All Forum Posts by: Christie Gahan
Christie Gahan has started 25 posts and replied 302 times.
Post: Is property management a good business?

- Investor
- Hillsboro, OR
- Posts 304
- Votes 152
Is property management a good business? It seems like the revenues should be up over a 5 year period because rents are up. At the same time, costs have not changed must or are lower. Any thoughts? At what point, would an investor be wise to own or co-own a prop management company? How many doors ( B or C) can I person manage? How many people to run a prop management successfully?
Post: Worried about noise complaints

- Investor
- Hillsboro, OR
- Posts 304
- Votes 152
I am starting my first MTR in a split level house. The lowest level has a new unit and I would like this to MTR. I am worried about noise complaints from the MTR. They are both vacant now but I need to get them filled. I'm paralyzed. Please help me get un stuck. What would you do in my shoes?
Anything specific in lease agreements? Do I have a noise complaint clause? Can it be more restrictive then the city noise rules? Do I just talk to them? Did I mess up by not soundproofing the ceiling or walls ? Aaagh I'm driving myself crazy. Help is appreciated.
Post: Ashcroft capital - Paused Distributions

- Investor
- Hillsboro, OR
- Posts 304
- Votes 152
Quote from @Chris Seveney:
Quote from @Carlos Ptriawan:
Quote from @Account Closed:
Anyone else getting notified this morning of paused Ashcroft distributions due to refinancing issues?
We have been working on refinancing the asset in order to access the equity and create liquidity to earnestly restart the renovations. The new lender we initially signed up with for the refinance notified us that they would not be able to provide the new loan at the agreed upon terms due to current market volatility.
We continue to pursue alternative refinancing options and anticipate having a new loan closed within the next six months. To remain conservative with liquidity and continue increasing NOI through unit renovations, we are pausing distributions beginning this month. Your preferred return will continue to accrue and will be paid at the next capital event, or when cash flow allows.
While distributions are on pause, we are not collecting its asset management fee and Birchstone Residential is collecting a reduced property management fee.
70/80% of syndications are in trouble in 2024. Especially if they have multiple portfolio in asset structure.
You would lose money 100% for sure. What we don't know whether you lose 50% or lose 100%.
actually you can lose MORE THAN 100% if they took accelerated depreciation, you may end up owing more than your investment. That happened I believe on those houston deals.
The few syndications I've seen pushed the accelerated depreciation. The only thing worse then losing your money is losing your money and owing the IRS! Yikes.
Post: Ashcroft capital - Paused Distributions

- Investor
- Hillsboro, OR
- Posts 304
- Votes 152
Quote from @James Hamling:
Quote from @Carlos Ptriawan:
Quote from @James Hamling:
Quote from @Christie Gahan:
Quote from @Carlos Ptriawan:
Quote from @Bruce Lynn:
I've never invested with Ashcroft, but I think they had a good product/concept for certain investors. Hopefully ones that were still working and not depending on cash flow. I've studied 100s of offerings, probably 300 or more. I think they are probably as good of an operator in the space that they play as any. My guess is most operators are suspending monthly/quarterly payments right now, either because they have to, or it is the prudent thing to do to keep the deal moving forward. Very tough to tell today what the next rate cap might be, what the refinance interest rate will be, where cap rates will end up, and so many other financial decisions. You probably don't want them to pay distributions today and then get caught upside down in a year and either be forced to do a capital call in a potential recession, or not be able to raise needed capital call, pref equity, or refinance because they don't have the right stack. No one predicted the huge jump in interest rates and rate caps, so great operators want to be conservative moving forward.
This I disagree.
If one is reading any simple macro economic book, when CPE is jumping 40% on June 2021 we know the party is over and the Fed would raise the interest rate but may be late because they use laggard indicator (because they're lazy and dumb).
Sorry but the Fed is dumb , and the GP is even dumber, there's this GP school that's asking their student to raise capital using floating debt with bridge financing (in my opinion, it's suicidal). But the LP is the dumbest after all. At very least, the GP would eat your money through acquisition fee and annual fee LOL, but it's the LP that lost everything.
Sorry for you guys, as everyone is too dumb to even read basic economic principle. Sometimes not too invest is best thing to do. In July 2021, I sold some of my properties at highest price. GTFO.
Can you reccomend a book on economics for non grad school types?
The Wealth of Nations, Adam Smith
One of the most essential economics texts, The Wealth of Nations forms the underpinning of much of modern economic theory.
Capitalism and Freedom, Milton Friedman
Milton Friedman's iconic work argues that economic freedom is essential to a free and liberal society. Published in 1962, many of Friedman's theories presented in Capitalism and Freedom have since been adopted worldwide.
Freakonomics, Steven D. Levitt and Stephen J. Dubner
Freakonomics is a crash course in the populist application of economics.
The Armchair Economist: Economics and Everyday Life, Steven E. Landsburg
Steven argues economics can be boiled down to four words: people respond to incentives. The book gives a good introduction to the so-called “Chicago school” of economics.
Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order: Why Nations Succeed and Fail, Ray Dalio
Legendary investor examines history’s most turbulent economic and political periods to reveal why the times ahead will likely be radically different from those we’ve experienced in our lifetimes.
These above are a good basic starting point to gain fair foundational comprehension.
when there's broad changes in interest rate (not just because of central bank rate changes, but also currency depreciation, overnight changes of currency rate, tightening standard of lending, or due to inflation), the first hit is always in banking sector and real estate commercial space, this happened in latin america in 1980 and asia too in late 90 ; in reality, commercial space could only develop during the first wave or major economic expansion (like in China during 2000).
Even before covid, during 2020 we see commercial cap rate at 3 to 4, lucky if you see 5 ; there's almost no way investor could make money as upside is very little as wage growth is minimum. Combine this with long term boom bust cycle, plus inflation, what happen today is not unexpected. Now most GP try to do refi and buying time so to speak, in speculation that Fed would reduce rate to 75 bps. Still saying they're bit optimistic. It's literally naive investor money is being thrown away. GP would still recover from all of these, they can raise new fund, create new company or even create new hype (like Adam's Neuman wework dotcom).
Ok.... Let me interject a different line of thinking here. I'm going to try and take this conversation from black 7 white, into "Technicolor" and see if vision in this full spectrum doesn't help reframe some mindsets.
Q: What year did the 401(k) come into existence?
A: Nov 1978. So, for argument sake, let's say 1979 because that's really the first year of it.
So knowing the obvious, that such a thing takes an industry some time to adopt into it's actions.
Q: What did the stock market do for the previous 15 years, before 401(k) "gimmick" started?
A: Down. Down BIG time. No, not just big, Mt Everest BIG time. DOW from 9k in '66' all the way too 3k's when 401(k) was introduced.
Q: And then what?
A: Things kept going down, until..... By mid '82' thing's changed direction. Oh how they changed direction. From '82' too 2000 (yes you read that right) was a bull-run unlike ANYTHING EVER seen before, touching on 20k.
What changed?
Yes, post WWII there was a very similar bull-run, because of the obvious down from WORLD WAR, and the obvious rally from NO WORLD WAR and the bizonkers commerce explosion that rebuilding from WORLD WAR made. But this, '80's, '90's, there was nothing remotely close to that..... so what changed?
And for nearly a decade things held in the range.
Even '08' was not able to bring things below 10k....... Total global financial system meltdown, and result was nearly 4x market $ of early 80's..... How?
And post '08', which duration of '08' on chart's now looks more like a sneeze in it's duration, but what after? Another bull-run tapping on 40k. FOURTY THOUSAND! Think on that, 16X early 80's! Did 2021 feel like 16X the commerce from '82'? Did incomes feel 16X? Did all of life seem 16X MORE, bigger, richer????
What changed?
Q: Who is Wall Street???? Who is "The Stock market"????
A: TRADERS!
It's honestly that simple, all boils back to this simple fundamental. Wall Street is TRADERS.
Q: Why are they called TRADERS?
A: Because they TRADE!
The greatest delusion ever pulled off in human history thus far is the notion that $ goes to Wall Street to INVEST, to GROW, to RETURN, to PROFIT......
NO! $ goes to Wall Street to TRADE.
Traders trade. That is there singular purpose in existence, everything else is ONLY to facilitate or in part and parcel to that purpose.
When 401(k) happened, it was a GIANT fire-hose of not just NEW-$ to Trade, it was DUMB-$ to boot! $ that was ignorant of the system, because it was from the average John/Jane Doe who were knowledgeable and informed on everything involved in there sphere of life, in REAL life, groceries, fixing a mower, there job's, raising kid's, LIFE, not trading.
And Middle America was sold a dream. The dream of secure a financial future by trusting traders. They called it the American Economics machine, they called it this that and the other but NEVER once did they call it exactly what it is, TRADING.
And Generations were brainwashed into this blind trust, as traders honed there craft on how to maximize what they do, TRADING, to profit as maximally as possible, on this ignorant-$.
And an entire universe was built in the financial industry. A universe of gaining gargantuan wealth, via ignorant-$. The Wolf of Wall Street was born of this paradigm shift, Bernie "the bastard" Madoff was it's love child given unto the world.
Previous to all this, Wall Street, "Trading" was a boring, slow, slodge of those who as saying said wore ties so it would be more expedient when choose to hang themselves. it was nothing, NOTHING like the verse it became.
Today, we see the exact same expression in syndications. Since pandemic "ignorant-$" went throwing itself around, it is any surprise some Traders went and got into real estate?
Lazy $ get's abused, always has, always will.
This is the REALITY of the world. A market open for ignorant $, will abuse and neglect the vast majority of it. Don't believe me, just visit a Walmart and ask the Senior greeting people at the door how there 401(k) worked out for em.
I know how it worked out for Klaus.

I don't know enough to know anything to comment but I would like to add that this is an era of no consequences. It reminds me of executives that drive a company in to the ground and still walk with their $40 million dollar bonus. Are syndicators gonna walk with a lot of money? Or, are thy gonna get burned too ?
I always thought syndications were run by the smart guys. If you had enough money you could get it on bigger deals that the smart guys liked. Now, I'm thinking they are just flashy salesman. Are you all saying, that the cool kids arent' actually cool ????? Yikes.
Post: Purchasing Multifamily properties at Foreclosure Auctions

- Investor
- Hillsboro, OR
- Posts 304
- Votes 152
What are you thinking about doing?
Be aware, there will be the paperwork that you are supposed to get and then what you actually get.
Ditto, boots on the ground. There will be the people who are supposed to be living there and the people who are actually living there.
Post: What other costs can be added here that an investor faces

- Investor
- Hillsboro, OR
- Posts 304
- Votes 152
Check out the thread : Ashcroft Capital
Some of these syndications don't seem to have enough capital or income to pay their investors back. At this point, they need to borrow money to even get a new loan. So they need to borrow money to be qualified to borrow money ?????
Post: Ashcroft capital - Paused Distributions

- Investor
- Hillsboro, OR
- Posts 304
- Votes 152
Todays blog post on BP :
Real Estate Investing For Beginners January 13, 2024
6 Low-Risk Real Estate Investing Strategies
#2. Syndications !
That's kinda embarassing, yeah?
Real Estate Investing For BeginnersJanuary 13, 20246 Low-Risk Real Estate Investing Strategies
Post: Ashcroft capital - Paused Distributions

- Investor
- Hillsboro, OR
- Posts 304
- Votes 152
Quote from @Carlos Ptriawan:
Quote from @Bruce Lynn:
I've never invested with Ashcroft, but I think they had a good product/concept for certain investors. Hopefully ones that were still working and not depending on cash flow. I've studied 100s of offerings, probably 300 or more. I think they are probably as good of an operator in the space that they play as any. My guess is most operators are suspending monthly/quarterly payments right now, either because they have to, or it is the prudent thing to do to keep the deal moving forward. Very tough to tell today what the next rate cap might be, what the refinance interest rate will be, where cap rates will end up, and so many other financial decisions. You probably don't want them to pay distributions today and then get caught upside down in a year and either be forced to do a capital call in a potential recession, or not be able to raise needed capital call, pref equity, or refinance because they don't have the right stack. No one predicted the huge jump in interest rates and rate caps, so great operators want to be conservative moving forward.
This I disagree.
If one is reading any simple macro economic book, when CPE is jumping 40% on June 2021 we know the party is over and the Fed would raise the interest rate but may be late because they use laggard indicator (because they're lazy and dumb).
Sorry but the Fed is dumb , and the GP is even dumber, there's this GP school that's asking their student to raise capital using floating debt with bridge financing (in my opinion, it's suicidal). But the LP is the dumbest after all. At very least, the GP would eat your money through acquisition fee and annual fee LOL, but it's the LP that lost everything.
Sorry for you guys, as everyone is too dumb to even read basic economic principle. Sometimes not too invest is best thing to do. In July 2021, I sold some of my properties at highest price. GTFO.
Can you reccomend a book on economics for non grad school types?
Post: How to turn single family home into a multi-unit property?

- Investor
- Hillsboro, OR
- Posts 304
- Votes 152
I have been trying to figure this out in Oregon. Not sure how this came about in Washington but in Oregon it came down from the State and the local Planning Departments all had to scramble. They are still getting the bugs out. My advice is boring. Sit back and watch for a year or too. Let some of the kinks get worked out. Let some folks with bigger pockets take the lead. If you have a great location, you can wait.
What are your system development fees? Can you use manufactured homes? Are these for rental? Or would you sell them. How will you sell them? What financing is approved in WA ?
Research local engineering firms that work well with the city.
Post: Streamlining Real Estate Investments with Virtual Assistants

- Investor
- Hillsboro, OR
- Posts 304
- Votes 152
Do you hire VAs fom the US ?