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All Forum Posts by: Lucas Mills

Lucas Mills has started 30 posts and replied 131 times.

Post: Should I consider investing out-of-state with another investor?

Lucas MillsPosted
  • Physical Therapist Assistant
  • Springfield, MO
  • Posts 131
  • Votes 28
Originally posted by @Andrew Johnson:

@Lucas Mills "This theoretically means I could turn that 30k into 60k over the course of a year"  Do you know how much that sounds like the intro to every single episode of American Greed?  But, hey, let's assume that you're right and that it all works out the way it's supposed to.  Why on earth would you stop and do anything yourself?  Your money is growing at 100% per year and you could (again, theoretically) just keep adding more capital to enable he team to do more flips:  

Year 1: $60K

Year 2: $120K

Year 3: $240K 

Year 4: $460K

Year 5: $920K

Year 6: $1.8MM

So let's take this extrapolation and create a better marketing pitch:

"INVEST $30K WITH ME AND WE WILL RETURN NEARLY $2 MILLION DOLLARS TO YOU AT THE END OF 6 YEARS!"

Now, that has to come across as somewhere between hyperbolic or an outright lie.  So let's peel this back and reposition this "pitch"  Based on 

Because there's a point of diminishing returns not far beyond where it starts. In other words, for each time I invest 20k, I might reasonably expect 5k profit (according to this woman). That doesn't mean I can invest more money and get the same return. It only works in a certain price range, or at least that's what it seems to me. They're flipping 50k homes, not 500k homes.

That said, why couldn't I take my money to another market where the numbers are bigger?

Post: Does anyone have experience with Ken Min?

Lucas MillsPosted
  • Physical Therapist Assistant
  • Springfield, MO
  • Posts 131
  • Votes 28

I don't know if Ken qualifies as "guru" but I wasn't really sure where else to ask about this.

Ken is here on BP and has his own website (you can see it on his profile) in which he offers different training models.

He offers a couple options in which the he assists the investor in finding properties, etc., but ultimately Ken will retain ownership of the property and 70% of the profit, with the investor getting 30%. This is great for Ken but also great for the investor who is essentially getting free training (if not making a small profit in the process). He offers another monthly payment option in which the investor keeps all profits/properties. I'm more interested in the latter.

I'm posting because I'm wondering if anyone has experience with this gentleman. I do not want to naively throw money away; however, Ken strikes me as being exactly who he portrays himself to be. I have spoken with him on the phone a couple times and via text/email.

Here is his profile.

Post: Should I consider investing out-of-state with another investor?

Lucas MillsPosted
  • Physical Therapist Assistant
  • Springfield, MO
  • Posts 131
  • Votes 28
Originally posted by @James Wise:
Originally posted by @Lucas Mills:
Originally posted by @James Wise:

Don't see how flipping out of state is a practical business plan. How are you going to put the whole thing together? It's not something you can simply hire out.

The post directly above yours explains the general premise

Sounds like a business endeavor that won't pan out. If folks would be able to passively turn their money with an ROI of 25% why are all the hard money lenders out there lending at a rate that is half of that?

Oh hey, did you add me to the mailing list lol? Just noticed who you work for.

Well, all I know is that as the loan broker she doesn't take any risk. She's not acting as a hard money lender, who does undertake risk and thus, I assume, can charge more. She just puts the deal together and makes a couple points on the loan.

Post: Should I consider investing out-of-state with another investor?

Lucas MillsPosted
  • Physical Therapist Assistant
  • Springfield, MO
  • Posts 131
  • Votes 28
Originally posted by @James Wise:

Don't see how flipping out of state is a practical business plan. How are you going to put the whole thing together? It's not something you can simply hire out.

The post directly above yours explains the general premise

Post: Should I consider investing out-of-state with another investor?

Lucas MillsPosted
  • Physical Therapist Assistant
  • Springfield, MO
  • Posts 131
  • Votes 28
Originally posted by @Account Closed:

Chances of  you doubling your money over the course of a year?   Slim and none and slim has just left the building.

Chances of you losing it all   Just about 99.999%.

The flips make $20k.   How much of that is yours?

A woman with a TEAM who needs such small amount of money is a BIG RED FLAG!

Huh? My understanding is that, in addition to doing her own rehabs/flips, she is also a loan broker. So she pairs new(er) flippers with private investors and charges points on the loan. She takes on little to no risk by doing this and makes a little money in the process. The flipper gets their funding and the investor gets a percentage of the profit. For example, if the flippers require 40k, she may take 20k from two separate investors. Each investor may reasonably request up to 25% return; so the flipper gets 50% while the investors split their 50% two ways among each other. That's why she can allow investments using relatively smaller amounts, because she's using multiple investors in these scenarios.

That's my understanding, anyways. Does this seem nefarious for some reason?

Post: Should I consider investing out-of-state with another investor?

Lucas MillsPosted
  • Physical Therapist Assistant
  • Springfield, MO
  • Posts 131
  • Votes 28
Originally posted by @Ali Boone:

If you're in MIssouri, is there a reason you want to do it out-of-state? Missouri isn't really a state that forces investors out-of-state that I know of (like living in LA or NY or a higher-priced area would). 

There's not a specific reason I want to do flips out of state, per se, but if we're talking about rentals; that's another story. I know other cities get much better cash flow on average than Springfield; in fact, I saw a property in my email today from a turnkey company and couldn't hardly believe the purchase price to rent ratio.

But we're talking about flips here, as a means to more quickly amass capital. So no, I don't have anything against my own state or even city, but that may just be because I don't know a lot about the flipping market here. I've heard from other investors that it's not that great.

Secondly, the woman I spoke to impressed me. She seems very knowledgeable and competent and, apparently, has a fairly large team at her disposal. So it sounds like she has refined her processes in all aspects of the flipping workflow and, thus, can probably do flips quickly (relatively speaking) and for less than others (because she has her own rehab team(s), etc.

Also, she's only 4 hours away from me, and, apparently, in a better market (still need to verify this for myself). But, assuming this is true, and If I'm just acting as the private investor, why does it matter if the flip takes place here or Alaska? I'm not responsible for anything other than forking over the cash and collecting the return.

Furthermore, I'm not currently aware of anyone who's doing what she's doing in Springfield, at least on the scale she seems to be operating at. I haven't really been aware of this as an option for investment (passively investing in flips) so I haven't exactly been looking -- I will also start asking around to see who is doing this locally, as well. That said, she's only 4 hours away from me.

Post: Should I consider investing out-of-state with another investor?

Lucas MillsPosted
  • Physical Therapist Assistant
  • Springfield, MO
  • Posts 131
  • Votes 28

I'm looking at and debating the potential risk/reward of investing in flips out-of-state.

I have a relatively small amount of capital, about 30k. I am aware of a certain investor in AR who has her own rehab team, etc. and says that I can invest 20k-30k (sort of partial financing) and expect a 25% to 30% return. She states that flips there generally make about 20k after expenses.

So, this theoretically means that I could turn that 30k into 60k over the course of a year, if I repeat the process every 3-4 months. To me, this seems like a good way to quickly gain capital for the purpose of acquiring buy and hold units (long-term, passive income being my ultimate goal). Sure, I could try to do flips in my own market, but, I don't have any experience and I know that flips don't generally make that much here.

So is this a good idea? Any reason I should not invest in this kind of a model? To me it sounds like a great, passive way to quickly gain capital, and as I get more, I can fund larger projects for greater return.

However, I have some concerns. Does this person really do what they say they're doing? Does their business actually exist? Etc. So if this is a decent way to invest my limited capital, how might I go about verifying everything, as much as reasonably possible?

Post: Aaron Harding is a Scammer!!

Lucas MillsPosted
  • Physical Therapist Assistant
  • Springfield, MO
  • Posts 131
  • Votes 28
Originally posted by @JD Martin:

OK, I'm no English major, but I give you the following, directly from his profile:

I have being in this industry for long and have served in different areas and rendered services like, Intermediary Agent, Arrange for financing of property purchases, Loan Processor, Relationship Manager, Mortgage Loan Originator, Appraise property values, assessing income potential when relevant,Rent properties or manage rental properties,Arrange for title searches of properties being sold,Develop, sell, or lease property used for industry or manufacturing, buyers agent and sellers agent.

Real Estate Goals

I want to do my own flips and hold some properties. I want to be known for my good jobs in the major areas in this industry. I love real estate.

People: ask questions before you start giving money away or signing on with people! The guy has 7 posts to his name. His profile looks like it was written by a Nigerian prince. It doesn't look like he's ever done jack-**** in real estate. No one with the experience of @Jay Hinrichs lists their profile that way. 

This thread is a good wake-up call, and a reminder to be wary. But man, one look at that profile is all I would've needed to nope out of there.

Post: How to execute BRRRR remotely? Looking for help getting started.

Lucas MillsPosted
  • Physical Therapist Assistant
  • Springfield, MO
  • Posts 131
  • Votes 28
Originally posted by @Brent Coombs:

@Lucas Mills, I agree with your assessment that "a house for 7k (that needed about 30k-40k of work) still wasn't all that great when analyzed (would only rent for about $500-$550)". I read in another thread where a similar purchase and rehab price point was being discussed, resulting in its ARV of $80-100k. There, I agreed with the poster who told us that in that area, HE could be all-in for $20k to achieve $600/m rent (but perhaps not as high ARV)!

I reckon you WILL find it hard to find value-for-money REMOTE Contractor/s, who'll do say $35k of value-added work for just $15k. If you can't find a way to value-add for a LOT less than what the subsequently increased value would become, and/or get sufficient enough discounts from MOTIVATED Sellers in the first place, how will your BRRRR plan be possible? (Hint: I said "hard", not "impossible").

Because cap ex doesn't rise or fall based on gross rent, I agree that the lower the rent, the more difficult it is to make a conservative analysis work in your favor. Perhaps a minimum rent figure IS needed for your analysis, and perhaps those areas that rent for $550 just won't cut it for your goal. So, how about: find out where (say) $800/m IS the going rate in Springfield, and look for the worst houses in the best streets - in those areas? ie. That's what Flippers do. The only difference is, you might not be flipping them after all. Cheers...

This is good advice, and actually I had not considered looking at the situation in this way. You are right - properties that rent for less than 600 or so simply will not cash flow to the degree that I'm looking for; at least, if we're talking about single-family homes. I've seen some duplexes for ~70k wherein each unit rents for ~550, so we're getting much closer here. The problem is that while these units may need 10k worth of work or so, the price is already close to ARV so there isn't room to refi and get my original investment back out. That said, it sounds like I need to be targeting multifamily properties that need work, enough such that it supports the execution of the BRRRR strategy, and, ultimately, the ability to cash out at the refi in order to quickly continue property acquisition.

Generally speaking, does this sound correct, given my goals, location, and market?

Post: My thoughts (and confusion) on capital expenditures

Lucas MillsPosted
  • Physical Therapist Assistant
  • Springfield, MO
  • Posts 131
  • Votes 28
Originally posted by @JD Martin:

If you are including all expenses in that list, then it is not unreasonable to live off the cash flow *provided* you have a cushion. If you need $3k/month to live, 15 houses @ 200/door is not going to cut it without getting into your reserves. Most people grossly underestimate how much money they need to live a reasonable life because they leave out all the extras that happen that aren't accounted for when you budget. Your car breaks down; you want to go to Mexico; your kid needs braces; your buddies want to go to Vegas; you're best man in your brother's wedding; ETC. All those costs, and lots of others, are real, yet most people just look at food, car payments, electric bill, and come up with a number. If you can live a comfortable, add-to-your-reserves retirement on $3k/month, you are doing something different than me. I would consider $3k a bare bones, I-better-have-a-lot-of-reserves income, and I don't have any car payments, credit card debt, student loans, a tiny mortgage on my primary, live in a low-tax area, no kids in the house. Just groceries, utilities, the mortgage payment, property taxes, insurance (car+house), gasoline, and the like comes out to almost $3k/month. 

So I would say it doesn't go against BP "gospel", just that you need to make sure that income stream is reasonably greater than your baseline existence before you go Johnny Paycheck on your boss. 

Lol. My thought process is such that the cash flow is already contributing to the (cap ex) reserves, because I've budgeted that as part of the monthly expenses. So that $200 that I'm putting in my pocket is truly after all expenses, including contributing to the cap ex account.

That said, I see the wisdom in your words, and you're not wrong. I can easily live off of 2k and save 1k right now, which is what I'm doing. But in the future, my tastes may change, so I would simply continue to build my monthly cash flow to whatever's number seems appropriate. For ex., build up to 5k in monthly cash flow to live off of 3k. The other 2k is just "bonus reserve contribution" each month, and it can occasionally be safely utilized as desired (for that trip to Mexico), because I've already budgeted my cap ex reserve contribution into the expenses for the property.

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