Wow, every time I think this thread is probably drying up more folks jump on with another round of great advice. Thanks everyone! It rocks to have this great site and all of you helpful folks out there!
I've been mostly focusing on family time over the last few days, but here are a couple of little updates/info. Just passing on info that I'm getting at this stage.
-- I've asked a couple times now and they assure me that the loan has 24 years remaining and is fixed at 4.1% with no increase.
-- Their explanation for the low expenses is that they keep tight control of the property, most of the units have been recently redone, and tenants pay electric, garbage, and water.
-- Explanation for previous escrow not closing was that buyer did not meet experience guidelines to assume loan (this would be my big problem as well).
So, QUESTION: If I were to assume expenses at 50% of income as some have suggested, Income would be 39k, expenses would be 19.5k and then you add in mortgage payment of 18.5k and you are at 38k. That sure doesn't leave much income/wiggle room. And that's before figuring out how to bring 1.1M down to the deal. So, by those standards this deal would seem to look terrible. Am I missing something in that analysis?
@Tom Lafferty , Thanks for the great comments. I'm of a similar mind. A big repositioning play sounds great, but given my experience level taking over a recently renovated cash flowing complex might make a lot more sense. Do you mind if I ask how you bought your 32 unit place? Did you have a the $1 Million to bring to it? Lack of funds and lack of track record for the loan would seem to be the big inhibitors for me on this. Seems like I would need 1 or more experienced partners, or an opportunity to manage the place for a couple years to then qualify for the loan.
@Nik S. , thanks for the words of wisdom. From what I know of the tenant base/area I would say it is primarily Hispanic families. Not to generalize too much, but my general notion is that in this area these families have fairly stable incomes. They tend to work in local industries/jobs that are pretty much always in demand. Not as easy as a more upscale/white collar complex, but not as challenging as other areas/demographics. That would be my take on that.
Thanks @Ryan Goldfarb , yeah, I easily could have just written it off and said "I don't have a chance on that", but I'm super glad I contacted the guy. I've been learning a ton, and who knows, it could happen. I agree with @Lawrence T. that by rights this deal would be over my head, but I figure that with a lot of help on the analysis side and some hustle on the management/ownership side it could rock this if I found a way into it. I'm always a big believer that motivation, desire, and hustle are often more important than experience alone. Plus, between BP and my local knowledge/network (have lived here 30+ years) I feel pretty confident on understanding the local market and having folks to turn to for help/advice/services...
Okay, this post is turning into a book. Better wrap up. I'll keep rolling on information gathering. Any further/continued ideas/input/advise is VERY much appreciated!