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All Forum Posts by: Jon Q.

Jon Q. has started 101 posts and replied 1434 times.

Post: Experienced Investors: Timing / Are you now doing deals?

Jon Q.Posted
  • Investor
  • Berkeley, CA
  • Posts 1,469
  • Votes 713
Quote from @Greg H.:

@Jon Q.

Did you actually change your last name to Quest?

My middle name 😉😆

Post: Experienced Investors: Timing / Are you now doing deals?

Jon Q.Posted
  • Investor
  • Berkeley, CA
  • Posts 1,469
  • Votes 713
Quote from @Jon Q.:

Brian,

So do you have a lot of Capital just sitting in the bank not generating returns? If not, curious about what you’re doing with it…

I always like mine working for me.  Now, I’ve got a decent amount in oil stocks.

@Jay Hinrichs same question for you… what are you doing with your Capital that’s not invested in real estate deals?

There’s been quite a bit of asset inflation and not many places to put it generating attractive returns.


Post: Experienced Investors: Timing / Are you now doing deals?

Jon Q.Posted
  • Investor
  • Berkeley, CA
  • Posts 1,469
  • Votes 713

Brian,

So do you have a lot of Capital just sitting in the bank not generating returns? If not, curious about what you’re doing with it…

I always like mine working for me.  Now, I’ve got a decent amount in oil stocks.

Post: Paying off rentals

Jon Q.Posted
  • Investor
  • Berkeley, CA
  • Posts 1,469
  • Votes 713
Quote from @James York:

Who is an advocate for paying off their rentals and just enjoying the cash flow? I’m fully aware of the down sides of this, but thinking it could be a better fit for what I want out of life.  I’ve also recently spoken with a very successful commercial investor who doesn’t carry any debt because of his experiences during the great financial crisis. Looking for feedback from people who have done it or are working toward it. I know this slows growth, eliminated leverage and all that, this is an alternative idea that is equally valuable to the investor looking for a more passive income. 


This question is a strategic financial question having to do with investment alternatives, and is specific to you... so actually isn't a question that anyone can answer meaningfully for you.

All else being equal, I woud'nt even consider it until if/when you've reached a point in your life where you do not plan do anymore deals.  Until then, it's better to hold very low interest long term debt and not pay it off.  

Post: Experienced Investors: Timing / Are you now doing deals?

Jon Q.Posted
  • Investor
  • Berkeley, CA
  • Posts 1,469
  • Votes 713
Quote from @Larry Turowski:

@Jon Q. Smallish-time investor here in the Midwest (technically northeast, but whatever) and there is still opportunity here. 2021 I was involved in another business so didn’t do a lot, but bought 7 properties in 2022 and I’ll be closing on a couple more in early May.  A couple of those were flips.

I don’t see any sign of a major “correction” for SFHs,  maybe in some super hot markets, but overall I’d be surprised to see a correction beyond 8%. Prices are still going up here with record low inventory.


Can I asked what city / cities your in?

The cities with larger corrections have been those with larger run ups than most others (ex. those with strong population and job growth).

Post: Experienced Investors: Timing / Are you now doing deals?

Jon Q.Posted
  • Investor
  • Berkeley, CA
  • Posts 1,469
  • Votes 713
Quote from @Karl B.:

My market is definitely softening. Still competitive but the really stupid high-priced properties are becoming less and less common.

That being said... when a property comes on the market and it's a good deal they're getting a lot of offers. 

I'm currently under contract on my 1st solo no partners involved commercial property (the seller owes the IRA money so the deal has been in limbo - the seller closes on a different property in May and he'll use that money to pay off his debts so we can close. It's a really good deal.

I'm still making offers. I looked at a place today that needs some work and I'm making a solid offer tomorrow. The place is priced fairly but I want a deal. One of the units is in need of 10-15K in work and that will scare a lot of buyers off. I'm not excited about the place but the price is right. 

The past two years I've more than doubled my doors; and I still feel like I'm moving slowly! 

Though it says on your profile that you don't have 10+ years of experience, I'd like to comment...

For me, if it's not a clear deal and meets my investment criteria, i do not do the deal.  I don't like working cheaply or for free.  Of the few times in my life I did a deal that didn't quite meet my investment criteria...I've regretted it.  I've learned that being disciplined in how you invest matters... a lot.

Post: Experienced Investors: Timing / Are you now doing deals?

Jon Q.Posted
  • Investor
  • Berkeley, CA
  • Posts 1,469
  • Votes 713
Quote from @James Hamling:

@Jon Q. my version of hell is sitting doing nothing for months on end, and there is only so much gold one can do. 

And to be honest, I am "that guy" who even when I am on vacation, on the opposite side of planet earth, in some 3rd world nowhere, the wife says "why are you starring at the building" and I say "wouldn't this run so much better, marketed to westerners, and on a STR type system, with self-check in an..." and right about then she gives that gasp and says "your a sick twisted old man with an addiction" LOL.

So yeah, of course I am and have been doing deals. OF COURSE..... Only thing that changes is what kind of deals, with what strategy, where, how etc.. 

MFH got way too ridiculous for me to consider anything other then development, and even then, so I have been heavily focused in SFR segment. Now moving more into the townhome community development side of things. As price compression continues, and it WILL continue, townhomes are the clear winner.

Add that with strong suburban developing markets, it's a winner. 

Also lot's of portfolio reviews, restructures. It's been a great 2 years for that without a doubt. Adjusting into newer units, scaling down that cap-x ratio. Focus on tax.... ugh, freaking tax's..... And pegging the markets of opportunity. 

Be fearful when others are greedy, greedy when others are fearful, right. 

Dollars getting into an ugly spot, biggest question coming up is stagflation or rampant inflation/recession cycle, either of which say asset asset assets so no way I am sitting sidelines watching dollars burn while pinging a ball around a lawn letting my brain go soft. Next thing ya know I'd be running around yapping about some damn gopher....

Thanks for the great response.

I sympathize. I have learned that there are times where it is best to do nothing and go enjoy life.  When no good deals meeting your investment criteria can be found, "doing work" is worse for you.

Also, the real estate market will not adjust for you.  The most successful investor will be the one that adapts to the market, not the one who is desperate or FOMO to do deals that he/she does deals that won't generate their target returns.  Efficiency is critical.  If you focus on quality, meaning doing only high quality deals, you build a good reputation and things get easier.  Conversely, doing a high quantity of okay or bad deals will lead nowhere good over time.

Again, efficiency is key to a successful investor and I believe a good life. 

Post: Experienced Investors: Timing / Are you now doing deals?

Jon Q.Posted
  • Investor
  • Berkeley, CA
  • Posts 1,469
  • Votes 713
Quote from @Matt Bishop:

@Jon Q., I believe prices will continue to rise 1% per month. No downturn in Texas major metros. I'm in "buy" mode for additional rental houses.

Everyone’s in “buy mode” but if no deals meet your investment criteria… there’s no buying. 😆

Post: Experienced Investors: Timing / Are you now doing deals?

Jon Q.Posted
  • Investor
  • Berkeley, CA
  • Posts 1,469
  • Votes 713
Quote from @Jon Q.:
Quote from @Eric James:
Quote from @Jon Q.:
Quote from @Eric James:

In the last year I have bought vacant land and built 10 apartments. Goal is to o build another dozen or so in the rest os 2023.

I never heard of Malakoff, but checked it out after I read your post. A cool little lakeside town. Is your development there or another area of DFW? 

 I have rentals in several towns in the area about 1 1/2 hour drive East of Dallas. 

What are your thoughts on DFW? Short term + long term?

 I’ve got rentals in north Dallas… and as prices increased, I started looking and buying outside of DFW… ex. the stretch from Austin to Ft Worth.

A dislike… compared to other cities, the taxes are a killer, and have skyrocketed over past few years! 

Lately, I’ve been preferring NC and TN which have much lower tax rates and similar growth.

In regard to property taxes, 

Taxes 2023: The 10 major US cities with the lowest property taxes

Post: Experienced Investors: Timing / Are you now doing deals?

Jon Q.Posted
  • Investor
  • Berkeley, CA
  • Posts 1,469
  • Votes 713
Quote from @Bob Stevens:
Quote from @Jon Q.:

Experienced investors, those with 10+ years of investment experience,…

How many deals have you completed over the last 24 months?  If you’re not actively doing deals, what are you spending your time doing? Property improvements, fundraising? 

Thanks for responding.


 HMM I think about ,25 or so in the last two years,( about 500 over the last 9 years ) . Just continuing looking for great deals , 


Have you got sued by the city yet?

I hear City of Cincinnati is now suing investors for not maintaining their properties…

what kind of properties are you buying? SFR I assume? Price per property you're now paying? How has that increased over past 3 years?