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All Forum Posts by: John Carbone

John Carbone has started 38 posts and replied 1079 times.

Post: How much will you take for managing an Airbnb?

John CarbonePosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Gatlinburg
  • Posts 1,090
  • Votes 955
Quote from @Michael Baum:

Hey @Dolev Zaharony, great answers here for you. I will say that if you are charging 25%, you are responsible for paying the cleaners and minor maintenance stuff so make sure you budget that.

I didn’t think cleaning fees were paid by the PM….is that common?

Post: Largest Return on 100k / Property Development Consultant?

John CarbonePosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Gatlinburg
  • Posts 1,090
  • Votes 955
Quote from @Jayme B.:
Quote from @John Carbone:
Quote from @Jayme B.:

My mind has been all over the place on how to maximize our money and borrowing ability to achieve the largest return on investment. I've researched finding that 500k home with 15% down + furnishings + closing costs means 100k cash in. An average nightly rate at $200 with 70% occupancy doesn't even cashflow. I don't want to invest that much of my money even if it cash flowed 20k per year. It's tying up too much of my money that I feel can be leveraged better.

Alternative thought process:

I'd like to create a small community of cabins that isn't considered "glamping". No detached bathrooms, showers or tents.

I can owner finance a 5 acre property for 50k ($600-700/mo payment; down payment 10k), put in a well for 5-8k along with a septic 5-8k, grading/dirt work for 2k and build 3 small a-frame cabins myself for less than 60k. Total cost high end = 88-90k. 

The rental numbers: $80 avg nightly rate x 50% occupancy = $1200 / mo. * 3 cabins = $3600 / mo * 12 mo = $43,200 gross profit / year.

$43,200 - $8,400 (land payment) = $34,800 net profit / year

ROI: 38%

I could pay off the land after the first year of operation which would result in an income of $43,200 the 2nd year with the ability to build more cabins.

--

I've never developed a property before and would most likely choose an area with loose restrictions and permitting. There are lots of things to consider with this approach vs going the traditional STR route of buying a home. Choosing the best building sites, septic location / size, well location and the proximity of the cabins to reduce cost (trenching, piping, conduit) but still giving enough privacy. Another thought is to have walking paths to each cabin with one parking area to reduce clearing and driveway expense.

If anyone has done this type of STR approach before, I would be interested in consulting with you. I realize that I've just hit the basics with my thought process.

Be easy on me! Haha.

You are underestimating costs on the infrastructure by quite a bit. For $1200 a month, why not find a place where you can do something similar but rent them out as LTR. 

What are the expenses in infrastructure that I'm missing? 

The amounts you are projecting for infrastructure just seem extremely low. Electric alone will cost a significant amount of money, have you seen prices on materials lately? If you are going to build them yourself and do everything then there is a cost for your time to do the project. My guess is your turn key price will be double when you factor everything in getting ready to rent. 


Post: Largest Return on 100k / Property Development Consultant?

John CarbonePosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Gatlinburg
  • Posts 1,090
  • Votes 955
Quote from @Jayme B.:

My mind has been all over the place on how to maximize our money and borrowing ability to achieve the largest return on investment. I've researched finding that 500k home with 15% down + furnishings + closing costs means 100k cash in. An average nightly rate at $200 with 70% occupancy doesn't even cashflow. I don't want to invest that much of my money even if it cash flowed 20k per year. It's tying up too much of my money that I feel can be leveraged better.

Alternative thought process:

I'd like to create a small community of cabins that isn't considered "glamping". No detached bathrooms, showers or tents.

I can owner finance a 5 acre property for 50k ($600-700/mo payment; down payment 10k), put in a well for 5-8k along with a septic 5-8k, grading/dirt work for 2k and build 3 small a-frame cabins myself for less than 60k. Total cost high end = 88-90k. 

The rental numbers: $80 avg nightly rate x 50% occupancy = $1200 / mo. * 3 cabins = $3600 / mo * 12 mo = $43,200 gross profit / year.

$43,200 - $8,400 (land payment) = $34,800 net profit / year

ROI: 38%

I could pay off the land after the first year of operation which would result in an income of $43,200 the 2nd year with the ability to build more cabins.

--

I've never developed a property before and would most likely choose an area with loose restrictions and permitting. There are lots of things to consider with this approach vs going the traditional STR route of buying a home. Choosing the best building sites, septic location / size, well location and the proximity of the cabins to reduce cost (trenching, piping, conduit) but still giving enough privacy. Another thought is to have walking paths to each cabin with one parking area to reduce clearing and driveway expense.

If anyone has done this type of STR approach before, I would be interested in consulting with you. I realize that I've just hit the basics with my thought process.

Be easy on me! Haha.

You are underestimating costs on the infrastructure by quite a bit. For $1200 a month, why not find a place where you can do something similar but rent them out as LTR. 

Post: How much will you take for managing an Airbnb?

John CarbonePosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Gatlinburg
  • Posts 1,090
  • Votes 955

I’d say 20 percent and no junk fees other than reasonable fees pertaining to the booking (like credit card processing). I see so many people offering 20-25 percent and then they add in “fees” which are not shared with the home owner. PMs use these extra fees to cover their overhead and take in 20-25 percent as their “profit”. In many cases this brings it up to 40 percent cost to the homeowner. Clever marketing, but sleight of hand. 

Post: 2023 Market activity = almost equal to 2022 market equity

John CarbonePosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Gatlinburg
  • Posts 1,090
  • Votes 955
Quote from @Carlos Ptriawan:
Quote from @John Carbone:

I found these quotes interesting from Jerome: 

“It will be appropriate to cut rates at such time as inflation is coming down really significantly. And we’re talking about a couple of years out.“

"I think, as anyone can see, not a single person on the committee wrote down a rate cut this year -- nor do I think it is at all likely to be appropriate if you think about it."


 The inflation is still 4% due to rent increase which is increased after property home value , so Fed failed in those aspect , as well as failed to crash the job market.

Why would fed cut rates though with stocks, home values, and jobs holding up unless CPI is in the 2s? All this talk about rate cuts seems like just wishful thinking? It’s pretty unanimous from the fed members too. 

James makes good points that mathematically this system can’t support what the fed is doing for long, but the fed believes it can. What’s the breaking point? 

Post: Financing Tiny homes/cabins

John CarbonePosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Gatlinburg
  • Posts 1,090
  • Votes 955
Quote from @Dana Thilges:

My husband and I are interested in potentially creating some cabins on a piece of land to create a short term rental business. They would potentially be simple with no plumbing (central bath/shower house). So far our experience includes the home we live in (which we flipped ourselves) and one other rental property (long term rental). I've only talked to a couple of lenders, but they both told me we'd need more experience under our belts to take on a project like that. Has anyone done this successfully early on....or are we crazy? :)

I’d say you are crazy, with no plumbing to boot. Many have tried this out in the smokies and they are seeing the reality post covid of how it will play out. 

Post: 2023 Market activity = almost equal to 2022 market equity

John CarbonePosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Gatlinburg
  • Posts 1,090
  • Votes 955

I found these quotes interesting from Jerome: 

“It will be appropriate to cut rates at such time as inflation is coming down really significantly. And we’re talking about a couple of years out.“

"I think, as anyone can see, not a single person on the committee wrote down a rate cut this year -- nor do I think it is at all likely to be appropriate if you think about it."

Post: 2023 Market activity = almost equal to 2022 market equity

John CarbonePosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Gatlinburg
  • Posts 1,090
  • Votes 955

@Carlos Ptriawan  @James Hamling

Thoughts on FED forecasting 2 more rate hikes.  There are only 4 more meetings rest of the year, will they hike the next two and start cutting? Why hasn't the market believed the FED for the past year? For all the bashing we all do on Jerome, he is pulling off a Houdini act by raising rates, getting markets to not believe them while they do it to bring down inflation with no impact other than mid sized banks which nobody cares about. 

Post: Seattle STR rental vacancy rate

John CarbonePosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Gatlinburg
  • Posts 1,090
  • Votes 955
Quote from @Tracy Qi:

Hi we have a house at north side of Seattle. We are thinking furnishing it and use it as STR.

I check STR houses on Airbnb and VRBO. Many of them are available all the time which means there is huge vacancy rate.

How will you make money if the house is always vacant.

Thanks


I think this is a good indication to be conservative and not throw a lot of money at it to be a STR. Everyone thinks they will always have the "best" listing and will get bookings even when others don't. The cost to get this level is very expensive. I would need to see calendars full during peak season and at-least weekends booked in off season to think about doing this. I would think LTR would be more profitable in Seattle.

Post: Airbnb Host Success Event - Gatlinburg 6/14/2023 - 6/15

John CarbonePosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Gatlinburg
  • Posts 1,090
  • Votes 955
Quote from @Collin Hays:

I went to one of these once.  Everyone I met said they were "killing it".  

“Calendars are slammed”