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All Forum Posts by: V.G Jason

V.G Jason has started 15 posts and replied 3164 times.

Post: $1M+ Cash Out Refi - 80% LTV - No Syndication

V.G Jason
Posted
  • Investor
  • Posts 3,213
  • Votes 3,262
Quote from @Joe S.:
Quote from @V.G Jason:
Quote from @Jaycee Greene:
Quote from @V.G Jason:
Quote from @Jaycee Greene:
Quote from @V.G Jason:
Quote from @Jaycee Greene:
Quote from @V.G Jason:

What percent of that 40 properties were bought 2022 or prior, and how much did that makeup of the 5.6M of equity in 2024?

What was the DSCR ratio before re-financing?

@V.G Jason 55% of the properties were acquired in 2022 or earlier. Those pre-2023 properties represented 59% of the overall value of those 40 properties.

With your question about the DSCR before the re-financing, are you asking what the minimum DSC ratio was from the various lenders on those loans?

DSCR before the re-financing.

The 59% of value before the 40 properties, were how many properties of the 40 to be exact?

@V.G Jason His DSCR pre-portfolio refinance was above 1.50x and his LTV was ~ 53%

22 properties (55% * 40)

 I asked the same thing twice. 

So 59% of the value of his properties were in 22 properties. 18 were the other 40%. All these properties are pretty equally valuated. 

What were 2023- current rates in those 18? And is that 1.5 + DSCR including the 18 if so, how much down did he put?

@V.G Jason Yes, the properties were fairly equally valued. My client tended to buy the same "type" and "size" of SFR within about a 5 miles radius.

For his pre-2023 properties, his average interest rate was 6.07%. For post 2022 deals, the average interest rate was 7.25%. Keep in mind, the interest rate for the cash out refi was ALMOST irrelevant. What he valued most was the capital that he could unlock without having to sell any of his properties.

What might help here is how he acquired/financed most of his deals.

On average, he bought each of his rehab properties for less than $50k, put at least $75k into the rehabs (a few were as much as $100k). On average, he usually put 20%-30% in on the purchase price, but we used HMLs for rehab financing, with many doing up to 100% of the rehab costs. And when the properties were stabilized, the ARVs would be in the $170k-$180k range with rents around $1.10-$1.20/SF. So, then we'd refi into a DSCR loan with a local bank or credit union that usually had minimums DSCRs of 1.20x-1.25x.

Do you have similar properties that you're looking to refinance like this?

 I have more properties, just don't intend to re-finance or re-structure like this. 

Just I have to yet find someone that invested post 2023 and pre 2023 that have had mirror like results. 

He is one of the few, and good for him. Surprised his rate was so high pre-2023, did he not re-finance then?

Most everyone who bought pre-2023 was better suited to diversify from RE. Only way RE is working post 2023--granted small sample size-- is less levered and capex as a top line not bottom line exposure.  And if done right, still absolutely excellent. I just am hearing from almost everyone(agents, sellers, recent buyers) nothing but regrets and stalling. 

I question the desire to re-finance, what's next for the capital? At 6.69 I still would rather own the debt than necessarily own the property.  Obviously this depends on property, but 10-20 low-grade properties I rather condense to 3-7 excellent properties & mortgage notes. 

 You mentioned you would rather own the debt at 6.69…..

If you like making first position Loans in Texas, I know someone that should be a good fit for that. 😉😉


 Can find better in the private space without needing to take this massive risk that comes at the 12% route in an aggregate. Can find 12% at an individual deal level that's asset-backed, those I like. Very hard to find, but possible. 

6.7% I would rather buy than re-lever in at 6.7%. But I am fortunate to have better choices. 

Post: Visitors to Great Smoky Mountains National Park off 1.2 million from 2023

V.G Jason
Posted
  • Investor
  • Posts 3,213
  • Votes 3,262
Quote from @Chris Seveney:
Quote from @V.G Jason:

Mean reversion


 I thought real estate only went up? Mean reversion does not happen in real estate.... Everything but....


 Long game, it'll be up and to the right in most cities and most cases. But yes, tell someone on here mean reversion happens to RE, let alone an agent...god forbid. 

Who here invested post Jan 1, 2023, that followed all the basics preached here with 20-25%(or lowest amount) down, capex/vacancies at like $5-10k total, is able to push through?

I doubt in 2027 it'll get any easier, I feel 2030 is a glimmer of hope. If you can't hold tight, you should've never grabbed on. That's another point that's a foul here, suggesting to invest in something besides RE like equities. Most people here shouldn't be investing at all, should focus on paying down their obnoxious debt. 

Post: $1M+ Cash Out Refi - 80% LTV - No Syndication

V.G Jason
Posted
  • Investor
  • Posts 3,213
  • Votes 3,262
Quote from @Jaycee Greene:
Quote from @V.G Jason:
Quote from @Jaycee Greene:
Quote from @V.G Jason:
Quote from @Jaycee Greene:
Quote from @V.G Jason:

What percent of that 40 properties were bought 2022 or prior, and how much did that makeup of the 5.6M of equity in 2024?

What was the DSCR ratio before re-financing?

@V.G Jason 55% of the properties were acquired in 2022 or earlier. Those pre-2023 properties represented 59% of the overall value of those 40 properties.

With your question about the DSCR before the re-financing, are you asking what the minimum DSC ratio was from the various lenders on those loans?

DSCR before the re-financing.

The 59% of value before the 40 properties, were how many properties of the 40 to be exact?

@V.G Jason His DSCR pre-portfolio refinance was above 1.50x and his LTV was ~ 53%

22 properties (55% * 40)

 I asked the same thing twice. 

So 59% of the value of his properties were in 22 properties. 18 were the other 40%. All these properties are pretty equally valuated. 

What were 2023- current rates in those 18? And is that 1.5 + DSCR including the 18 if so, how much down did he put?

@V.G Jason Yes, the properties were fairly equally valued. My client tended to buy the same "type" and "size" of SFR within about a 5 miles radius.

For his pre-2023 properties, his average interest rate was 6.07%. For post 2022 deals, the average interest rate was 7.25%. Keep in mind, the interest rate for the cash out refi was ALMOST irrelevant. What he valued most was the capital that he could unlock without having to sell any of his properties.

What might help here is how he acquired/financed most of his deals.

On average, he bought each of his rehab properties for less than $50k, put at least $75k into the rehabs (a few were as much as $100k). On average, he usually put 20%-30% in on the purchase price, but we used HMLs for rehab financing, with many doing up to 100% of the rehab costs. And when the properties were stabilized, the ARVs would be in the $170k-$180k range with rents around $1.10-$1.20/SF. So, then we'd refi into a DSCR loan with a local bank or credit union that usually had minimums DSCRs of 1.20x-1.25x.

Do you have similar properties that you're looking to refinance like this?

 I have more properties, just don't intend to re-finance or re-structure like this. 

Just I have to yet find someone that invested post 2023 and pre 2023 that have had mirror like results. 

He is one of the few, and good for him. Surprised his rate was so high pre-2023, did he not re-finance then?

Most everyone who bought pre-2023 was better suited to diversify from RE. Only way RE is working post 2023--granted small sample size-- is less levered and capex as a top line not bottom line exposure.  And if done right, still absolutely excellent. I just am hearing from almost everyone(agents, sellers, recent buyers) nothing but regrets and stalling. 

I question the desire to re-finance, what's next for the capital? At 6.69 I still would rather own the debt than necessarily own the property.  Obviously this depends on property, but 10-20 low-grade properties I rather condense to 3-7 excellent properties & mortgage notes. 

Post: $1M+ Cash Out Refi - 80% LTV - No Syndication

V.G Jason
Posted
  • Investor
  • Posts 3,213
  • Votes 3,262
Quote from @Jaycee Greene:
Quote from @V.G Jason:
Quote from @Jaycee Greene:
Quote from @V.G Jason:

What percent of that 40 properties were bought 2022 or prior, and how much did that makeup of the 5.6M of equity in 2024?

What was the DSCR ratio before re-financing?

@V.G Jason 55% of the properties were acquired in 2022 or earlier. Those pre-2023 properties represented 59% of the overall value of those 40 properties.

With your question about the DSCR before the re-financing, are you asking what the minimum DSC ratio was from the various lenders on those loans?

DSCR before the re-financing.

The 59% of value before the 40 properties, were how many properties of the 40 to be exact?

@V.G Jason His DSCR pre-portfolio refinance was above 1.50x and his LTV was ~ 53%

22 properties (55% * 40)

 I asked the same thing twice. 

So 59% of the value of his properties were in 22 properties. 18 were the other 40%. All these properties are pretty equally valuated. 

What were 2023- current rates in those 18? And is that 1.5 + DSCR including the 18 if so, how much down did he put?

Post: $1M+ Cash Out Refi - 80% LTV - No Syndication

V.G Jason
Posted
  • Investor
  • Posts 3,213
  • Votes 3,262
Quote from @Jaycee Greene:
Quote from @V.G Jason:

What percent of that 40 properties were bought 2022 or prior, and how much did that makeup of the 5.6M of equity in 2024?

What was the DSCR ratio before re-financing?

@V.G Jason 55% of the properties were acquired in 2022 or earlier. Those pre-2023 properties represented 59% of the overall value of those 40 properties.

With your question about the DSCR before the re-financing, are you asking what the minimum DSC ratio was from the various lenders on those loans?

DSCR before the re-financing.

The 59% of value before the 40 properties, were how many properties of the 40 to be exact?

Post: $1M+ Cash Out Refi - 80% LTV - No Syndication

V.G Jason
Posted
  • Investor
  • Posts 3,213
  • Votes 3,262

What percent of that 40 properties were bought 2022 or prior, and how much did that makeup of the 5.6M of equity in 2024?

What was the DSCR ratio before re-financing?

Post: Goals to get out of W2: need ideas

V.G Jason
Posted
  • Investor
  • Posts 3,213
  • Votes 3,262
Quote from @Wayne Kerr:

I'm in a similar position with my wife - high W2 for me, she's currently working full time, young kids - and trying to figure out a way to replace her income 

REP is a must for the "non-working" spouse - the tax savings here make it worth it. Not only that, I think there's a lot of value that can be added in a supporting role - book keeping, general analyzation of property performance, possibly managing, finding deals. 

Next I'd look to your husband possibly "hiring" you to work in the RE business. More deductions here if you're on payroll. I don't know too much about this option - but it may be worth it to meet with a tax strategist - not a CPA but a strategist. 

Next, is acquiring customers (for whatever business) and getting a recurring revenue stream. This imo is necessary for scaling. If you start a cleaning business/yardwork etc - think about the exit. You'll need to train someone to take over the manual labor so you can step into a management role.  You're aiming for time freedom here. 

We've thought about social media - essentially the content guru route. Could offer lots of free info, gain a following then start charging for specialized information/strategies. May be able to monetize social media as well - this realistically will take several years for organic growth - would need to make videos, edit them etc. I think AI could be a big help here. 

Not only do you have to replace the income - but also the benefits. Insurance? Retirement? Those are the other two we're currently trying to figure as well.

 And inflation. $10k/mo today is $15k/mo in 12-15 years. 

The right strategy is to keep your W2 reap the benefits-- cause there are plenty of those. Start planting the right seeds, let it mature, and change your perspective to enjoy the process. Perhaps 1 quality RE invest annually for 7-10 years, a small business that can support the RE business created in year 3-5, and other investments such as equities/debt.  In a few years, restructure yourself with optimizing the properties by selling 2-3, eliminate debt, and keep performance better. 

Phase yourself out of the W2 but do not quit and lose insurance, retirement, and then add kids in arguably the second most inflationary period we'll see in our lifetimes. You're going to be stuck.

Post: Bold Prediction: The Fed WILL Do a 25+ BPS Cut... But RE Borrowing Rates Will Rise

V.G Jason
Posted
  • Investor
  • Posts 3,213
  • Votes 3,262

Still among the most important thing to watch. Can't help but think is a window for the HFs on the basis trade to unwind comfortably before we see some deliberate destruction. 

Post: Putting $1M into Crypto

V.G Jason
Posted
  • Investor
  • Posts 3,213
  • Votes 3,262
Quote from @V.G Jason:
Quote from @Dominic Mazzarella:
Quote from @Steve K.:
Quote from @Dominic Mazzarella:
Quote from @Steve K.:

The President Announced a Strategic Crypto Reserve consisting of ether, XRP, SOL, and Cardano/ADA. His son Eric said crypto is better than real estate for 2025. It seems like except for crypto, the economy is crashing. Should I sell my real estate and invest in crypto in 2025?


Most crypto projects are at all time highs right now. I don't mean to be rude at all, but that's usually not a good time to invest. I suspect you might be experiencing a little bit of FOMO right now and it's quite possibly the worst time to be feeling that because we are at an economic tipping point right now where a lot of folks are waiting to see how Trump's actions affect the economy.

I've been in crypto for about 5 years and experienced 2 big crashes and when I see people make posts like this, it usually tells me things are going to drop soon. If you're deadset on crypto exposure right now, maybe don't go crazy and just dip your toes in. To make money in this space, you have to buy low and sell high. So when everyone is saying negative things about BTC and whatnot and the prices are in the dumps, that is the time to buy if you want to make real money. Just my two cents. I've made more money in real estate than crypto, but that's because of leverage. There are tremendous opportunities in crypto, but it's also extremely risky. 


 Yeah but we've never had a "Crypto President" before... I think we'll see the world's first Trillionaires via crypto in the next few years. Calling it now.  


That's just gambling though. We all thought trump would be great for the economy, but so far we're seeing inflation start to tick up, the stock market is going down, home prices dropping in some areas and people getting very nervous about tariffs. I wouldn't make a huge financial bet based on something trump said, but that's just me. You could be right here, but it would still just be a gamble.

Remember, we were supposed to see 100k BTC during the last cycle and it never even got near that. I'm a big fan of crypto, but I try to be as pragmatic as possible.


 Only the gullible money thought he'd be great for the economy in the short-term. We knew there'd be some short term(year give or take some months) of pain. Lots of us have said that.

The pain was going to amount to a heightened 10 year(and kill demand) or quick swift chop to the 10 year(and kill certainty). Bessent sized up against the latter, and this was going to be a flush of the system.

The thing is people will blame the current administration for this, when in reality it was the prior that just let this issue form.

Trump is deliberately unpredictable, it's not by accident. If they're able to re-negotiate even 40% of the current tariffs levied on us + move the 10 year closer to pre-election time, then it's likely we're in a state of austerity + negative GDP growth which means Jerome reduces rates rather quickly not necessarily aggressively.

Once that sequence is complete, you'll see the economy settle then rip up to the right. That may take 3 months or 6 or 9, but that's agenda for the most part.


 This is pretty much what happened.

Right now, this rally is a technical rally.  The longest consecutive screen of green days let May 9 settle above the 200 moving day average. Apologies for my childish drawing.

I am not convinced fundamentals are better; we're actually in a worse trade negotiation today than pre Apr 2nd, the 10 year has rallied all the way back to 4.45%. The latter point being the most devastating. Earnings were way, way better than expected but discretionary sector still hasn't shown what it's made of-- if Walmart shows up, this will add fuel to the rally.