All Forum Posts by: Xavier G.
Xavier G. has started 7 posts and replied 33 times.
Post: Overly conservative in my numbers for North West Houston area?

- Tomball, TX
- Posts 33
- Votes 14
I am putting Capex & Maintenance together as to me, replacing a roof, a water heater or having to fix a faucet are all repairs/expenses (big or small) I am expecting to have over the long term (25+ years), so I total all of it up and bring it down to a monthly basis. If the house I'm looking at is in really bad shape, I'll count those repairs in the cash I need upfront to put in to fix the house. But over 25-30 years, I'll still have to replace again the roof, water heater (maybe on less time), repaint (maybe on less time) etc ... Of course, If I planned on keep the house for only 10 years, the numbers would look very different.
Thanks for the numbers. They do help me understand what I'm looking at. The cash flow numbers I consider are after Vacancy, Maint & Cap Ex (which would bring your cash flow to less than $200 to compare apple to apple). The other big difference is the tax. Your property seem to have a very low tax rate compared to the ones I am looking at and the assessed value is quite a bit lower when compared to the rent you are getting. That's what's eating the remaining $200 cash flow for me. So it seems I'm not necessarily being overly conservative, it's just that the monthly rent vs taxes in the areas I am looking at is not favorable, which was my gut feeling.
And to answer your question, I am mainly re-using the insurance and maintenance cost from my current rental house as estimates for other houses (similar houses). However, when looking at a different house, I use the actual numbers for that house (taxes, HOA, rent in that area).
Thank you both for your feedback!
Post: My tenant wants to take the shower door off?

- Tomball, TX
- Posts 33
- Votes 14
Post: Overly conservative in my numbers for North West Houston area?

- Tomball, TX
- Posts 33
- Votes 14
@John Leavelle, @Cameron Tope, thanks for your answers,
I am actually using actual numbers:
- insurance from my current rental house (not an investment at the time, just rented it when I moved to my current house)
- rent is in par with the market (based on my research) for the size and location of the house
- HOA and taxes are actual numbers
- Cap ex/Maintenance (10%) is a guess as I don't have 20 years of experience but looking at my current expenses on the rental, it seems about right
- Vacancy (10%) is a guess. Currently I am way lower than that but I consider myself lucky with my current renter (>5 years).
- Property Mgt (10%) is being conservative since I self manage my current rental but I understand that if I grow my portfolio, I may decide to switch at some point so I want to account for it.
@Cameron Tope, would you mind sharing your actual numbers on the Katy house (what you include in your expenses, loan payment, COCR ...)? That would help me figure out where we differ in our estimates. Maybe your house is smaller and valued at about $95k which would make your taxes lower than the houses I am looking at. There maybe many assumptions that are different than mine.
@John Leavelle, my expenses (not including mortgage) are definitely quite a bit higher than 50% (About 70%). I can't fight much with taxes and insurance so maybe I'm overkilling Vacancy/CapEx/Property Mgt or the houses I'm looking at are in a high tax area or a combination of the two ...
Here are my numbers for ref (ARV $150k, $95l loan, 20% down-5%-30years):
Insurance | $1,200 | /year | $100 | /month |
HOA | $350 | /year | $29 | /month |
Property & School Tax | $4,500 | /year | $375 | /month |
Vacancy | 10% | of rent | $130.00 | /month |
Capital Expenditure/Maintenance | 10% | of rent | $130.00 | /month |
Property Mgt | 10% | of rent | $130.00 | /month |
Loan Payment | $6,120 | $510 | /month | |
Total Expenses | $10,728 | $894 | /month | |
Total Monthly Expenses | $1,404 | |||
Rent | $1,300 | /month |
Post: Overly conservative in my numbers for North West Houston area?

- Tomball, TX
- Posts 33
- Votes 14
Hi Biggerpocket,
I am trying to make sense of my rental numbers for SFRs in the Northwest Houston area and I can't seem to make them work so I am wondering if I am just looking at it differently from everybody else and am too conservative in my estimates or just completely looking in the wrong area ... Basically looking for feedback!
In order to get a rent of $1200/$1300 a month, I would expect a house in the $100-150k, approx. 1800 ft2:
- Insurance/HOA/Tax of about 30% rent (tax being the biggest hit at rates of 2.5-3%)
- Vacancy, Maintenance/Cap Ex and Property Mgt another 30% of rent
Even if I were to pay $100k for the house (20% down, 30 year loan at 5%) including rehab, I would barely cash flow.
If the house was actually worth $150 but still paid $100k for it, I would now be $100 negative cash flow due to taxes.
Tax/Vacancy/Cap Ex & maint/Property mgt are the major hitters. In order to reduce tax, I would have to find a house that is actually worth less than $100k but then I don't think I would get $1200 rent for it. If I look for a house that may get $1600+ in rent, then the house value has gone up quite a bit and taxes/insurance have followed so it's still not cash flowing.
So, is it just that I am overly conservative with Vacancy, Maintenance/Cap Ex and Property Mgt or just that there are houses that are not worth much but have high rents and I'm just missing them?
Post: Newbie from Tomball, Texas!

- Tomball, TX
- Posts 33
- Votes 14
@Kelsey Toomey, @Heather Roy, @Todd Faulk check your PM, let's get together!
Post: Rehabbing and House Flipping

- Tomball, TX
- Posts 33
- Votes 14
Post: Family renting 6 years, kids now >18, background check?

- Tomball, TX
- Posts 33
- Votes 14
Post: Tenant built structure on property and wont remove it

- Tomball, TX
- Posts 33
- Votes 14
@Aundrea Newbern - I am not sure how the lease agreement was set up, but typically (or should I say in the one I use) the responsibility for the move in inventory is with the Tenant. If the Tenant fails to provide this form to the Landlord, it is assumed that there were no damages to the property when they moved in.
Post: Tenant built structure on property and wont remove it

- Tomball, TX
- Posts 33
- Votes 14
Post: Quick Math for newbies like me - Rentals - Finance vs Fully owned

- Tomball, TX
- Posts 33
- Votes 14
Hello fellow investors,
The results may not surprise anybody and some may think "duh", but I always wanted to put some number down to compare financing a property versus fully owning it (no mortgage) and see the impact on cash flow/equity 10 years down the road. So I finally ran the math (hopefully without any big mistake) with the following numbers (based on rule thumb of 1% (rent/purch price) and 50% expenses rules of thumb to simplify):
- About $145k cash available
- House sell price: about $130k
- Financing with 20% down, 5% over 30 years, Closing costs $3k
- Insurance, tax, Vacation, Maintenance, Cap Ex, Property management, HOA: $650 (or 50%)
- Rent: $1,300/month (1% rule)
- No repair cost
Two extreme and very specific cases:
Case 1: Buy the house cash, so only by 1 house in this case, cash flow $650/month
Case 2: Finance the house, but buy 5 houses, cash flow $90/month*5 = $450/month
Case 1: after 10 years: $78k of cash flow, $130k equity for a total of $208k "net worth" + $12k cash leftover.
Case 2: after 10 years: $54k of cash flow, $227k equity for a total of $280k "net worth"
Everybody can draw their own conclusions and figure out which case gets you the more "bang for your buck". None of these two cases actually look bad to me (I thought the no financing would be worse), just a question of what kind of investor you want to be. Case 2 would take 7 houses to cash flow as much as Case 1, hence a lot more hassle. At the end of the 10 years, the 5 houses would get you an extra $73k "net worth", all of which tied into equity.
Now, sure, those are two very simple case and don't account for the typical strategies (BRRR, 100% financing ...) that would get you even more houses/equity in Case 2, but my purpose was more to have a simple hassle vs rewards comparison.
I guess the only real conclusion of this exercise is do your numbers in your market, figure out what your goal is going to be and what it will take to get there.