All Forum Posts by: Austin Fruechting
Austin Fruechting has started 13 posts and replied 758 times.
Post: Difficulty Selling My Flip

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You did great on the interior, but the outside doesn't match the inside at all.Take it off the market. Put sod and a little landscaping in, paint the exterior something other than stark white, and then put it back on the market maybe at $299k.
Post: What % capex and repairs do I put for a 4 plex?

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Expenses as a percentage of rent is not a good metric, unless you're using a sliding scale and know what percentage is accurate for different property types and rental rates. That HVAC and roof replacement is a lot higher percentage of a $600 per month rental and a lot lower percentage of a $2400 rental.
Post: Can you make money with passive rentals?

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Originally posted by @Justin R.:
@Austin Fruechting Fair enough - appreciate the honesty. My formal training is engineering as well, so I find projected numbers and models almost as interesting as actuals.
The majority of the experience I have is development and re-development - new construction SFR, new construction small multi, and major renovation/re-purposing of old (70+ y/o) properties. I know what that stuff costs. I struggle with projecting how that'll apply to the Capex over 30 years (hence the original model I posted).
How do you feel about sharing where your calculations landed for Capex on your assets?
Thanks for understanding I wasn't trying to be an a$$ and was just trying to be as helpful to as many as possible.
My method was pretty simple. Just a spreadsheet with 4 columns: A) everything that needs replacing B) approximate cost C) expected lifetime D) monthly amount (B/C/12). It varies every property by property, and still has a margin of error. But that's how I did it in the beginning for every property I looked at and I would get accurate numbers for every other expense category. After doing that hundreds of times, now I know which overall expense factor to apply for different types of properties (in my market) and I'll be within the same margin of error as if I did the full calculations.
I've also done a lot of rehabs, from general improvements/remodels to down to studs on a historic building, so I'm pretty accurate with all costs at this point.
Post: Can you make money with passive rentals?

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@Justin R. - My posts may lead to the assumption that I haven't done the calculations for my stuff, but I have. I am a numbers nerd, 3 years of mechanical/nuclear engineering before dropping because I didn't like that future.
To be honest I was simply asking my question in order to show other BP-ers not to blindly trust statements made, even ones that seem authoritative and quantitative. That when people come in claiming that when you actually project Capex that's what the numbers on paper say, may not have actually costed out that expense themselves.
Post: Realistically, Who Gets 30+ Unit Apartments With No Money Down?

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FWIW: even with an investor(s) putting up the cash, there are ways to maintain (near) full control with an LLC that is set up as a partnership and keep you from crossing into syndication.
I am not a lawyer, but have an awesome one. I recommend you find an awesome one too if you end up heading that direction.
Post: Can you make money with passive rentals?

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Originally posted by @Justin R.:
As an approach to evaluating an investment, would you agree that changing that variable - ideally into a cost segregation study using *actual* lifespans for components - would give you your expected Capex that should be planned for?
This.
When you said the numbers on the paper were saying X for capex that's what I thought you were referring to, not a depreciable to zero total cost of a house. My personal house was built 110 years ago, which is exactly 4 complete depreciable cycles. It's not actually worth only the land at each of those. And It hasn't gone to zero 4 times unless the full amount to rebuild it was reinvested, but that's what your numbers on the paper would show.
The best way to calculate a real number for CapEx would be to do something like:
Roof - Cost: $6,000 - Life: 30 years = $200 per year
HVAC - Cost: $4000 - Life: 20 years = $200 per year
Refrigerator, Kitchen, Bath Remodel, etc, etc.... cost of each of those will vary per property. That $3000 a month rental gets a lot nicer refrigerator and kitchen cabinets than a $700 a month rental.
Post: Can you make money with passive rentals?

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@Justin R. - could you line out or show your numbers on paper tell you for that CapEx number of $108k in 20 years on a $90k property?... because if I'm that far off on my numbers I am screwed with my 141, soon to be 150+ rentals!
Post: Can you make money with passive rentals?

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Originally posted by @Andrew Johnson:
@Justin R. @Austin Fruechting I always have theoretical challenges looking at true long-term cap-ex issues and second-order implications. It's a pain to model out "well I bought something with knob-and-tube wiring" so now I'm stuck with higher insurance costs for the next ___ years. Or trying to predict if you will still be able to address lead-based paint with encapsulation 10 years from now or if they will decide that full remediation has to be done. Or trying to guess if that galvanized plumbing has 2 year of life left in it or 15. That's also was mostly has me heavily bias away from looking at older properties. It's not that I won't it's just that the risk quotient (for me) due to some of the long-term cap-ex ambiguity makes it harder to project.
Yeah, if it's knob and tube I won't touch it. OR I will have it in the budget to do that right away and get an appropriate price reduction for that. The outliers such as that will make for a very different story. All the older rentals I own and have looked at updated electrical at some point along the lines. They are all structurally sound with wiring that passes code and insurance standards. But all the other systems such as HVACs, roofs, etc are all of various ages. I replace an HVAC system about every other month.
I will buy $975 rentals for $50k all day long if I could!... Assuming performing assets not in need of an immediate gut, structurally sound, & not knob and tube.
Which I didn't hear any of that yet so I'm assuming that's the hypothetical going into his calculations. If it does need an immediate gut that's a different story... then a value add that would increase rents and increase value... AND it was already $975 for $50k in that condition... I will buy all of those too!
Post: Can you make money with passive rentals?

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Originally posted by @Justin R.:
Originally posted by @Austin Fruechting:
@Justin R. - I'm interested in how you modeled your returns. Such as how a $50,000 property renting for $975 is a losing property. And how you arrived at a $90k duplex renting for $1665 making $122 a month (5.41% on $27k invested/12 months)
For that $90k duplex renting for $1665 (with 70% leverage), I've got:
1. Operating Cash Flow = $494/m
2. Free Cash Flow = $44/m
3. Free Cash Flow ROI = 1.97%
4. Total Return ROI = 5.41%
That Operating Cash Flow assumes 50% expense ratio (Opex only - taxes, maintenance, insurance, economic loss, landscaping/snow, gov fees, management). That Free Cash Flow includes $450/m allocated to future Capex for the duplex. Total Return ROI includes the beneficial value of principal payments.
I know that Capex amount feels outrageously large, especially if someone hasn't sat down and projected out future Capex. I've done it on stuff I own and it's freakin' expensive - new kitchens, new bathrooms, new windows, siding, flooring, mechanicals, roofs, plumbing, electrical, decks/patios, fencing ... add it all up with an expected useful life and it easily comes out to $200-300/door/m on small multis. Again, assuming investing from afar with pricing through a property mgr. I feel like lots of people would take issue with this, but numbers on paper tell me otherwise.
But I'd love to be educated on how lower priced areas have worked for people operating there for long periods ($90k duplexes, for example). Enough evidence on BP suggests a 50% operating expense ratio is a reasonable estimate. I've never seen Capex included in that.
Where are these numbers wrong? I guess I'm looking for evidence that lower priced properties, once accounting for Capex expenses, make for attractive long term investment.
$5400 a year for CapEx is crazy. I have no idea how you'd spend $108,000 in CapEx over a 20 year period.
Typically that 50% expense ratio is including CapEx. Obviously that fluctuates based on the property and area though. On my old rentals that are in the $600-700 per unit range I average 55% expenses, including CapEx.
Post: In need of a partner for down payment on a 12 plex

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