Quote from @John McKee:
What are your successes, failures, and aha moments? What are your goals for 2025?
What a GREAT question.
Why is this a great question? Because it causes one to think about the way they invest, the reasoning behind their investments, and the success and failures their investment tactics and strategies have produced.
I make a decision to pursue a real estate investment (or really any investment) based on an evaluation of risk vs return. But as often happens, a certain percentage of my investments “go off the rails”, in other words don’t proceed as planned. Sometimes these are minor glitches, other times a major “realignment” is necessary. Although I’ve been investing in real estate, both directly and indirectly for 45+ years, I still get a “queasy” feeling when an investment does not perform as expected.
My “aha” moment occurs when we reach the point when, despite the investment problems, we’re able to still show a good/substantial profit at the end of our holding period. Not ALL the time, but far more than not. Because real estate is FORGIVING. The real property investment can be repositioned if it proves disappointing in its original form; it can be refinanced or recapitalized if it has too much or too e pensive debt; inflation over time bales out many bad purchases, and finally the investors knowledge, experience and abilities can be leveraged to turn around a cash flow negative property.
I’ll provide an example
Three years ago we purchased a note from a bank secured by two auto repair facilities with a large amount of excess land. The notes, being in default had an unpaid balance of $3.2million. We paid $1.775 million for the notes, worked out a modification with the borrower, and received the first 5 monthly payments relatively on time. Unfortunately that was the last $ we saw from the borrower.
So, we file to foreclose, the borrower file BK, and we go through 2 years of BS. During the 2years we’re spending $ on attorney fees, and I’ve got that “queasy” feeling, especially since it’s questionable whether or not the properties are worth the amount we are owed.
Then, about 4 months ago, we reach an agreement with the borrower. He’s to pay us $36,000 immediately and we. Give him 60 days to sell or refi the property. He can pay us off in full within 60 days for $3.2 million. He acknowledges he owes us $3.8 million and signs a deed to us to be filed if he doesn’t perform. Further, BPOs and appraisals show the properties have increased 50 to 60% in value during the last 3 years. Further, he can extend his “grace” period a further 30 days by paying us an additional $50k.
So far, we’ve collected two $50,000 payments in the last i0 days plus the $36,000, or $136,000. Since our legal billed were $36,000, we’re $100,000 ahead. If the borrower doesn’t pay us every$3.2 million by Jan 15, we file the deeds, and have two offers for the properties in the $3.9 - 4 million range.
Obviously, two factors are responsible for what will likely be more than doubling our money in 3 years. 1. We purchased the note for a 40% discount. 2. Rising values of the properties bailed us out of a potentially disappointing investment.