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All Forum Posts by: Taylor Hazard

Taylor Hazard has started 4 posts and replied 102 times.

Post: Thoughts on an industrial property purchase?

Taylor HazardPosted
  • Commercial Real Estate Broker
  • Seattle, WA
  • Posts 110
  • Votes 79

@Rj Kro Its a hard question to evaluate without knowing a little more about the deal specifics. When evaluating industrial properties its important to consider their utility / usability for the likely tenant pool overall. For example I would want to know more about the building itself such as clear height, construction type, age of construction, is it sprinkled, how much office space? The 6 year lease is great but what happens if the tenant vacates at the end of the term? What are your prospects for re-leasing the building? 

For example I would consider anything with less than 20' clear height functionally obsolete as industrial buildings are growing in height every year to accommodate new high bay distribution strategies. 24'+ is ideal. Similarly anything more than 10% office and the building may be considered "specialized" or "flex" by the tenant pool, which again handicaps you when it comes time to release. 

regarding the lease itself, 6 year term is great from the perspective of a secured income stream but you need to consider where we are in the cycle. This differs market-to-market and I would defer to your local broker for accurate information but most people would tell you where in "the 7th inning stretch" at best which means there is a good chance we are in a down market in 6 years. You will have to make a decision with your broker about the true prospects of both releasing AND raising rents at the end of the term; if the market corrects and we see vacancy rates rise you may need to reduce rent just to keep the existing tenant in place. Additionally make sure you account for commissions in 6 years. Chances are, even in a renewal, your going to be paying leasing commissions of 3 - 8%. Personally I would not count the ability to push rents in 6 years, but again I dont know Ohio in detail and would defer to your agent. 

Same story for the cap rate, this varies market-to-market and depends wholly on the building characteristics and credit of the tenant. You said they are a regional business with multiple locations? I would take that to mean 5-15 across multiple states; in my opinion 8-9% cap is low. Class A credit in primary locations (coastal cities, Denver, Atlanta, Chicago etc.) is going for 4-5% cap but I have seen Class A credit in secondary / tertiary submarkets around Seattle (one of the hottest industrial investment markets in the world) going for an 8% cap. Again you and your broker will know Ohio better than me but from a macro perspective my knee jerk reaction is you should push for 9-10%.

Lastly you said the building has sat for a year, major red flag in such a hot market. For this fact alone I your default has to be there is unknown hair on the deal. Has it been under contract before? If so the problem could range from unknown deferred maintenance on the property to unfavorable language in the lease; if it has not been UC in the 12 months its been listed its likely because of any of the above issues or a combination thereof. The tenant credit isnt as strong as you think coupled with a subprime location and functional obsolescence of the building. 

Bit of a ramble with no definitive answer, feel free to respond or PM me more details if you want to continue the convo.

Hope this helps,

Post: Turn-key rental in Mount Vernon, WA

Taylor HazardPosted
  • Commercial Real Estate Broker
  • Seattle, WA
  • Posts 110
  • Votes 79

@Zachary Gwin will you be moving forward with the feature? When will the show be available ?

Post: Commercial Real Estate Agent in Syracuse

Taylor HazardPosted
  • Commercial Real Estate Broker
  • Seattle, WA
  • Posts 110
  • Votes 79

@Brad O'Connor PM me your information and a little about what your looking for, we have offices and professionals that can help.

Post: Help with a Career Change

Taylor HazardPosted
  • Commercial Real Estate Broker
  • Seattle, WA
  • Posts 110
  • Votes 79

@Hunter Lavigne its a difficult question to answer without knowing a little more about your motivations and goals. @Joel Owens pretty much it the nail on the head, its a tough industry to get started in but if you stick with it and align yourself with the right team it pays dividends over time and the earning potential is unmatched.

I agree with everything Joel had to say but would add that most of the large commercial brokerage houses (CBRE, Cushman & Wakefield etc.) have "draw" programs for young brokers. A Draw is basically a salary paid against future commissions (loan), for example you can have a $30,000 a year draw paid out monthly but the company will withhold commissions until they are paid back. Makes hard to really get going and draws are not ideal (I wasn't a fan when I got my start) but they can help offset your monthly burn rate.

Still plan on needing 12 months cash on hand to get through the first year and then you can count on three of the longest years of your life. Long long days, lots of cold calling and lots of grunt work (as a jr member of a team) but generally those who stick with it find success (however you define it) after three.

If your serious about pursuing a career in commercial brokerage you first need to decide which product type (office, industrial, retail, capital markets). They all vary greatly and the only way to understand each of them is to network into that community and ask questions. Once you decide on a product type and are licensed find out who the top producing for that practice group is in each of the big brokerage shops and cold call them. pitch yourself and why you want to mentor under them. If you are persistent and articulate in your desire somebody is going to respond positively and offer you a position.

Good Luck!

Post: Amazon HQ2 - REI Opportunity?

Taylor HazardPosted
  • Commercial Real Estate Broker
  • Seattle, WA
  • Posts 110
  • Votes 79
Unfortunately the likely markers for HQ2 are already well established or growing markets. Denver, Austin, Pittsburgh, Atlanta, San Diego etc are already darlings of the REI world for many of the same reasons Amazon would be attracted to them. Amazon will want to pick a location that allows them to A) recruit aggressively from all over the world and B) capture the best tax incentives by local municipalities. With all that said you only have to look at Seattle over the last 10 years to se the "Amazon effect". 50,000 high paying jobs will do a lot to lift a local RE market....

Post: SOLD!! 2Bd/1Bth Fixer Upper, Fix and Flip in Mt Vernon, WA

Taylor HazardPosted
  • Commercial Real Estate Broker
  • Seattle, WA
  • Posts 110
  • Votes 79
Can you add me to your list? Looking at Edmonds, mukilteo, Everett & Bellingham for long term hold rentals. Thanks!

Post: Wholesale in Anacortes

Taylor HazardPosted
  • Commercial Real Estate Broker
  • Seattle, WA
  • Posts 110
  • Votes 79

Can you give the background / info?

Post: Is it OK to Break Even on My Rental Property?

Taylor HazardPosted
  • Commercial Real Estate Broker
  • Seattle, WA
  • Posts 110
  • Votes 79

Great question, its something that everybody needs to consider and will depend largely on your own investment goals but also location.

The points raised in the blog post are all valid. Tax advantages, appreciation and loan pay down are all contributing factors to the overall ROI. If I was buying an investment property with the goal of paying for my Son's college tuition in 18 years than I might give more weight to these factors. With the long view in mind you can stomach vacancy issues etc. along the way knowing your planned exit will be measured in one lump sum some years down the road.

the other crucial element is location. If your targeting a market like Seattle, Austin, Pittsburgh, Denver etc. you can safely count on long term positive appreciation; appreciation (or appreciation at the level to make break-even appealing) is hard to find and not a given in most markets.  

If, however, your goal is to work towards "financial freedom" then the blog post and above is not a relevant strategy and cash flow is king. My guess is that most folks on this forum are going to champion the cash flow model over appreciation. 

Post: Best WA markets for Buy and Hold?

Taylor HazardPosted
  • Commercial Real Estate Broker
  • Seattle, WA
  • Posts 110
  • Votes 79

@Kevin McFarlan can you PM me your contact info? Looking for south end lender and broker contacts.

Thanks, 

Post: Tacoma real estate investor meet up?

Taylor HazardPosted
  • Commercial Real Estate Broker
  • Seattle, WA
  • Posts 110
  • Votes 79

Sending you a quick PM. Thanks for the post.