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All Forum Posts by: Syed H.

Syed H. has started 0 posts and replied 743 times.

Post: Foreign Investor - How I turned $500K into $2M

Syed H.Posted
  • Developer
  • NY/NJ/PA
  • Posts 758
  • Votes 935
Originally posted by @Jay Hinrichs:
Originally posted by @Syed H.:
Originally posted by @Jay Hinrichs:
Originally posted by @Marisa R.:
Originally posted by @Mike G.:

@Marisa R. how did you have the cash reserves to make all these purchases if I may ask?

 I mention in a previous post

I was investing in property markets in Australia buying and selling  and basically rode a couple of boom cycle in 3 different States in Australia

I started investing in US in 2011, but I also later got involved in small development projects

Here is 3 villa development I completed sold in 2015. I have completed 5 in Australia. Two in Atlanta

For those interested, as you can see we have we have totally different product in Oz, and generally much smaller sq ft is the norm

https://m.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-wa-spearwood-119276119

Marrisa not to get off topic but i am curious.. what kind of NET margins do U make in Perth on new builds like this.. IN our markets we aim for 15% net profit.. so a 500k new build about 75k in NET profit minus office expenses .. many times its 8 to 10 and occasionally we hit 20% or better but thats not common.. I sold one in Charleston this year and hit 30% on a 2.2 mil retail sales price which is my record on a SFR new build.. but in our subdivision type projects like this one you posted as i said 10 to 15% 50 to 75k per house. last year we build 34 of these like you built.. and thats about where are numbers came out..

IN todays market in Perth could you duplicate what you did in 2015 ?

Also I have heard with the mining boom in WA is in decline did this cause any devaluation of sales prices in Perth. And for US folks reading Sydney and and EA and WA is a 5 to 6 hour flight apart just like CA  is that far from GA.. 

 Aren’t those margins a little tight? 

I’m negotiating contracts on a 14 townhouse development right now in NJ. Net profit is around 45% on total cost. About a 2.5x equity multiple. 

Most sfh developers here in NY/NJ that I know try to make 25-30% at least. Too many things go wrong up here lol. Gotta have that margin. 

out our way to much competition for the dirt only way you would make 45% profit on gross sales price is if you basically stole the land or got it for free.  I wish we could make 25 to 30 % routinely but when I am competing with Lennar and Dr Horton for dirt.. you simply don't see that..  

So lets say we sell a new spec for 500k  NO way are we making almost half in net profit.. 

500k house is about 2200 sq ft  build cost  120 a foot or 280k that would only leave 40k for a shovel ready lot.. and shovel ready lots are 100 to 140k in our market for 500k exits Also you have cost of capital you have tax's utls insurance and marketing costs ( real estate commissions) ..  So like I said you would have to get the dirt for free or next to free to make that kind of margin.. based on market exit prices.

 Ahh makes sense. Also you guys are doing much more volume than I am. I do one off projects for ground up when I find a below market deal for the land. & I bet our new construction timeline is a lot longer as well. 

Post: Foreign Investor - How I turned $500K into $2M

Syed H.Posted
  • Developer
  • NY/NJ/PA
  • Posts 758
  • Votes 935
Originally posted by @Aaron Hunt:
Originally posted by @Syed H.:
Originally posted by @Aaron Hunt:
Originally posted by @Syed H.:

Congrats!

Going forward is when the real test starts. But it sounds like you timed multiple markets well before.

The last 8-10 years had difficulties but we all had the market at our backs. Flips were easy because arvs just kept going up. You could buy a condo in NYC/SF for $500k in 2010 in cash and it would be worth $1.1-$2m right now without you doing a single thing. If you were a liquid investor who could get some financing and bought a commercial property you could 5-8x your money in that same time. 

I don’t try to time a market and just invest in long term besides short term flips and a few aggressive basis developments. But the down cycle is when the fun begins and the real successful guys make and/or lose a ton. Just making sure I’m somewhat liquid for a downturn. 

Prices never dipped in NYC like that to give you 100%+ returns. Consider it a success if you made 20%-30% gains over the last 10 yrs in NYC.

Do you live here? Do you invest here? 

I've lived here my whole life and worked in the CRE industry. I'm not pulling numbers out of thin air. Those are from actual deals.

2009-2011 prices did go down a lot in NYC.  New construction condos sat on the market. Certain buildings turned to rentals temporarily. Liquidity had dried up so very few people were getting loan to buy these buildings.

Sure, I could be dead wrong. Please share $500k condos in 2009-2011 that went 4x and now sell for $2m, 8 8-10 yrs later. Thanks

 Look at all the condos on LIC and Williamsburg waterfront. They sold around $450-$650k. Now sell for $1.1-2m.

Post: Investors should avoid investing in western PA

Syed H.Posted
  • Developer
  • NY/NJ/PA
  • Posts 758
  • Votes 935
Originally posted by @Tobias Stoll:

@Syed H.

Did I say it should be impressive I just wanted to point out that I know real estates

 And I’ll point out again, everything you stated in your OP means you don’t know much about RE. Owning $2m in RE doesn’t mean you know much in RE. I’ve met clients who have $50+M in RE that know absolutely nothing about it. 

Post: Foreign Investor - How I turned $500K into $2M

Syed H.Posted
  • Developer
  • NY/NJ/PA
  • Posts 758
  • Votes 935
Originally posted by @Aaron Hunt:
Originally posted by @Syed H.:

Congrats!

Going forward is when the real test starts. But it sounds like you timed multiple markets well before.

The last 8-10 years had difficulties but we all had the market at our backs. Flips were easy because arvs just kept going up. You could buy a condo in NYC/SF for $500k in 2010 in cash and it would be worth $1.1-$2m right now without you doing a single thing. If you were a liquid investor who could get some financing and bought a commercial property you could 5-8x your money in that same time. 

I don’t try to time a market and just invest in long term besides short term flips and a few aggressive basis developments. But the down cycle is when the fun begins and the real successful guys make and/or lose a ton. Just making sure I’m somewhat liquid for a downturn. 

Prices never dipped in NYC like that to give you 100%+ returns. Consider it a success if you made 20%-30% gains over the last 10 yrs in NYC.

Do you live here? Do you invest here? 

I've lived here my whole life and worked in the CRE industry. I'm not pulling numbers out of thin air. Those are from actual deals.

2009-2011 prices did go down a lot in NYC.  New construction condos sat on the market. Certain buildings turned to rentals temporarily. Liquidity had dried up so very few people were getting loan to buy these buildings.

Post: Foreign Investor - How I turned $500K into $2M

Syed H.Posted
  • Developer
  • NY/NJ/PA
  • Posts 758
  • Votes 935
Originally posted by @Jay Hinrichs:
Originally posted by @Marisa R.:
Originally posted by @Mike G.:

@Marisa R. how did you have the cash reserves to make all these purchases if I may ask?

 I mention in a previous post

I was investing in property markets in Australia buying and selling  and basically rode a couple of boom cycle in 3 different States in Australia

I started investing in US in 2011, but I also later got involved in small development projects

Here is 3 villa development I completed sold in 2015. I have completed 5 in Australia. Two in Atlanta

For those interested, as you can see we have we have totally different product in Oz, and generally much smaller sq ft is the norm

https://m.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-wa-spearwood-119276119

Marrisa not to get off topic but i am curious.. what kind of NET margins do U make in Perth on new builds like this.. IN our markets we aim for 15% net profit.. so a 500k new build about 75k in NET profit minus office expenses .. many times its 8 to 10 and occasionally we hit 20% or better but thats not common.. I sold one in Charleston this year and hit 30% on a 2.2 mil retail sales price which is my record on a SFR new build.. but in our subdivision type projects like this one you posted as i said 10 to 15% 50 to 75k per house. last year we build 34 of these like you built.. and thats about where are numbers came out..

IN todays market in Perth could you duplicate what you did in 2015 ?

Also I have heard with the mining boom in WA is in decline did this cause any devaluation of sales prices in Perth. And for US folks reading Sydney and and EA and WA is a 5 to 6 hour flight apart just like CA  is that far from GA.. 

 Aren’t those margins a little tight? 

I’m negotiating contracts on a 14 townhouse development right now in NJ. Net profit is around 45% on total cost. About a 2.5x equity multiple. 

Most sfh developers here in NY/NJ that I know try to make 25-30% at least. Too many things go wrong up here lol. Gotta have that margin. 

Post: Investors should avoid investing in western PA

Syed H.Posted
  • Developer
  • NY/NJ/PA
  • Posts 758
  • Votes 935
Originally posted by @Tobias Stoll:

@Syed H.

Dude I own real estate worth around 2 million...

 So? You still don’t know what your doing if your complaining about the little things. 

And $2m in RE isn’t something that impressed me. Sorry I’m in nyc. A condo is $2M.

Post: Tough decision. Sold some properties, others no mortgage

Syed H.Posted
  • Developer
  • NY/NJ/PA
  • Posts 758
  • Votes 935
Originally posted by @Kenny M.:
Originally posted by @Matthew Ryan:

@Kenny M. - I know better than to fight ones perception. Only thing I'll say is I would challenge you to not discount all OZ's. We set our fund up in #1 OZ according to Fundrise. There's OZ's in downtown San Jose, Downtown Berkeley, etc. Some of these are areas that are seeing institutional players move-in and while I don't like to elevate them as the wholly grail of all decision making, they also don't chase poor tenant profiles ;) 

 Perhaps, but the dev. zones in CT are war zones. You need to carry a gun to protect yourself. Especially when the crips and bloods are in the area. The ones in New York (outside the city) have all been scouped up by the big devs. Same as in most major urban areas in NJ like Newark, Hoboken, Jersey City, Kearny, Elizabeth and The Oranges. You have Irvington left, and the numbered streets of Newark, but it's pretty dangerous. We were looking at a building across from a police station in Newark, NJ. There were gun shots fired, the cops didn't even leave the station to investigate. 

 Depending on what size you are looking for there are still OZ deals in Harlem, Bronx, and Westchester. I’ve seen deals recently in the $3-15m space. But than again the OZ requirements might be too expensive in the lower end. Haven’t run the numbers myself to dig deeper yet.

Get a collection agency to handle it. 

But don’t count on the money. Judgements are almost worthless. 

Post: Foreign Investor - How I turned $500K into $2M

Syed H.Posted
  • Developer
  • NY/NJ/PA
  • Posts 758
  • Votes 935

Congrats!

Going forward is when the real test starts. But it sounds like you timed multiple markets well before.

The last 8-10 years had difficulties but we all had the market at our backs. Flips were easy because arvs just kept going up. You could buy a condo in NYC/SF for $500k in 2010 in cash and it would be worth $1.1-$2m right now without you doing a single thing. If you were a liquid investor who could get some financing and bought a commercial property you could 5-8x your money in that same time. 

I don’t try to time a market and just invest in long term besides short term flips and a few aggressive basis developments. But the down cycle is when the fun begins and the real successful guys make and/or lose a ton. Just making sure I’m somewhat liquid for a downturn. 

Post: San Francisco CAP rate up to 4.5%

Syed H.Posted
  • Developer
  • NY/NJ/PA
  • Posts 758
  • Votes 935
Originally posted by @Diane G.:

I was looking recently at MFH in SF, most listings that are currently contingent or pending have a CAP rate of around 4.5%.....That is where one can break even after 20% down...

I remember just a year ago, CAP was 1.5% and you need 40% down to break even...

Love to hear your thoughts over this..

I am currently in contract on a small condo, trying to close escrow by July 1..... But for MFH purchase, I am waiting for 6% CAP...Dont call me greedy...

 SF isn’t a cap rate market, unless you are talking about stabilized/finished product. Better to look at an MIRR. That’s what everyone doing MF deals in SF/NY/Primary markets are doing.