus, OH
  • Posts 3,623
  • Votes 1,732
Quote from @Derek Green:

Hey all. I might have an opportunity for a good investor to make a solid margin on a property in central Miami, specifically Allapattah, soon. Has anyone invested there before? Would love some insider information.


 have you driven the property and the comps? before I get super excited about any deals expecially costly ones I look at all the comps for top flips or new builds. allapattah is on fire for development and ground up construction I haven't heard much for flipping. 

Post: the land method - gold coaching

Robert Ellis
Posted
  • Developer
  • Columbus, OH
  • Posts 3,623
  • Votes 1,732
Quote from @Mike H.:

Just curious but how much did you pay for this "gold" coaching and how much did you actually make on the deal?

To me, the land flipping game is absolutely dead right now. Just too much saturation. When I got into it four or five years ago there were about 3 training programs.  Now there are 10 or 20 times that if not more.  

I think the people doing training have hit the wall too and they're struggling to do land deals like before so they're all trying to make money off training instead.  

I've put my land investing on hold here for the last year or so.  I'm lucky I fell into new construction a couple of years ago because I'm just not seeing the opportunities in investing right now that there were 15, 10 and even 5 years ago.

But I definitely wouldn't tell anyone to go into land flipping right now.  Two years ago, I was telling everyone it was the best thing out there.  Gotta keep looking for the next niche where the numbers work. 


 I wouldn't recommend land flipping as a business plan unless you are very specialized and have end buyers and are doing large institutional tracts of land 

Post: Investing in Condo Hotel but from ground up

Robert Ellis
Posted
  • Developer
  • Columbus, OH
  • Posts 3,623
  • Votes 1,732
Quote from @Caroline Smith:

Hi All,

I am a newbie on Condo Hotel investments. I have come across investing in a resort that is being built from the ground up. Can anyone advise what sort of important details I should be looking into so I don't get caught up with regretting the purchase? I know I should be looking at HOA and all property management fees, Location, buy laws, sales contract. But, this is not a standing property as of yet and it is supposed to have many amenities. It is supposed to be a 5 star hotel. What sought of details should I look into in this type of prospective investment? Thank you kindly.


 what city and state?