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All Forum Posts by: Wes Brand

Wes Brand has started 5 posts and replied 310 times.

Post: Where do you see cap rates going over the next 24 months?

Wes BrandPosted
  • Investor
  • San Francisco, CA
  • Posts 314
  • Votes 153

@Nick B. For one, they're not leveraged.

Two, cap rates only matter if they're buying an apartment complex or office building. If cap rates go from 3% to 6% they lost 50%, but what would they have lost in their home country? For example, Venezuela's official inflation rate for 2015 was 141% -- estimates from sources not controlled by their government are higher. Further, market cap rates going from 3% to 6% is a pretty huge drop if you're buying into the markets they're buying into. 

But now treasury bonds...valid, but the returns are much lower. "Real Yield" 30 year treasury bonds return ~0.8% nowadays (non-inflation adjusted is ~2.5%). In general property values track inflation in almost every US market; some markets beat inflation. There are a few losers, but no one is buying into Detroit for wealth preservation purposes. The cashflow is secondary to the asset.

Post: Cash strapped: How to Finance a pricey 3-flat?

Wes BrandPosted
  • Investor
  • San Francisco, CA
  • Posts 314
  • Votes 153
Originally posted by @Mindy Jensen:

SoFi doesn't do investor loans, only owner-occupant loans. They do have a $100,000 personal loan, but that isn't going to get you far on $900k. I don't recall reading if you are owner occupying any of the units.

 I assumed it was owner-occupy because of this: "The problem I'm running into is the FHA loan limits"...FHA only does owner occupied loans.

Post: Cash strapped: How to Finance a pricey 3-flat?

Wes BrandPosted
  • Investor
  • San Francisco, CA
  • Posts 314
  • Votes 153

@Heather Shannon

If you buy a 900k 3-unit property and put 20% down you're financing 720k, yes, but that puts you into "jumbo loan" territory not "needs PMI" territory. It means that the loan will probably be serviced in house and not resold in the short term. You shouldn't have any problems getting one as long as your income can support the mortgage debt and you have 20%(for owner occ) down.

The FHA/low down payment loans require PMI because they're being backed by Fannie Mae / Freddie Mac and those are their requirements. Banks can offer loans with low % down and no PMI if they wanted to, they just won't be able to resell them. You *may* be able to finance 10% of your down payment and put 10% down with a piggyback loan, assuming you have 10% down. You'll want to talk to some(5+, since you're doing something fancy) mortgage brokers in Chicago about your plans and what resources you have available. Concentrate on credit unions and local banks -- big banks likely won't be able to help you out much.

Also, you might want to check out Sofi

Post: Negative Cash Flow on an owner occupied?

Wes BrandPosted
  • Investor
  • San Francisco, CA
  • Posts 314
  • Votes 153
Originally posted by @Tim Puffer:

@Wes Brand

Even factoring that in you are still positive as you are not paying PITI because your tenant is. Even if you do $300 per month in other expenses you are still coming out ahead. Also, you need to underwrite the building for your eventuall exit -it has to cash flow when you are not in the building.

 Yes, that's exactly what I'm saying--you're coming out of pocket so it's cashflow negative, but some of that is due to principle pay down so isn't actually lost. If you're coming out of pocket on the costs not including principle for less than market rent you'll still be ahead by purchasing the duplex. But you need to factor in market rent unless you have appreciation goals.

Post: Negative Cash Flow on an owner occupied?

Wes BrandPosted
  • Investor
  • San Francisco, CA
  • Posts 314
  • Votes 153
Originally posted by @Cory Mccarthy:

I agree with Joe Villeneuve , anything with a negative cash flow is not investing in the technical sense of the word, but pay close attention, as he didn't say it wasn't a good idea. As others have clearly pointed out here, you have to live somewhere and if this results in a lower cost of living for you, you will be saving money and building equity at the same time. And if you someday you move out, rent the other half and it turns cash flow positive, it then turns into an investment and provides a great starting point. Great strategy here for someone just embarking on their journey.
I have seen Tim Puffer 's house and it is awesome and will cash flow hugely once he rents out both halves and until then, he will live practically rent free allowing him to save or put his money to other uses. Way to go Tim!!

 You use a strange definition of investing. I don't agree. You need to expect it to make you money eventually, I suppose, but what I'm getting here is you're saying  'it's not investing unless it cash flows' which I'd say is just plain wrong. Does a house stop being an invesfment because there's a vacancy? What about if you're doing repairs and caused the vacancy? 

It's still an investment even if it's not cashflowing on day 1, or will only cashflow once the mortgage is paid off if you're living in one half. 

Post: Negative Cash Flow on an owner occupied?

Wes BrandPosted
  • Investor
  • San Francisco, CA
  • Posts 314
  • Votes 153
Originally posted by @Tim Puffer:

@Wes Brand

I just moved into a duplex where the other side will rent for $950 as is - at least $1050 after I update it a little bit. My total PITI is $950. This is a good area in Lansing, MI that I purchased the duplex. Good deal s are out there - You have to hunt!

 That's cashflow negative while you're living in it once you factor in repair reserves, which is exactly my point...it's not really possible to house hack a duplex and come out ahead on cashflow in most markets. You could probably get that to positive if you took on a roommate, though...

Post: Negative Cash Flow on an owner occupied?

Wes BrandPosted
  • Investor
  • San Francisco, CA
  • Posts 314
  • Votes 153
Originally posted by @Joe Villeneuve:

If you have negative CF, even if you are living in one of the units, it's a bad investment.  Here's why.

If you were buying a property to live in, you would accept whatever you could afford, and what the property was worth.  When you buy a property for an investment, you want to make money on it.  When you combine the two, you want the investment property to pay for both, otherwise, what are you investing in?  Split the cost for this duplex between the two units.  What do you end up with?

That's the short term...the long term is this.  Do you plan on living there forever?  If your intention is to move out eventually, and rent both halves, will the added rent from you half now turn the negative CF into positive CF.

 This doesn't make sense. 

The question is "what's market rent?" and "how much am I negative?" If you're negative by less than or equal to market rent you're actually coming out ahead by purchasing. If you're negative by more than market rent, you might want to reconsider, but there are still times where it'd be a good investment despite the negative cashflow (rent appreciation, appreciation, etc). 

The reason it's tied to market rent here is because you need to live somewhere. Expecting a duplex to pay for both halves by renting one half is only possible in certain (depressed) markets. You can do better if you have a 4plex or larger, since you only need to make up a 25%(or less) shortfall with the other rents.

Post: Negative Cash Flow on an owner occupied?

Wes BrandPosted
  • Investor
  • San Francisco, CA
  • Posts 314
  • Votes 153

See Chris' response -- you're living in one half, you need to live somewhere, so how does the amount you're paying compare to market rents? 

Additionally, you're building equity with some % of your payment, you need to account for that before you say it's negative cashflow.

Post: Swampy vacant land in Alaska

Wes BrandPosted
  • Investor
  • San Francisco, CA
  • Posts 314
  • Votes 153

One more question: Why is it swampy? I know of at least one vacant lot that was swampy because someone directed their runoff (from a parking lot) to the vacant land; it was empty land so no one complained at the time, even though the parking lot was supposed to have a better drainage system. A simple ditch dug around the property to drain the runoff properly cured the swamp problem.

Post: EFT/Echeck issues. Block tenant from tenant website?

Wes BrandPosted
  • Investor
  • San Francisco, CA
  • Posts 314
  • Votes 153

@Account Closed you might want to revisit your screening process and do a bit of research on proper screening -- always having problems with a tenant leaving without letting you know(or being evicted), and actually damaging the property makes it sound like a problem somewhere in your process.