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All Forum Posts by: Joe Villeneuve

Joe Villeneuve has started 0 posts and replied 12919 times.

Post: Would you settle?

Joe Villeneuve
#5 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Plymouth, MI
  • Posts 13,464
  • Votes 19,535
Quote from @Cory Lader:

I should have specified 5-10% CoC ROI on a single-family or small multifamily (2-4 units) property. The intent is to see if people have lowered their expectations for returns based on the current market. I have been able to find 5-10% CoC ROI on these assets in some states but it just feels wrong lowering my standards (15% CoC ROI). I'm wondering if others are doing the same. There is no right or wrong answer here or deal to analyze; I'm just fishing for investor sentiment regarding desired returns in a challenging market.

If you found a deal with strict underwriting that netted 5-10% in an appreciating market, would you be interested in it? Why or why not?

To keep things simple, I'm not accounting for the cost of capital (that is very personal and varies for everyone) and I'm not considering other exit strategies. If it works as a traditional rental, everything else is gravy on top.

Those aren't the numbers that matter:
Property Value
Cash in (DP)
Mortgage payment and term in years
rent
monthly expenses

Post: Would you settle?

Joe Villeneuve
#5 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Plymouth, MI
  • Posts 13,464
  • Votes 19,535

Each deal is specific to your over all plan and the timeline in that plan.  This question is irrelevant since there is no plan, or specific numbers mentioned in the question.

Post: Keep VS sell

Joe Villeneuve
#5 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Plymouth, MI
  • Posts 13,464
  • Votes 19,535

Did I read you would double your investment, even after CAPGains, if you sold?  Sell it.  Do the math:

1 - If you keep it as a rental, how long would it take for the CF to equal the profit if you sold it now?
2 - Right now, with you that profit buried in this property, if you sold, could that same profit now used as a down payment, buy you a larger property value?  Keep in mind, appreciation percentage is applied to the property value, not the equity.

3 - If you took that profit, and invested into a new rental, could you CF that rental.

Post: Almost 2 years in and haven't made any money (via cashflow)

Joe Villeneuve
#5 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Plymouth, MI
  • Posts 13,464
  • Votes 19,535
Quote from @Alacia Mahnken:
Quote from @Joe Villeneuve:
Quote from @Alacia Mahnken:
Quote from @Steven DeMarco:
Quote from @Bruce Woodruff:
Quote from @Steven DeMarco:

Net profit of $2-5k mo? Maybe $2k, but $5k is a lofty goal for an average STR (depending on location of course). Make sure you're realisitic and looking at pure NET profit after all expenses, including taxes...

When I initially set these goals, I was still in the "bright-eyed, bushy tail" phase of envisioning my future REI portfolio. Yes, I had a goal with NET profit of $2K - $5K per month per STR.

I now realize that this is only attainable in highly desirable locations and with larger or more unique properties. And you have to put a fair amount (25%+) down, operate in the Top 10% of your market and truly have an outstanding property.

Influencers and social media gurus make it seem like this is much more achievable than it actually is.

So very true! If nothing else, you have learned a ton with this first deal and maybe also found that for you, house hacking on repeat is the better option for your path to financial freedom.  

If I were you, I would hold the property...you have already put your money, blood, sweat and tears into it, now its time to let it work for you (with your PM). Plus, some of the cost that you mentioned are not specifically for the deal and shouldn't be factored into the calculations to determine if THIS deal was a good/bad one (i.e the mastermind course, setting up your LLC, etc). It may start to look a little nicer, if you take those out ;) I get that you are trying to be very honest with yourself and look at it from a gain/loss scenario.

You don't put more chips into a bad hand in Poker just because you have already put a lot of chips into the kitty. The more you add, the more you lose, and the fewer chips you have left to recover those lost chips.  Eventually, you're out of the game, and blaming it on bad hands. You fold.  This is no different.

I get that, but this wasn't exactly a "bad hand" and I am certainly not suggesting he put any more money into it. The numbers are skewed by added expenses that had nothing to do with the actual deal. He put a ton of money into cap expenditures on the front end. The way to recoup that is not to sell, but to hold and to continue to build equity while also working with his PM to increase his NOI.

You recover your costs (cash) with cash returns (cash flow).  You can go broke if you wait for the equity, which can be lost just as easily as it is gained, to recover your cash costs.  Equity is profit that is made at the backend.  Cash flow is what recovers your costs because your cost (cash in) is immediate.  You have to wait for your profit.  While you're waiting for your profit, and losing cash (adding cost) from negative CF, you are also losing opportunity profits because you are spending more cash on an already owned property, when it could be better spent on the next property.

Post: Almost 2 years in and haven't made any money (via cashflow)

Joe Villeneuve
#5 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Plymouth, MI
  • Posts 13,464
  • Votes 19,535
Quote from @John Morgan:

You lost me at paying for a mastermind class. Never pay for gurus. They will sell you the Brooklyn bridge and make it sound so easy to crush it in real estate. And never jump in doing the latest trend. It gets over saturated quick. The craze was STR from 2020-2023. Then everyone pivoted to MTR because everyone got into STR once Covid hit. Now MTR are over saturated so people pivoted to storage units or MF. Now that's over saturated. I stick with good ole fashion LTR and hold them for many years. They start off only as base hits, but look like home runs 5-10 years later. Most people need to hit home runs or grand slams today. I'm ok waiting 5-10 years to build generational wealth off my LTRs.

All squares are rectangles, but not all rectangles are squares.

Post: Almost 2 years in and haven't made any money (via cashflow)

Joe Villeneuve
#5 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Plymouth, MI
  • Posts 13,464
  • Votes 19,535
Quote from @Alacia Mahnken:
Quote from @Steven DeMarco:
Quote from @Bruce Woodruff:
Quote from @Steven DeMarco:

Net profit of $2-5k mo? Maybe $2k, but $5k is a lofty goal for an average STR (depending on location of course). Make sure you're realisitic and looking at pure NET profit after all expenses, including taxes...

When I initially set these goals, I was still in the "bright-eyed, bushy tail" phase of envisioning my future REI portfolio. Yes, I had a goal with NET profit of $2K - $5K per month per STR.

I now realize that this is only attainable in highly desirable locations and with larger or more unique properties. And you have to put a fair amount (25%+) down, operate in the Top 10% of your market and truly have an outstanding property.

Influencers and social media gurus make it seem like this is much more achievable than it actually is.

So very true! If nothing else, you have learned a ton with this first deal and maybe also found that for you, house hacking on repeat is the better option for your path to financial freedom.  

If I were you, I would hold the property...you have already put your money, blood, sweat and tears into it, now its time to let it work for you (with your PM). Plus, some of the cost that you mentioned are not specifically for the deal and shouldn't be factored into the calculations to determine if THIS deal was a good/bad one (i.e the mastermind course, setting up your LLC, etc). It may start to look a little nicer, if you take those out ;) I get that you are trying to be very honest with yourself and look at it from a gain/loss scenario.

You don't put more chips into a bad hand in Poker just because you have already put a lot of chips into the kitty. The more you add, the more you lose, and the fewer chips you have left to recover those lost chips.  Eventually, you're out of the game, and blaming it on bad hands. You fold.  This is no different.

Post: Almost 2 years in and haven't made any money (via cashflow)

Joe Villeneuve
#5 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Plymouth, MI
  • Posts 13,464
  • Votes 19,535
Quote from @Steven DeMarco:
Quote from @Joe Villeneuve:
Quote from @Erica Calella:

I could see why you are concerned here, but if I was in your shoes, I'd try hold out as long as possible before jumping ship. 

My burning question- What do your operating costs consist of here? They seem high for what I am assuming to be a smaller sized property. What can you do to reduce these? Once you are able to increase your margins, I would try to pay down the mortgage as quickly as possible using whatever extra cash flow you can generate. Look at everything, from utilities, to landscaping, to property taxes etc to see where you can save. Your debt payments appear to be around $16.8K per year, not $24K, so I'm not sure where that figure is coming from, but once the mortgage is paid off, you'll have some more cash flow to play around with.

1031 exchange is always an option if you are really just done with this property and want to sell. I think all of the capital improvements you made will increase your basis too, but make sure to confirm with a tax professional on that.

The longer you hold out, the worse it gets.  Cut your losses, and move on.

Where I sit right now, if I were to cut my losses and sell, I'd be cementing the loss of over $100K. I've done an excellent job at meticulously tracking everything, so I feel comfortable with the "monitor closely to see what a stable asset looks like" strategy. But I value the different perspectives and would like to understand what led you to that conclusion more clearly.

There's no future here where I could get closer to breaking even? Why do you feel that way?

You're cementing your loses if you stay.  If you sell, you have a chance in your new properties to recover your loses in this one.  Stay and you will not only cement these loses, but add to them.  Don't fall in love with a property, fall in love with your money.

Post: Almost 2 years in and haven't made any money (via cashflow)

Joe Villeneuve
#5 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Plymouth, MI
  • Posts 13,464
  • Votes 19,535
Quote from @Erica Calella:
Quote from @Joe Villeneuve:
Quote from @Erica Calella:

I could see why you are concerned here, but if I was in your shoes, I'd try hold out as long as possible before jumping ship. 

My burning question- What do your operating costs consist of here? They seem high for what I am assuming to be a smaller sized property. What can you do to reduce these? Once you are able to increase your margins, I would try to pay down the mortgage as quickly as possible using whatever extra cash flow you can generate. Look at everything, from utilities, to landscaping, to property taxes etc to see where you can save. Your debt payments appear to be around $16.8K per year, not $24K, so I'm not sure where that figure is coming from, but once the mortgage is paid off, you'll have some more cash flow to play around with.

1031 exchange is always an option if you are really just done with this property and want to sell. I think all of the capital improvements you made will increase your basis too, but make sure to confirm with a tax professional on that.

The longer you hold out, the worse it gets.  Cut your losses, and move on.

That may be valid in situations that you have been in, but that mindset doesn't apply to every deal so the blanket opinion to just "cut losses" and "move on" is useless.

Wrong.  Why would you stay with a property that is losing money, and your projections tell you the future is also losing money?  Banking on a hope that "if" something that you can't control happens, you "might" start to get positive CF starting in a few more years (also losing money) so you might recover all of your losses in about 10 years, is ridiculous. While you are "hoping" for that miracle, that money you lost while waiting could have been put into a different property that was making CF, and recovering all your loses in your original property.
dump it, take your loses, and move onto a property that "is" making money...now.

Post: Almost 2 years in and haven't made any money (via cashflow)

Joe Villeneuve
#5 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Plymouth, MI
  • Posts 13,464
  • Votes 19,535
Quote from @Erica Calella:

I could see why you are concerned here, but if I was in your shoes, I'd try hold out as long as possible before jumping ship. 

My burning question- What do your operating costs consist of here? They seem high for what I am assuming to be a smaller sized property. What can you do to reduce these? Once you are able to increase your margins, I would try to pay down the mortgage as quickly as possible using whatever extra cash flow you can generate. Look at everything, from utilities, to landscaping, to property taxes etc to see where you can save. Your debt payments appear to be around $16.8K per year, not $24K, so I'm not sure where that figure is coming from, but once the mortgage is paid off, you'll have some more cash flow to play around with.

1031 exchange is always an option if you are really just done with this property and want to sell. I think all of the capital improvements you made will increase your basis too, but make sure to confirm with a tax professional on that.

The longer you hold out, the worse it gets.  Cut your losses, and move on.

Post: The Five Truisms About Real Estate That Are Actually NOT True

Joe Villeneuve
#5 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Plymouth, MI
  • Posts 13,464
  • Votes 19,535

Here's my take on your list:

5 - 100% correct. When REI try to turn it into a "people business", they lose money.

4 - Mentors are only part of, an important part of, but just a part of the educational process.  Learning NEVER stops.  When it does, or you think it's ALL the knowledge you need", you lose money.

3 - Actually, here is where I don't agree...completely. I have found a lot of "opportunities" on the MLS. etc... Deals are not found, they are made from opportunities. Being able to recognize those opportunities goes back to the previous two items on the list.

You have to treat REI like a business, which means you need to understand how to have a REI investment plan (this isn't a traditional business plan), and you have to understand how money works within the realm of REI. These are forms of knowledge, which never ends. The combination should help you develop new strategies (money applications), and how and where to apply these strategies.

2 - You don't need money, at least your own money.  You do need someone's money, which could be you own.  This goes back to what was said above.  Deals are made based on how little out of pocket the investor contributes (cash), and how someone/something else pays for the rest.  Strategies.

1 - The scope of what is involved with deals that involve one "1", and 5 "0", will be dramatically different than a deal with many more "0".  They are not the same type of property.  More to the point, they will never be the same type of deal, and in turn, will never use the same strategy...although many have tried.

All deals must have the same three knowledge bases.  All three must be involve as each depends on the other two for success:

1 - Market Analysis.  Not global finances, local Markets.  When you buy a property, you are not buying a property...you're buying a piece of a market.  This tells you where to invest.

2 - How Money works. Geometry, and Algebra, and how they apply to REI. This tells you how to invest.

3 - Designing and sticking with a REI plan based on the movement of "cash" through the timeline of the plan. This tells you when to invest.