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All Forum Posts by: Paul V.

Paul V. has started 8 posts and replied 41 times.

Post: What strategies work in a high interest rate market?

Paul V.Posted
  • Investor
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 42
  • Votes 29
Quote from @Rachan M.:

I've generally been a buy and hold investor, but no chance that's working in this market, and certainly not on the east or west coasts.

Could you elaborate more on why thats not working in this market? 

Unless your market is forecasted to have an oversaturation of housing and/or population decreases, I think it should work just fine for a long term approach.  

It seems like cash flow is your primary metric for success.  Are you nearing your ability to replace your income from your job with real estate income? If so, then yes, you definitely want to hunt for strong cash flow. 

If you are not close to that, then most people that I have come across focus on getting their highest Return On Equity to build their nest egg.. and then when nearing the time to retire, flip that equity into high yielding cash flowing properties.  

Just my $.02 - hope it's helpful.... 

Post: What strategies work in a high interest rate market?

Paul V.Posted
  • Investor
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 42
  • Votes 29

@Rachan M.. Are you looking for income or equity/wealth growth? My preference is to not try to time the market and dollar cost average by buying and holding.  

Have you purchased an investment property in the past? What has your experience been?  

Post: Chicago Condo - Lincoln Park

Paul V.Posted
  • Investor
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 42
  • Votes 29

Investment Info:

Condo buy & hold investment.

Purchase price: $232,500
Sale price: $268,000

2 br/1 ba condo in Chicago's Lincoln Park neighborhood. Vintage courtyard condo building with 91 walk score. Bought it as a long term rental. HOA put a 2 yr maximum rental rule in effect, so I had to sell.

How did you find this deal and how did you negotiate it?

MLS

Lessons learned? Challenges?

HOA put rule limiting rentals. Pay extra close attention to HOA meeting minutes during due diligence process.

Investment Info:

Condo buy & hold investment.

Purchase price: $155,000
Sale price: $244,000

1 Bedroom condo in the heart of Chicago's Lincoln Park. Beautiful vintage brick building with 90 walkscore. Over 16 years it was both my primary residence and rented it out to young professionals.

This was an anchor property for me - I was able to pull out equity over the years with a couple lines of credit to fund additional investments. BRRR before the BRRR term was coined :>)

What made you interested in investing in this type of deal?

Lowest priced condo in one of the highest neighborhoods.

How did you find this deal and how did you negotiate it?

MLS

How did you add value to the deal?

While living there I hired a handyman to complete a pretty thorough rehab that drove rent value up including:
* Knocking out a wall between kitchen and family room to open up the space
* New kitchen cabinets/appliances
* Installed in unit washer/dryer

What was the outcome?

Ultimately the property was sold to a local developer who bought out all unit owners and de-converted the property back to an apartment building.

Post: Chicago Condo Conversion Pre-construction Flip

Paul V.Posted
  • Investor
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 42
  • Votes 29

Investment Info:

Condo fix & flip investment.

Purchase price: $118,500
Cash invested: $6,000
Sale price: $132,500

2 bedroom condo in Rogers Park neighborhood of Chicago. 81 walk score that is .4 miles from the Rogers Park Metra stop. I signed a contract pre-construction for a condo conversion while it was being developed. I closed on it 1 yr later and flipped it 1 month after I closed on it.

Post: Seeking Financial Advisor (experienced in real estate & private equity)

Paul V.Posted
  • Investor
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 42
  • Votes 29

@Fay ChenI share your pain! Please let me know if you come across any professionals that can help.  My wife and I specifically searched for a fee only financial planner who claimed to know how to work with real estate. We wasted several thousands of dollars with them until we realized that they weren't able to handle the project...After we fired them they turned around and offered me a job ;>) - I politely declined as I don't think the industry is setup to help us.

I am happy to share that I recently came across a solution called Property Llama that is a huge step forward for folks like us.. The solution is currently free for investors to create an account, enter your properties, identify your goals AND run hypothetical scenarios for taking action (1031/refi/sell) etc.

Property Llama helps take the emotion (and unvalidated bias) out of the process and gives you black and white numbers on key financial indicators (return on equity, cash flow, etc..). I have my MBA in Real Estate Finance and stand by its power and elegance.. So much so that I'm working with the PL team to help bring this to market :>)



Please check out Property Llama and let me know what you think!!

@Daniel Johnson, @Chris Seveney @Mason Liu - We are soft piloting a partnership program with Real Estate Professionals that want to bring Property Llama to their local market. We are working with a branch of a national lender, but have 2 spots open in our pilot program for other RE professionals. DM me if you, or anyone else reading this is interested in learning more.

Thanks,
Paul

Post: Real Estate Financial Advisor?

Paul V.Posted
  • Investor
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 42
  • Votes 29

@Sarah R Pullen I share your pain! My wife and I specifically searched for a fee only financial planner who claimed to know how to work with real estate.  We wasted several thousands of dollars with them until we realized that they weren't able to handle the project...After we fired them they turned around and offered me a job ;>) - I politely declined as I don't think the industry is setup to help us. 

I think that there are 3 reasons why Financial Planners aren't able to handle this:

1. Their out of the box industry software is designed for stocks and bonds, not real estate.  The basic structuring of a real estate investment does not fit into their constructs.
2. They aren't experts in the alignment of how various real estate strategies can align with personal financial goals (i.e. BRRR/house hack/str/mtr/ltr.... leveraged equity building vs. cash flow).
3. Traditional financial planners make the bulk of their income from commissions on stocks and bonds, so real estate will often times get dumped into an "other" category that doesn't get the proper attention.

In my experience, we did receive a lot of help from real estate agents that are able to help us with our upcoming transaction, HOWEVER, they aren't setup to support the overall plan design in a way that was centered around the most important financial kpis.  

This has been a problem that has been a big issue for me.  My wife and I have different appetites for real estate investing and have not found a professional that can help us work together to understand the key questions we should be asking ourselves and help us sort through all of the options. And all of the Excel spreadsheets involved.. cumbersome and difficult to maintain.. don't get me started! :>) 

That said, it's not all bad news here.. I am happy to share that I recently came across a solution called Property Llama that is a huge step forward for folks like us.. The solution is currently free for investors to create an account, enter your properties, identify your goals AND run hypothetical scenarios for taking action (1031/refi/sell) etc. 

Property Llama helps take the emotion (and unvalidated bias) out of the process and gives you black and white numbers on key financial indicators (return on equity, cash flow, etc..).  I have my MBA in Real Estate Finance and stand by its power and elegance.. So much so that I'm working with the PL team to help bring this to market :>)



Please check out Property Llama and let me know what you think!!

@Jeff Nash and @Doug Smith - We are soft piloting a partnership program with Real Estate Professionals that want to bring this to their local market.  We are working with a branch of a national lender, but have 2 spots open in our pilot program for other RE professionals.  DM me if you, or anyone else reading this is interested in learning more.

Thanks,
Paul

Post: Denver Residential Market Stats

Paul V.Posted
  • Investor
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 42
  • Votes 29

From Denver Business Journal:

'Sluggish' Colorado housing market experiencing longer sale times and lower home prices

For the first time since December 2019, year-over-year median home prices have decreased in the Denver metro area, dropping by 1.4% from $531,000 to $525,000, according to the latest monthly report from the Colorado Association of Realtors.

After a year of skyrocketing prices, homes across Colorado have also dropped to the same median price as last January to $520,000. The average price for single-family homes has increased by 3.1% around the state, from $645,604 last January to $665,645 this January.

While new homebuyers were willing to offer more than the asking price to purchase homes last year, that’s less of a trend during the first month of the new year. Sellers were getting 101% of the list price for single-family homes in Colorado in January 2022, but that dropped to 97.9% of the listing price last month.

The number of listings in Colorado has gone up by 68.3% compared to last January, from 5,830 listings last year to 9,814 single-family listings during the first month of this year.

New single-family listings dropped from 5,717 during January 2022 to 4,698 listings last month, representing a 17.8% drop in statewide housing inventory.

“The January stats confirm what Realtors have been experiencing for the last few months — a sluggish market, prices decreasing and a change in the way buyers and sellers negotiate a sale,” Boulder-area Realtor Kelly Moye said in the report. “In Boulder County, prices went up throughout the first half of 2022 and then the appreciation was quickly lost due to rising interest rates. That, coupled with a typical seasonal slowdown, held prices to what they were at the end of 2021.”

In January 2022, 4,876 listings sold in Colorado, while only 3,441 single-family homes sold last month, representing a 29.4% drop year over year. Homes are staying on the market much longer than last year, going up from an average of 35 days last January to 60 this January.

Similar to the rest of the state, Denver homes are taking twice as long to sell, with homes in the Denver area lingering on the market for 50 days this January instead of the 22 average days in January 2022. New listings have dropped from 4,300 last January to 3,709 this year.

In Denver County, January saw a seven-year record for the average number of days on the market for a single-family home at 48 days. Last month was only the third time in CAR records that single-family homes stayed on the market above an average of 40 days, according to the report. It’s also a stark contrast to the average of seven days that homes were on the market in April last year.

While Denver’s housing market saw more than 20% year-over-year housing price increases during 2021, that growth has tapered off.

“At just 2.6% higher than January 2022 for a freestanding Denver home, price growth is far more palatable and clearly less panic-inducing for buyers who are now reflecting that in their need to snatch up desirable homes before the next guy does,” Denver-area Realtor Matthew Leprino said in the report.

CAR hires a Minneapolis-based real estate tech company called Showing Time to produce its monthly reports, which use data from Multiple Listings Services.

Post: Multifamily: Fannie Mae Small Loan?

Paul V.Posted
  • Investor
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 42
  • Votes 29

Thanks Charles, I'm intrigued by the long term interest rate lock feature with the option to get a second loan (I forgot the name of it) to pull out equity down the road without having to refi the first mtg.  I have had a couple chats with a broker that sells this program.

Do you have a broker that you would recommend?  What limitations do you see in the program?  Looking to buy a stabilized property $3-$4m 

Thanks!

Post: Multifamily: Fannie Mae Small Loan?

Paul V.Posted
  • Investor
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 42
  • Votes 29

I'm interested in the Fannie Mae Small Loan program for the feature of 30 yr fixed interest rates on a loan amount of $1m to $3m.  This would be for the acquisition of a multifamily property in Colorado. 

Has anyone gone through the process of securing a fannie mae loan on an acquisition? Looking for lessons learned. 

Thanks!