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All Forum Posts by: Jonathan Stone

Jonathan Stone has started 4 posts and replied 282 times.

Post: For investors- how important a good school district?

Jonathan Stone
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Camas, WA
  • Posts 284
  • Votes 202

@Joe Villeneuve

I agree with your statement but as Carlos pointed out below. My experience in CA was good school districts appreciate much faster than mediocre school districts. So that 100k and 500k house appreciated at 20-25% vs 250k houses appreciating 7-10%.

Again depends on what your goals are. If you are looking for cashflow. Or a specific category of renter, say single or older couples vs families it would really change what criteria you look for in a property.

Post: For investors- how important a good school district?

Jonathan Stone
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Camas, WA
  • Posts 284
  • Votes 202

@Joe Villeneuve

I see what you are saying Joe and you have quite a bit more experience than I do but I think some who look towards appreciation over cashflow may focus on things like school rating and crime statistics.

Post: I need someone to help me understand leverage!

Jonathan Stone
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Camas, WA
  • Posts 284
  • Votes 202

@Casey Powers

Excellent explanation. I think a few other people have pointed to that concept in this post as well.

Post: I need someone to help me understand leverage!

Jonathan Stone
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Camas, WA
  • Posts 284
  • Votes 202

@Carl Flint

I believe what Cody is saying is that he has multiple times leverage to his original investment. It sounds like he said he is 50x leveraged likely meaning his total investment to date is 200k and his total

Portfolio value is 10MM. He did not state his equity position.

I would add that having long term debt at fixed interest rate is a Hedge against inflation if you use it to buy any assets.

Post: What Investment Strategy did you Start With?

Jonathan Stone
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Camas, WA
  • Posts 284
  • Votes 202

@Steve Vaughan

I love this concept. My wife and I have discussed this as more of a BRRR strategy where we could add ADUs as it seems more local governments are encouraging housing density. Adding a unit without having to subdivide seems like it could be very valuable.

Post: We are in the STR game!

Jonathan Stone
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Camas, WA
  • Posts 284
  • Votes 202

@Chris McKenna

Congrats.

My wife and I just put in our first offer on a house on the Oregon Coast. Looking to STR. I will go back and resisten to that episode again.

Post: Upcoming Housing Crash?

Jonathan Stone
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Camas, WA
  • Posts 284
  • Votes 202

@Minna Reid

I have also watched this video. It discusses some of the metrics to point to a conclusion which is fine and that dude knows way more about real estate than I do, no doubt. But as others have pointed out none of us can predict the future.

For my $0.02, I feel there is an increase in inflationary rates as others have pointed out. My belief is that upward pressure from inflation prevents anything more than a slight pullback in house prices and likely means no dip in rents. But again I don’t have a crystal ball either. So I go with my gut.

Post: Why is Lumber so Expensive? (Part 2 - Update)

Jonathan Stone
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Camas, WA
  • Posts 284
  • Votes 202
Originally posted by @John Lyszczyk:
Originally posted by @Jonathan Stone:

@John Lyszczyk

Although the dollar is weakening and many commodities are up, like lumber. There is also a hard push into alternatives.

Anyone here have thoughts on alternative building materials. Or designs that reduce the use of lumber. The key to growth is usually innovation right?

 There are a few schools of thought here. As a society we are somewhat bound to steel, concrete and wood. I'd love to see more alternatives at similar price points. GCs often run cost comparisons between steel and wood to see which is cheaper. Both steel and wood fluctuate just like most commodities, so one may be more cost beneficial than the other depending on markets. A major cost to building is labor, and the building industry has developed efficiencies around using concrete, steel and wood. There would need to be significant automation and cost savings in labor for GCs to shift away from what they know from a skill's standpoint. 

I don't think we will necessarily have a permanent substitute for wood, but there are developments in place to increase supply and drive costs down. State-of-the-art sawmills are being built as I type this. As far as building innovation, check out www.katerra.com. The trend for wood construction is on the rise. A recent report on the North American mass timber market projects that the number of mass timber buildings could double every two years. By 2034, there would be new demand for 12.9 billion board feet of lumber! There are currently over 500 mass timber buildings under construction or planned to be built. Pretty crazy!

There is also the hurdle of building codes keeping up with available materials or new uses of old materials.  I know it has taken some time for the EV market and auto industry to adjust.  I remember the effort GM put into the first EV back in the 90s but decided they could make more with current tech without fight regulations to produce EVs.  Building codes are also typically slow to change.  Add to that builders and tradesman who don't want to see jobs automated or eliminated and it could be difficult to see alternate contruction. 

Post: Why is Lumber so Expensive? (Part 2 - Update)

Jonathan Stone
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Camas, WA
  • Posts 284
  • Votes 202

@John Lyszczyk

Although the dollar is weakening and many commodities are up, like lumber. There is also a hard push into alternatives.

Anyone here have thoughts on alternative building materials. Or designs that reduce the use of lumber. The key to growth is usually innovation right?

Post: Angel Fire, New Mexico?

Jonathan Stone
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Camas, WA
  • Posts 284
  • Votes 202

@Rohin Dhar

Love the idea of an earth ship as an STR. I would guess the overhead costs are pretty low as well.