Quote from @Nathan Frost:
Quote from @James Hamling:
Quote from @Nathan Frost:
Quote from @James Hamling:
Quote from @Nathan Frost:
Quote from @Michael Sloan:
@Nathan Frost you’re talking about taking on more debt to provide a cushion.
You can obviously save money with your job. Otherwise you wouldn’t have a portfolio this big.
Self fund your reserves with savings and the cash flows
I get that but also a line of credit is like an emergency fund. You can still cash flow without it. But what happens when it is not in place and need it? What if I were to sell 2 or 3 in the portfolio loan? I could rehab them with a line of credit then sell them above the release price to prevent paying at closing. I think that is smart. Otherwise, without one I have to save up or hope they can sell above release price without the updates.
I don't get it.
Why did you buy all these properties and ramp up so quickly just to freak out over what-if, what-if, what-if?.......
You clearly were on an acquisition BLITZ. Did you honestly expect a moon-shot of rents or appreciation within months? The first 1-4yr is the grind-time.
If your thinking sell a few and like magic what's left turns great, your delusional. You'll have same issue but at a different portfolio size, that's it. You've been pretty clear that ALL of your properties are "meah" performers.
I get the feeling that you already made your decision and did this whole post just looking for validation.
NO, borrowing more $ is DUMB! Taking out MORE debt, with MORE cost of debt is like saying you got 2nd degree burn so let's go to the beach....
The cheapest bail-out $ is a PARTNER, not loans. Selling 10% equity stake in portfolio injects cash at 0% rate, right. No, not ideal but your talking "what-if" for worst case scenarios, well there ya go.
And don't be dumb DON'T sell em with tenant in, wait for move-out THEN sell em to get FULL retail, that's just simple basic stuff, i don't know why I have to call out the blatantly obvious.
At this point Nathan, I have a pretty good felling that your NOT cut-out to be a landlord and arguably, should sell 100% of your portfolio. Yup, do it smart, as tenant's vacate, but I think your in the WRONG segment of REI. If something this simple and NON-panic is panicking you to loose sleep, your int he wrong business bud.
And that's ok. Landlording is NOT the only way to REI, not by a long shot. Maybe mini-storage is more your flavor, or maybe being a private $ lender, or, or, or.......
Ehhh I dont agree with this at all. Its called learning. I did this because 50% of an IRA was going to crap in 2021-22. I tripled my net worth by not keeping it in the IRA that was going to be slashed by 40% with market trends. They all are rented for the most part and like 6 on auto pilot. Just never had a portfolio loan. Yes looking back could stop at 5 or 7. Is Pac Morby not made out for REI since his first business failed and he couldn't pay his employees. I mean come on. What learning is about.
I mean I am still in a good spot when sell 3. Creates a nest egg of 60 to 80k. Then can stash it away or put in index fund as the nest egg for next 20 years.
Ok, so you're arrogantly ignorant, got-that.
I find it interesting your style of confidently assuming the future, then impulsivity based on that assumption. Do you see the lack of fact/data based decision making here?
You say that you had an assumption of the future, so you didn't just hedge for that, you completely changed everything and went ballz-out on things. I read here that your doing the same thing again; assumptions of the future and making rash significant actions per.
It's funny your use of Pace as the comfort-excuse that it's ok to be rash, impulsive, assumption, because it's "learning". Because yup, Pace's 1st several business went under and, he didn't do them again. He learned from it all and ADJUSTED. That's what I suggested you consider, an ADJUSTED measure of doing REI.
But as started, clearly you're happy to be in the arrogantly-ignorant club, fly that flag, wear the jacket, and by all means exercise your freedoms to do so. But let's not kid ourselves into some BS lie that it's "learning". When arrogance is in charge, there is no learning being done, none.
If you keep on this path of fear based assumptive emotional decision making, it's gonna burn ya. Fair warning.
Get it. What do you suggest then? Data. I have the spreadsheet.
2-parts:
First, take a big step back from things with properties, clear head, go golfing, fishing, whatever just "clear the deck" of everything. Then, when clear, come at it fresh BUT with a focus that your going to do all things, answer all questions, all "feelings" with MATH. That your going to see what MATH has to say on it all.
So, your going to have to get accurate with what the math says, of what the properties themselves are now. As i said before, I have heard nothing of where your Cap-Ex stands. So, do an accurate analysis of where Cap-Ex stands.
Next, get math of where property and market rent appreciation projects out as for next 1,3,5yr window. NO, this is not a "feeling" based thing, it's DATA driven. If unsure how, lookup local chapters of MFH landlord associations, they are champions of this and may find data from them. Yes, they do different assets but the market data will have a lot of cross over. City Data is another resource. You need to sort out Supply-Demand curve.
Now if done right, your going to have all this data compiled, your going to have an idea of market direction, of what the future will hold. And, most importantly, what the #'s REALLY look like on those properties. Way WAY too often people get into "cheap" properties only to find they are very VERY maintenance expensive, ticking maintenance bombs.
LAST PART, don't just knee-jerk "ok, SELL", no, IF the math says "sell" REPEAT this fact/data finding mission to answer the question of how to BEST sell, for MAXIMUM ROI. All this talk of relying on PM's and others to peg an as-is now-Now-NOW sale..... that's just bonkers.
What is the MATH of how to BEST sell? Is it retail at vacancy? Is it via a terms offering retail? Is it maybe offering a terms purchase to existing tenants here-n-now???? There is so many variables and potentials in selling, net-0 is NOT an "Investors" action or journey.
2nd-Part; Explore the other ways to REI because I got a funny feeling there is a different segment of the industry that would serve a better fit for yourself.
Honestly, these issues you've aired, a cold-blooded "Landlord" wouldn't loose a wink of sleep over. These are for most part what one would call "good problems". Don't believe me, oh-man, just wait until you have REAL Landlord problems, like evicting a tenant because there meth-fueled adult-child moved in and is rapidly destroying the place, only to get it all done over months and receive back a human-feces painted home, copper stripped, destroyed everything...... Or, or, or.... It get's a LOT uglier then what's keeping you up at night, oh-so-much uglier.
If what you've detailed has been keeping you up with worry, I can't imagine the wreck you'd be dealing with a tenant nightmare.
SO as said, I get feeling your NOT cut-out for this specific iteration of REI. Which is a-ok, there is a lot of other ways to do REI, it's not a 1-strategy-fit's-all thing. And forcing it, that's a setup for real hardships to come. Because eventually you WILL have a tenant nightmare, it is the law of averages, do landlording long enough and it WILL happen, not if but when.