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All Forum Posts by: V.G Jason

V.G Jason has started 15 posts and replied 3165 times.

Post: Cash out refinance under LLC

V.G Jason
Posted
  • Investor
  • Posts 3,214
  • Votes 3,266
Quote from @Allan C.:

@V.G Jason I/O is a great strategy for maximizing return on equity. It's no different than the refi till you die believers where you keep stripping equity to buy more assets, except you avoid the inefficiencies of constantly refinancing.

It also works for high appreciation markets where you don’t expect to hold the asset forever. It can also work for buy and hold investors in growth mode.

How does it maximize return on equity, when you gain no equity?

Post: Asset Protection: Two Company Structure Questions

V.G Jason
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Quote from @Nathan Gesner:
Quote from @V.G Jason:

I know you don't want to hear it, but you are spending a lot of brain cells and time learning how to be a business owner when you have no business. No brand-new investor needs an LLC and you certainly don't need a Holding Company. You want to set up protections for assets you don't have. You want to structure protections for a PM business that is non-existent.

Do you want to protect yourself? Obey the law and treat people fairly. But properties and build a business before worrying about how to protect that business. 

I know you don't want to hear it, but you should probably read before you respond.

"Before someone says, you don't "need" an LLC. I know I don't need one, I do prefer one for anonymity and risk protection. I'm willing to pay the hard lender, DSCR loan route for it to keep myself at bay."

Also, I have 10 different businesses. I'll always set up my defense before I go play ball in the field. I want to set up  protections for assets that I will have. If you have a problem with that, I suggest you mind your business.

Post: Would you fire your PM if their days on market avg was over 40?

V.G Jason
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There's too many variables to simply point at DOM. Were there renovations, what's the relative market like, do you have stringent leasing policies(min FICO score, no pets, no guests), are you priced too high?

Post: Property 8, 100% financed

V.G Jason
Posted
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Quote from @Jeremy Horton:

 See my thing is I'd expect interest rates to continue to increase at smaller percentages...this is what powell basically said they were going to do. The thing is, we still have persistent high inflation, so maybe lower rate hikes over a longer period of time. Layoffs are just starting to tick up, but there will be more to come...all this takes time to play out. 

The "waiting for rates" thing makes no sense. Rates will go up then they will come back down slightly and stay there, they're not going to be back at sub 3% - we already saw what that did and rates this low have never happened in history either. So could it happen again...yes, but probably not. Rates have literally been decreasing since the 80s...makes you wonder if some of the appreciation the housing market saw over the last 40 years was due to that. 

I mean, all else equal, it's always better to buy at a higher rate & lower price vs higher price and lower rate. 

See thing kicker here is supply and demand - supply takes a long time to change and has remained relatively constant. Demand on the other hand can change rapidly (supply cannot keep up with demand) - when the govt drops rates demand ramps up quickly (and supply cannot keep up so we see an increase in prices). The interest rate is driving the demand...that's why now we are seeing the opposite a major drop in mortgage applications, asking prices etc due to interest rate hikes. The thing is...this takes time as well. Comps are driven from houses sold 6 months ago (but guess what interest rates have gone up significantly) so people are comparing their houses to those sold 6 months ago and wondering why they are not selling...priced too high! There will be many people in many areas that see a decrease in their home values. I mean something isn't going to go up 40-50% in a year and not come back down...


 Yeah it'll go up half basis-three quarters another 2-3 times. Right now fed funds at 3.75-4, likely will end at 5. That's significant. If it goes higher, the economy will really, really struggle. I think you're right they are not going to go back to sub 3, and if it did anytime soon, it'd be hyperinflation worries. The question is when does this demand destruction from the rate increases really hit the real estate markets, it's hit equities hard already, employment is coming. The most liquid gets hit first, real estate is not liquid. It might be the last to come down and the first to go back up, simply because of those supply issues.

Post: Cash out refinance under LLC

V.G Jason
Posted
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  • Posts 3,214
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Quote from @Erik Estrada:
Quote from @V.G Jason:
Quote from @Erik Estrada:
Quote from @V.G Jason:
Quote from @Erik Estrada:

 In that case then it wouldn't make any sense. If your goal is to pay off the mortgage early, you would refinance to lower the rate and pay down the principal faster. If however, you plan on leveraging and using the property as a base to buy more, then it could make sense. 

Ok, if i was looking to leverage and using the property as a base to buy more how would it make sense then too? I don't accrue any equity to re-leverage it. I gain a basis differential in 10 years(I would hope lol). But that's minimal. Curious how, cause right now the only solution  I see for it is a simple interest vs. cash flow arb but you better sell within 10 years.

The main benefit is the lower payment. At 8.65% on a P&I 30 yr fixed DSCR, the payment makes it harder to qualify for them. In some instances you have to reduce the LTV to make the deal work.


Yeah, just a raw payment reduction but you lose equity in time. In effect though, it's very counter productive. It may only make sense if you do a monster downpayment, and hope the basis differential in 10 years actually defeats the interest rate arb.

And back to the other point, "If your goal is to pay off the mortgage early, you would refinance to lower the rate and pay down the principal faster."

 
By refinancing you're just entering another 30-year window so how are you paying it off earlier, you paid 10 years now you're paying another 30? You'd lower your payment some sure, but you're still taking actually longer to pay it off.

Also that’s keeping the assumption that you are keeping the loan at 8.65% for 10 years, which wouldn’t make sense if rates were to decline earlier than that. 


Agreed. If I had a DSCR for 30 years at 8.65% and year 3-6 it is now 5%, I would re finance. 

Post: Cash out refinance under LLC

V.G Jason
Posted
  • Investor
  • Posts 3,214
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Quote from @Erik Estrada:
Quote from @V.G Jason:
Quote from @Erik Estrada:
Quote from @V.G Jason:
Quote from @Erik Estrada:

 In that case then it wouldn't make any sense. If your goal is to pay off the mortgage early, you would refinance to lower the rate and pay down the principal faster. If however, you plan on leveraging and using the property as a base to buy more, then it could make sense. 

Ok, if i was looking to leverage and using the property as a base to buy more how would it make sense then too? I don't accrue any equity to re-leverage it. I gain a basis differential in 10 years(I would hope lol). But that's minimal. Curious how, cause right now the only solution  I see for it is a simple interest vs. cash flow arb but you better sell within 10 years.

The main benefit is the lower payment. At 8.65% on a P&I 30 yr fixed DSCR, the payment makes it harder to qualify for them. In some instances you have to reduce the LTV to make the deal work.


Yeah, just a raw payment reduction but you lose equity in time. In effect though, it's very counter productive. It may only make sense if you do a monster downpayment, and hope the basis differential in 10 years actually defeats the interest rate arb.

And back to the other point, "If your goal is to pay off the mortgage early, you would refinance to lower the rate and pay down the principal faster."

 
By refinancing you're just entering another 30-year window so how are you paying it off earlier, you paid 10 years now you're paying another 30? You'd lower your payment some sure, but you're still taking actually longer to pay it off.


 Forgot to mention, lowering the rate and shortening the loan. 


 Lowering the rate is anyone's guess in 10 years. Shortening the loan from 40 years to probably 30 still, if youre incl the original 10 years of IO.

Post: Property 8, 100% financed

V.G Jason
Posted
  • Investor
  • Posts 3,214
  • Votes 3,266
Quote from @Jeremy Horton:
Quote from @Austin Fowler:
Quote from @V.G Jason:
Quote from @Jeremy Horton:

 Well, let's look at the actual numbers.

9509 Briarcreek Drive, Oklahoma City, OK 73162

$225,000.00 purchase price

$225,000.00 appraisal at time of purchase

$58,936.60 total investor cash required to close (borrowed at 8%)

$1,765.00 monthly rent

8% management, another 8% total vacancy and maintenance, and with 15 properties this is a real vacancy and maintenance cost

$369.12 monthly taxes and insurance

$1,113.48 net operating income

5.94% cap rate

2.875% 30-year fixed mortgage

$395.68 monthly interest

$304.45 monthly principal

$413.35 net monthly cashflow

8.07% return on investor capital only counting cashflow

14.02% return on investor capital also including debt paydown

25.01% return on investor capital also including just 3% annual price growth.

I am clearly making far more that I pay investors in terms of the growth of my net worth, and with capital raised as savings accounts the interest capitalizes and is not a drain on my cashflow. When withdrawals occur, I raise more capital to replace it. I have no particular need to ever refinance this property, just keep acquiring more deals.

Still missing the part where it cashflows...

The principle is cool of using private capital to fund the downpayment and yes the investor payments will decrease over time. This is savvy I'll give you that. 

The strategy now is to wait until interest rates come back down from what you said. We have never in history seen sub 3% rates, my bet is that won't happen for a very long time if ever...so what will happen and what is happening right now is that prices are coming down because demand is down due to interest rates. So MOST places are not going to appreciate for awhile, lots of places are going to be underwater by 10%, this is happening right now. Like I said, I think it's a cool strategy to get ownership using private capital, but these places will not cashflow nor appreciate for a very long time in my opinion.

 The interest rate theory is a really interesting one, no pun intended. We're sitting at what 7-7.5% for conventional? Fed funds at 4? Before interest rates stop raising, but before they start dropping there will be a holding period. No one knows how long, and once it decreases, does anybody believe it'll drop as fast as it raised? 

So let's say peaking ends at 5% fed funds, which the market expectation(that's 9% for mortgages). Let's say that stops end of Q1 2023, how long are we going to hold that for before we take it down? Do people not realize we'll literally be sitting at a 5% fed funds rates for months(that could be 2,4, or 6, or more). That's pretty drastic. Now when it drops, it's not going down from 5% to 2.5% overnight(or 9% to 5% mortgage rates overnight).

We'll likely be sitting in this exact same spot again(7.5% mortgage/4% fed funds) sooner than we'll see 2.5% fed funds/5% mortgage rates. Now if that's wrong, and it drops as fast as it came up, we'll encounter hyperinflation and actually buying now or when rates are peaking makes the most absolute sense from an absolute value standpoint. So I don't get the logic of "waiting" for rates. I'm also contemplating just getting conventional loans/DSCR loans at these high rates with zero intention of re-fi. When I refi, the differential in the new appraisal vs old appraisal will give me a load of cash but it'll X out once I have to re-apply it. It's almost futile. We'll see the math then.

So if you're waiting for sub 4% to re-fi, you're going to get a massive appraisal on your house. That's good and bad if you're still heavily levered.

Post: Cash out refinance under LLC

V.G Jason
Posted
  • Investor
  • Posts 3,214
  • Votes 3,266
Quote from @Erik Estrada:
Quote from @V.G Jason:
Quote from @Erik Estrada:

 In that case then it wouldn't make any sense. If your goal is to pay off the mortgage early, you would refinance to lower the rate and pay down the principal faster. If however, you plan on leveraging and using the property as a base to buy more, then it could make sense. 

Ok, if i was looking to leverage and using the property as a base to buy more how would it make sense then too? I don't accrue any equity to re-leverage it. I gain a basis differential in 10 years(I would hope lol). But that's minimal. Curious how, cause right now the only solution  I see for it is a simple interest vs. cash flow arb but you better sell within 10 years.

The main benefit is the lower payment. At 8.65% on a P&I 30 yr fixed DSCR, the payment makes it harder to qualify for them. In some instances you have to reduce the LTV to make the deal work.


Yeah, just a raw payment reduction but you lose equity in time. In effect though, it's very counter productive. It may only make sense if you do a monster downpayment, and hope the basis differential in 10 years actually defeats the interest rate arb.

And back to the other point, "If your goal is to pay off the mortgage early, you would refinance to lower the rate and pay down the principal faster."

 
By refinancing you're just entering another 30-year window so how are you paying it off earlier, you paid 10 years now you're paying another 30? You'd lower your payment some sure, but you're still taking actually longer to pay it off.

Post: Cash out refinance under LLC

V.G Jason
Posted
  • Investor
  • Posts 3,214
  • Votes 3,266
Quote from @Erik Estrada:

 In that case then it wouldn't make any sense. If your goal is to pay off the mortgage early, you would refinance to lower the rate and pay down the principal faster. If however, you plan on leveraging and using the property as a base to buy more, then it could make sense. 

Ok, if i was looking to leverage and using the property as a base to buy more how would it make sense then too? I don't accrue any equity to re-leverage it. I gain a basis differential in 10 years(I would hope lol). But that's minimal. Curious how, cause right now the only solution  I see for it is a simple interest vs. cash flow arb but you better sell within 10 years.

Post: Asset Protection: Two Company Structure Questions

V.G Jason
Posted
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  • Posts 3,214
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Quote from @Mike S.:
Quote from @V.G Jason:

Inside liability protection for LLC is the same in every state.

Outside liability protection for LLC depends from the state.

Some states have charging order protection as sole remedy for single and multi member LLC. WY is one of them.

Some states have charging order protection as sole remedy for multi-member LLC only, but not for single member. FL is one of them since Olmstead vs FTC.

So using your holding LLC in WY will give you outside liability protection for all the sub LLC owned by it in other states.

In my setup, I have one multi member holding LLC in WY. I also have one C-Corp acting as management company. This C-Corp is a 1% member of the WY holding LLC, so it is technically one of the owner of the properties titled in the sub LLC, and as such can manage them without needing a property manager license in some state.

Using a C-Corp for the property management let me get all the fringe benefits you can get with a Corp (health reimbursement plan, solo 401k, deduct all investment expense). I can choose how much active income my C-Corp makes to match its expenses. The C-Corp is public and I am the face of the corp. But for the tenants I am only the property manager, I can always blame the 'owner' for the rent increase. In Florida, the lease can be signed by the property manager and the owner does not have to be disclosed. In some states, the lease need to mention the name of the owner, but that would be an LLC where you can't track the beneficial owner as it points out to an anonymous WY holding.


So you have a Wyoming LLC that's multi-member, and the member is you & your c-corp?

Does the C-Corp route let you hire a property manager instead(my preference), and does it let you cross state lines? If not, could I not get two LLCs. One multi member--myself and the other LLC?

I assume you buy the house under the LLC since you mention it'd point to some anonymous holding? But how does this save you if the renters want to sue you, because they can't find who is behind the anonymous WY holding?