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All Forum Posts by: Axel Meierhoefer

Axel Meierhoefer has started 35 posts and replied 663 times.

Post: Is pivoting to new built properties the success strategy for 2023

Axel Meierhoefer
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Escondido, CA
  • Posts 676
  • Votes 550

When I started my own investing journey toward my Time Freedom Point I did a lot of research and watched a lot of HGTV. I quickly found residential real estate investing to be my calling and flipping was not something I wanted to do. Ergo, I developed an investing strategy working with high-quality turnkey providers like REI Nation, Spartan Invest, FREG, Apartmentsqca, and others. As my portfolio grew I started offering mentoring and coaching to people who read my postings on Bigger Pockets or found me on our website. That website describes the models under the name Ideal Wealth Grower.

The original strategy focused on investing in mainly single-family homes, sometimes duplexes, tri-plexus or four-plexus, financing 80/20 bank/individual down payment, and focusing on the performance of the property from day 1. We always aimed at 1% of the purchase price as monthly rent and generated good positive cash flow as soon as the property was rented and tenants got into a routine.

Now that we have seen interest rates more than double since this time a year ago, I am pivoting my investing towards a brand new SFR that is purpose build for long term and in some cases possibly short-term renting. Here are my reasons:

- The price gap between new build houses and fully renovated houses has evaporated almost completely (when comparing properties in the same location)

- New built houses are often in desirable locations attracting better tenants (payment culture)

- Tenants are willing to pay more to move into a brand new house supporting reasonable positive cash flow

- New built houses can get a builder warranty and don't require CAPEX and maintenance reserves for the first few years

- Newly built houses receive favorable financing conditions and are easier to refi when interest rates have come down again in 3-5 years.

- New built houses have a comparatively better appreciation opportunity than renovated properties, which can help develop a HELOC option for future investment in more favorable market conditions (lower interest rates and economic outlook)

- There will, most likely, be newly built houses that will come on the market in 2023, either directly from builders or banks or agents or TK-providers that were originally built for owner occupancy but buyers no longer qualify or cancel purchase agreements (this could be an interesting investment option that typically did not exist - has to be weighted versus furnishings that are made for tenants which owner occupants probably would not have requested)

- Rents have been lagging behind price appreciation. While inflation has been squeezing peoples wallets, a significant group f people who would like to own a house are potentially content with renting a house rather than staying in apartments or living with their parents. While it is another example of selection favoring the better-earning people, as investors it will offer a continued increase in rental income that benefits cash flow and help reaching the Time Freedom Point

- New built properties can remain in the portfolio for 2 or more generations and produce wealth and equity better than renovated properties that will have higher expenses as they get older and older (new built will age and need maintenance and CAPEX but they have a grace period of probably 5-7 years after completion)

These are my points to pivot to newly built properties. I probably forgot a few points but am very interested to learn what the BP community thinks about this approach. I am currently investing in two "new built properties" that should be completed in early 2023.

Post: Best way to transfer title - is this owner financing?

Axel Meierhoefer
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Escondido, CA
  • Posts 676
  • Votes 550

I have received an exciting assignment for work in Europe and can't be in my current house regularly during that time. My daughter is ready to take it over but would like to get on title and then pay the mortgage. I see it as a version of owner financing and it would potentially allow her to build equity while I am gone, maybe even keep it as I don't need such a large house anymore.

I asked real estate agents but they seem to be unfamiliar with owner financing or the necessary real estate contract. Can the BP community help?

Post: I have no time, and I found a 2 percent deal, now what?

Axel Meierhoefer
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Escondido, CA
  • Posts 676
  • Votes 550

I don't get what your problem is? Just buy it from your buddy and bag the 2% minus expenses. - unless the $3000 is theoretical and only occurs after renovations, etc. IN that case, let him sell it to someone with time.

Keep in mind though: Renovating your own place is nice but will not pay you anything (unless you could saved rent as income). If you stop the work on your own place, complete the buddy-place and make great cash flow, you could dress up your own place even nicer afterwards with money from tenants.

Post: Are positive cash flow SFR deals at 7% interest rate possible?

Axel Meierhoefer
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Escondido, CA
  • Posts 676
  • Votes 550

I am wondering if there is any historic precedence where the mortgage interest rates have shot up as much as they have recently without the FED really changing the rates much? There has been a ton of noise in the media but the reality remains that the FED rate 1 year ago and today is only 0.25% difference.  

I refinanced the mortgage on my house almost exactly 1 year ago and got 2.98% for 30 years. Today I see rates in the upper 4%'s and low 5%'s. 

Thinking optimistically I am smiling my face off knowing how affordable my payments are now. Thinking pessimistically I wonder what happens when the actual FED rate hikes occur, currently predicted to add up to an increase of about 2% to reach about 2.25% - 2.4%. 

Will we just sit and stagnate and see that Fed and real market rates join again or will the markets keep staying ahead of the FED and we get to mortgage interest at 7.5% - 8%?

Also, will we still be able to find SFR deals that pan out when interest rates go up like crazy following prices that don't seem to stop increasing due to strong demand and lack of inventory?

Post: What is your experience with AirBnB as a guest, not a Landlord?

Axel Meierhoefer
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Escondido, CA
  • Posts 676
  • Votes 550

I have only stayed in Airbnb's and have found that the stays in properties where the owners were actually in the property and rented out a studio or a basement or a room and en-suite bathroom were all good to excellent. 

Each time we stayed in a place where the Airbnb ad on the site said "you get the whole apartment/house/studio" the experience was bad -same as you described.

I think there is a huge potential for owners and professional STR PM's to generate great experiences because I am sure people who have those great stays will return and recommend them.

Post: Advice for starting off at a young age

Axel Meierhoefer
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Escondido, CA
  • Posts 676
  • Votes 550

@Andrey Zohrabyan Welcome to BP and congrats on your ambitions and interest in real estate investing.

In one of your reactions you asked how to find a mentor. I am actually a mentor and currently mentor 14 clients. If you like to learn how we do it, please DM and we can set up a chat.

As for the options you have, I like to suggest really spending time using the SMARTERS tool to determine where the journey should go and what some of the end results should be.

I wouldn't be surprised if you have a few different passions, some of which might not sound like they could ever be a career or could be an occupation that doesn't pay very well. At your age, I would recommend really exploring those passions in depth and then seeing how dominant real estate is. That will then help determine which road will allow you to reach your goals the fastest or easiest or both.

Several of my clients had their first conversation with me and were initially very hesitant because they thought they needed a bunch of money to be able to start investing. I get the funniest puzzled looks when I show them how I got my daughter to start with $50/month. There is really no financial hurdle of entry anymore, if you know where to look.

Post: Can I retire like this? (3.2 million net worth)

Axel Meierhoefer
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Escondido, CA
  • Posts 676
  • Votes 550

@Jack B. I agree with @Jay Hinrichs and @Allen L.

My plan, which could be informative for you, has two parts based on the financial foundation you describe (which has similarities to mine):

1. I am in the process of adding a few turnkey eco-friendly tiny houses in desirable locations (i.e. Belize/Panama, South America, Eastern Mediterranean) that each cost less than $200K, are managed as short term rentals, are new, and allow me to come and stay whenever I like.

2. I plan on having residence in Spain or Portugal. Allen L stated the benefit of the medical system in Europe. You might know Coach Carson (check YouTube). He and his family will spend the next 12-15 months in Spain and did the research. The cost for health insurance for their family in Spain for 1 year is about the same as for 1 month in South Carolina (they are self-employed).

So, selecting desirable locations that allow you to have fun, enjoy culture, and in your case, maybe also find the right partner could be your plan. I have my partner but the rest is actually my plan. 

Living your passion will change your outlook, your mindset, and put smiles and enjoyment in your life. Besides, it will also keep you healthy.

Post: Lots of capital but no time. How would you invest in real estate?

Axel Meierhoefer
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Escondido, CA
  • Posts 676
  • Votes 550

@Erik Johnson

One option that has not been mentioned, partially because it is not a favorite on BP I suspect, is turnkey investing. 

I have done this and keep doing it for the last decade with good success. I stay in the residential market and have more control (in my opinion) than in a syndication deal, benefit both from passive income and appreciation, and have very little effort or time I need to spend (although it's probably a little more than syndication deals).

Happy to discuss this in more detail

Post: Bitcoin continues to become the most pristine collateral asset

Axel Meierhoefer
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Escondido, CA
  • Posts 676
  • Votes 550

@Rob Kishi I am wondering why you or the lender calls it a mortgage?

If you need to give the equivalent of $250K of bitcoin to get a $250K house, I have 200% collateral in my book.

For me a mortgage would be if I give 20% of the $250K in bitcoin, they give 80% in USD so I can buy the property and the lien is against the property. If the lean is against 100% of the value of the property in bitcoin, I don't see why one would do it - even if it isn't a taxable event.

Post: Which strategy works best for the current market condition?

Axel Meierhoefer
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Escondido, CA
  • Posts 676
  • Votes 550

@Steven Foster Wilson It would be helpful if you would attach/include your definition of cash flow to avoid people getting confused. You speak about refinancing of properties and cash flow numbers that would require insane rental income. Though it's possible, it's not probable, leading to the suspicion that your definition is lacking or is not precise. I can see people using your post and telling people on BP in other posts that there is a guy who makes $1800/month and $2000/month in cash flow on BRRR deals and he keeps refiing them all the time. I am sure you want to avoid that or at least provide some background how that's possible in your case.