All Forum Posts by: Ray S.
Ray S. has started 33 posts and replied 122 times.
Post: Trying to time the market?

- Investor
- Miami Beach, FL
- Posts 123
- Votes 19
I know the better approach overall is to not try to time your buys and sales around what you think the market may do. But if you're already selling at a time when signs are pointing to a possible market top, is it worth considering trying to get part or all of that money out of the market and waiting/hoping for a pullback? Or is it better to always just 1031 exchange and not worry about it. It's really just an opinion question, either case could work out really well or bad. But in the long run, is the best approach to stick to this plan of not trying to time the market, or to make exceptions now and then when the market is showing higher probabilities of going in one direction or the other.
Originally posted by @Joe Villeneuve:
I'm confused. You start your post by saying, "I know they say you should never time the market, and I 100% agree."...and then, you try really hard to contradict that statement. Which is it?
Post: Trying to time the market?

- Investor
- Miami Beach, FL
- Posts 123
- Votes 19
I know they say you should never time the market, and I 100% agree. But for someone already selling a property now, would it be wise to try and sit on the sidelines now since many are saying we may be at the top of a market cycle? Would it be better to cash out, pay the taxes and sit on the cash to see if this really plays out to the downside in the near future? My intentions in that case would be to pick up some properties at a later date if that occurs and we start seeing some deals. Or is it always better to 1031 exchange the property and just deal with whatever happens in the market? Do investment properties, such as multi families take as big a hit if the market pulls back or we hit a recession? I.e. would I get an opportunity to buy a lot cheaper if the market did pull back, or would it be marginal compared to what I'd lose if I paid the taxes?
Or another option is to roll just the profit portion into an opportunity zone fund and then put the rest of the cash on the side. In that case I'd still be in the game without paying taxes on the gains just yet, and have a good amount of cash to play with if the market does pull back. I know nobody has a crystal ball, just looking for some thoughts on the best way to play this.
Thanks
Post: What are realistic rates of return for passive investors?

- Investor
- Miami Beach, FL
- Posts 123
- Votes 19
Can you give an example of a location and type of property that nets 10-12%? I'm generally seeing 5% at best where I am. I see listing for 10% in bad neighborhoods but I imagine they would go down a lot once I factored in the new tax rate, realistic expenses, repairs, cost of evictions, ect.
Originally posted by @Michael A.:
@John Fortes This is a good point. But this also depends on whether you can find a passive investment that generates 20% (what a dream!). If you can’t find this magic passive investment that generates that kind of return and you need to invest locally than it entirely depends on your market. Returns are sub-optimal in my market now, and once a good deal comes along it is gone in minutes because of this. At best you’re hoping for 10-12% unless you are a commercial developer. But to me that is still a better long-term bet for all of the reasons you mentioned.
Post: Selling multifamily, what to do next?

- Investor
- Miami Beach, FL
- Posts 123
- Votes 19
I bought my multifamily as a short sale, added value, and can cash out now with some good profit. The property values are topping in the area and starting to see a decline, and I am not seeing rental prices or demand increase over the years. It's also in a flood zone and the insurance keeps shooting higher each year. It's about a 5 cap now. Ideally I want to 1031 exchange it. I own it 100%. Do I go bigger and take on some debt? Find a higher cap rate property? Break it up into 2 or more properties? Move to short term rentals? Move the profits to an OZ fund and then keep the rest of the cash on the side until a good opportunity or pullback comes? Any other suggestions?
Thanks
Post: Offset capital gains with stock losses?

- Investor
- Miami Beach, FL
- Posts 123
- Votes 19
They aren't capital losses, they are losses from short term stock trades. I know I can do $3000, but wondered if I could do they full amount if the capital gains and the short term losses are in the same year?
Originally posted by @Dominick Austria:
@Ray S. If the property is a rental or investment property, then you probably can. Capital gains can only be offset with capital losses. If the property is a primary, then you might qualify for the personal residence exclusion. If the property is a flip then you won't be able to offset the gain with losses since it is not a capital asset. Without capital gains, you're entitled to deduct $3,000 a year indefinitely for capital losses.
Post: The Grand Miami vs Opera for Airbnb

- Investor
- Miami Beach, FL
- Posts 123
- Votes 19
My broker was showing me a deal in that building that looked too good to be true, so I had him look through the condo docs for any kind of upcoming assessments or the possibility of STRs being banned. He checked and saw the association amended their by-laws to ban STRs. Have your agent check that and if you find something different please let me know because that would be a great building to own in for STRs. DM me if you need their contact info.
Originally posted by @Amit Shah:
Hi Ray. From where did you find out about the condo association planning to outlaw Airbnb ? That’s not what I was told by them and many agents working there. Something definitely to keep in mind. I have checked out sites like mash visor to compare the two but wanted to know from someone who has experience on the ground.
Post: Offset capital gains with stock losses?

- Investor
- Miami Beach, FL
- Posts 123
- Votes 19
This year I got clobbered on some stock investments but am also considering selling a property that will have some gains. Can I offset the gains of the property with the stock losses?
Post: Sell and 1031 or REFI and buy?

- Investor
- Miami Beach, FL
- Posts 123
- Votes 19
I bought a property a couple years ago, rehabbed it, and rented it for a few years. I don't have a mortgage on it, the property has appreciated about 30%, and the current cap rate based on the current market value of the property is around 5%. A couple bad points about the house is that it's in a flood zone, so the insurance is very high and I fear it could continue to rise. I also was hoping to get a property with a higher cap rate, or that allows short term rentals.
The question is, should I sell this property and 1031 exchange it to 1 or more better performing properties? Or should I keep it, pull 75% out with a mortgage and use that to buy another property? If I got a mortgage, the current rent would only just cover the mortgage, so there would be no cashflow on this property and I would just be banking on the money paying down the mortgage and the chance of appreciation and/or rent rising.
Thoughts?
Post: The Grand Miami vs Opera for Airbnb

- Investor
- Miami Beach, FL
- Posts 123
- Votes 19
I was looking at the Opera recently and would have loved to pick up a unit there but found out the condo association is planning to outlaw short-term rentals so I bailed on that. The Grand still allows them, but I would check if they have any plans to do the same. Are you trying to buy a place to rent out or do rental arbitrage?
Post: How to deal with neighbor's house problems

- Investor
- Miami Beach, FL
- Posts 123
- Votes 19
I don't believe the properly is abandoned. They still have someone handling the lawn and keeping the property maintained. But nobody has lived there for a while and because they have left such a huge beehive, I'm guessing nobody has visited the property in a while. The hive is inside the house, so I can't have someone come to their property without being able to access the inside of the property. I wrote the LLC for the house but no response. The city sent them a notice to the owner about the bees, but they have not handled it yet.
Thanks
Originally posted by @Davido Davido:
@Ray S. Your local Craigslist will have several people/companies that advertise free bee hive removal. Call one or several and get the hive removed. Then consider the house next door as a potential profit center for you! If you can contact the LLC /owners make them an offer. Check with your assessor's office to see who (if anyone) has been paying the property taxes.
If no LLC or owner info can be found, and no one is paying the property taxes, talk to all the neighbors, any attorney involved in forming the LLC, and send letters with proof of deliveryto each address of record for the LLC. If you can demonstrate that, to a reasonable person, the property appears to be abandoned. Then start treating it as your own property. There is no trespass on an "abandoned property". And abandonment can be implicit as well as express. In other words, you do not need a documented or recorded statement of an owner's intent to abandon their property. The facts available can by sufficient to show "implicity abandonment". Such as no one present for months or years, no maintenance done for months, no response to all attempts to contact the LLC/owners.